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Eltham W vs Geelong W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 May 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 84-104
13-28 26-30 19-20 26-26
Position#19
Record2-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#1
Record10-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game65.9
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Eltham W v Geelong W
24 May 2025
ELTH84
GEEL104
02 Jun 2024
ELTH79
GEEL83
14 May 2022
ELTH77
GEEL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eltham W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Eltham WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood W
#10
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A12/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
77-76 OT
77
76
+1
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H26/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
93-104
93
104
-11
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H04/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A16/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
27-22
15-21
14-22
16-20
13-18
18-21
14-20
32-8
16-24
16-13
12-19
25-13
22-19
6-23
22-20
30-23
17-21
17-29
16-15
23-31
28-21
18-25
24-27
18-25
25-23
21-9
17-29
16-25
22-24
17-21
18-14
25-20
17-16
13-23
22-23
15-13
19-25
28-25
15-27
160.5Avg total
77.0Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.083.5160.5-6.520%
Season at home (3)78.785.3164.0-6.70%
Season away (7)76.382.7159.0-6.429%
Last 10 (10)77.083.5160.5-6.520%
Last 5 (5)80.289.2169.4-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.479.0155.4-2.636%
vs Similar (7)76.982.1159.0-5.314%
vs Weaker (12)84.176.6160.7+7.575%
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
112-72
112
72
+40
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
94-61
94
61
+33
H05/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
77-56
77
56
+21
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
85-60
85
60
+25
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
91-62
91
62
+29
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
101-94 OT
101
94
+7
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
W
95-66
95
66
+29
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
W
89-71
89
71
+18
A16/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
83-56
83
56
+27
A18/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
21-18
31-15
33-24
27-14
17-27
26-14
24-6
21-9
31-15
16-15
9-17
13-18
25-14
17-14
24-15
24-17
23-16
24-10
14-17
25-17
23-15
24-9
19-21
20-22
19-22
21-20
26-22
27-16
19-12
20-21
29-17
20-18
27-16
28-18
14-19
28-9
13-21
19-17
23-9
156.5Avg total
90.6Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)90.665.9156.5+24.7100%
Season at home (4)95.065.0160.0+30.0100%
Season away (6)87.766.5154.2+21.2100%
Last 10 (10)90.665.9156.5+24.7100%
Last 5 (5)91.869.8161.6+22.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.385.5164.8-6.233%
vs Similar (7)80.981.0161.9-0.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.269.1158.3+20.294%
This opponent (Eltham W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +7.7+7.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +7.3+7.3Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +4.8+4.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +7.7+7.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +7.3+7.3Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +4.8+4.8
Eltham WGeelong W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Eltham WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood W
#10
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A12/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H26/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H04/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A16/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
83.3Avg total
42.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.080.8+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.041.884.8+1.246%-
Last 30 away (17)40.936.977.8+4.159%-
Last 10 (10)42.540.883.3+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.686.2-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.837.577.4+2.345%-
vs Similar (7)42.342.184.4+0.157%-
vs Weaker (12)43.438.581.9+4.958%-
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H05/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
52-24
52
24
+28
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A16/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A18/05
NBL1 South Women
78.1Avg total
45.0Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.081.4+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.439.683.1+3.857%-
Last 30 away (16)41.538.479.9+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)45.033.178.1+11.990%-
Last 5 (5)44.233.677.8+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.847.086.8-7.217%-
vs Similar (7)39.636.175.7+3.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.537.481.8+7.171%-
This opponent (Eltham W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Eltham W wins
4
Geelong W wins
DateGameScore
02/06/24Eltham W v Geelong W79-83
25/06/23Geelong W v Eltham W103-64
14/05/22Eltham W v Geelong W77-89
20/04/19Geelong W v Eltham W96-60
Eltham Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25ALaunceston W77-90
16/05/25AHobart Chargers W77-82
10/05/25AKilsyth W73-84
04/05/25HMelbourne Tigers W81-86
03/05/25ADiamond Valley W93-104
26/04/25HBallarat W80-88
25/04/25ANunawading W77-76 OT
12/04/25AMt. Gambier W76-64
05/04/25ADandenong Rangers W61-79
29/03/25HRingwood W75-82
Geelong Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/25AMt. Gambier W83-56
16/05/25AKnox W89-71
10/05/25HDandenong Rangers W95-66
03/05/25ASandringham W101-94 OT
26/04/25AHobart Chargers W91-62
25/04/25ALaunceston W85-60
12/04/25HBendigo Braves W79-61
11/04/25AWaverley W77-56
05/04/25HBallarat W94-61
29/03/25HMt. Gambier W112-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Eltham W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %20%0%29%
Points / game77.078.776.3
Allowed / game83.585.382.7
Point differential-6.5-6.7-6.4
Avg total160.5164.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%14%
Geelong W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.695.087.7
Allowed / game65.965.066.5
Point differential+24.7+30.0+21.2
Avg total156.5160.0154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+90%100%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %10%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W10100100%90.665.9+24.7
2 Keilor Thunder W108280%76.969.8+7.1
3 Knox W118373%82.770.9+11.8
4 Waverley W118373%77.168.5+8.6
5 Melbourne Tigers W107370%81.076.1+4.9
6 Dandenong Rangers W117464%83.472.5+10.9
7 Diamond Valley W117464%85.981.1+4.8
8 Ringwood W127558%77.771.5+6.2
9 Frankston W116555%73.269.3+3.9
10 Sandringham W116555%79.476.2+3.2
11 Nunawading W116555%69.273.2-4.0
12 Casey Cavaliers W114736%69.977.6-7.7
13 Mt. Gambier W114736%70.378.2-7.9
14 Hobart Chargers W124833%70.077.1-7.1
15 Kilsyth W103730%67.780.6-12.9
16 Ballarat W113827%70.584.9-14.4
17 Bendigo Braves W123925%73.483.2-9.8
18 Eltham W102820%77.083.5-6.5
19 Launceston W121118%68.780.8-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Eltham W1326192684
Geelong W28302026104
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