PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Knox W vs Geelong W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 May 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 71-89
18-20 16-27 18-28 19-14
Position#2
Record7-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game67.8
Knox W
Australia
vs
Geelong W 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game66.5
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Knox W v Geelong W
16 May 2025
KNOX71
GEEL89
07 Jul 2024
KNOX97
GEEL90
17 Apr 2021
KNOX79
GEEL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Knox W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Knox WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H20/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H27/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
76-47
76
47
+29
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
95-73
95
73
+22
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H08/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A17/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
86-61
86
61
+25
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
100-74
100
74
+26
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
W
85-58
85
58
+27
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
19-25
18-17
22-18
21-17
24-18
13-17
15-25
12-11
22-8
21-16
21-12
22-22
22-19
23-14
28-18
14-30
18-17
29-18
30-14
20-19
14-19
21-21
21-20
19-21
13-13
26-14
24-23
18-14
19-17
28-18
21-12
40-14
17-10
22-21
21-29
19-16
22-16
21-8
23-18
154.7Avg total
84.2Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.467.8154.1+18.688%
Season at home (5)86.865.8152.6+21.0100%
Season away (3)85.771.0156.7+14.767%
Last 10 (10)84.270.5154.7+13.770%
Last 5 (5)85.868.6154.4+17.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (3)81.070.0151.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker (27)85.070.6155.6+14.481%
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#4
L
102-120
102
120
-18
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
84-95
84
95
-11
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
112-72
112
72
+40
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
94-61
94
61
+33
H05/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
77-56
77
56
+21
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
85-60
85
60
+25
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
91-62
91
62
+29
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
101-94 OT
101
94
+7
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
W
95-66
95
66
+29
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
30-18
26-43
25-32
17-33
23-19
23-23
21-20
27-15
21-18
31-15
33-24
27-14
17-27
26-14
24-6
21-9
31-15
16-15
9-17
13-18
25-14
17-14
24-15
24-17
23-16
24-10
14-17
25-17
23-15
24-9
19-21
20-22
19-22
21-20
26-22
27-16
19-12
20-21
29-17
166.7Avg total
92.0Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.866.5158.2+25.2100%
Season at home (4)95.065.0160.0+30.0100%
Season away (4)88.568.0156.5+20.5100%
Last 10 (10)92.074.7166.7+17.380%
Last 5 (5)90.268.6158.8+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.688.6169.1-8.029%
vs Similar (8)81.482.8164.1-1.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)89.769.8159.5+19.993%
This opponent (Knox W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +3.3+3.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +3.3+3.3
Knox WGeelong W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Knox WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H20/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H27/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
34-19
34
19
+15
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H08/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A17/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
57-24
57
24
+33
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
74.6Avg total
39.4Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.037.180.1+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.737.780.4+5.172%-
Last 30 away (12)43.336.379.7+7.067%-
Last 10 (10)39.435.274.6+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.231.872.0+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (3)38.034.372.3+3.767%-
vs Weaker (27)43.537.481.0+6.170%-
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#4
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H05/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
52-24
52
24
+28
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
81.7Avg total
45.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.483.1+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.540.684.1+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)42.040.182.1+1.947%-
Last 10 (10)45.336.481.7+8.980%-
Last 5 (5)43.633.877.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.648.088.6-7.414%-
vs Similar (8)41.438.079.4+3.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.538.182.6+6.567%-
This opponent (Knox W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Knox W wins
3
Geelong W wins
DateGameScore
07/07/24Knox W v Geelong W97-90
03/06/23Geelong W v Knox W82-47
13/05/22Geelong W v Knox W77-71
17/04/21Knox W v Geelong W79-72
06/04/19Geelong W v Knox W94-89 OT
Knox Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25HKeilor Thunder W85-58
03/05/25HHobart Chargers W100-74
26/04/25ABendigo Braves W86-61
25/04/25HCasey Cavaliers W82-71
17/04/25ASandringham W76-79
08/04/25HWaverley W91-79
05/04/25ADiamond Valley W95-73
29/03/25HKilsyth W76-47
27/07/24HBallarat W73-77
20/07/24HMt. Gambier W78-86
Geelong Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25HDandenong Rangers W95-66
03/05/25ASandringham W101-94 OT
26/04/25AHobart Chargers W91-62
25/04/25ALaunceston W85-60
12/04/25HBendigo Braves W79-61
11/04/25AWaverley W77-56
05/04/25HBallarat W94-61
29/03/25HMt. Gambier W112-72
13/07/24ADiamond Valley W84-95
12/07/24HWaverley W102-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Knox W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game86.486.885.7
Allowed / game67.865.871.0
Point differential+18.6+21.0+14.7
Avg total154.1152.6156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geelong W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.895.088.5
Allowed / game66.565.068.0
Point differential+25.2+30.0+20.5
Avg total158.2160.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%100%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W880100%91.866.5+25.2
2 Knox W87188%86.467.8+18.6
3 Waverley W97278%78.068.7+9.3
4 Keilor Thunder W97278%77.871.0+6.8
5 Diamond Valley W96367%85.381.0+4.3
6 Dandenong Rangers W85362%83.872.2+11.5
7 Melbourne Tigers W85362%80.276.5+3.8
8 Sandringham W95456%77.677.4+0.1
9 Nunawading W95456%70.472.2-1.8
10 Ringwood W84450%77.571.5+6.0
11 Frankston W84450%72.569.1+3.4
12 Casey Cavaliers W94544%69.877.7-7.9
13 Hobart Chargers W114736%70.776.5-5.8
14 Ballarat W93633%72.080.6-8.6
15 Mt. Gambier W93633%68.680.1-11.6
16 Kilsyth W93633%66.679.1-12.6
17 Eltham W92722%77.082.8-5.8
18 Bendigo Braves W92722%73.082.8-9.8
19 Launceston W100100%66.781.5-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Knox W1816181971
Geelong W2027281489
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.