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Esgueira vs Sporting CP Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game92.8
vs
Position#6
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game76.8
PortugalLPBRound 13· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2026-27
Meetings · Esgueira v Sporting CP
09 Jan 2027
ESGU v SCP
upcoming
14 May 2026
ESGU73
SCP85
06 Dec 2025
ESGU95
SCP87
20 Oct 2024
ESGU82
SCP81
02 Dec 2023
ESGU68
SCP105
22 Oct 2022
ESGU78
SCP92
19 Dec 2020
ESGU70
SCP83
16 Nov 2019
ESGU78
SCP90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sporting CP win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#6
W
97-83 OT
97
83
+14
H04/04
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A11/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
65-107
65
107
-42
H18/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A25/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
67-109
67
109
-42
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H14/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
64-84
64
84
-20
H03/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#6
L
60-88
60
88
-28
A10/10
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
91-95
91
95
-4
H16/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
80-104
80
104
-24
A24/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
22-15
19-22
18-20
17-21
15-23
30-29
25-20
25-25
13-31
17-31
10-20
21-27
16-23
26-20
23-15
21-27
20-30
9-25
17-27
18-25
18-23
21-19
16-18
25-16
7-25
20-17
12-26
17-20
8-23
18-23
17-22
27-25
19-24
14-22
31-24
24-23
8-32
20-24
28-25
170.3Avg total
77.0Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.892.8166.5-19.00%
Season at home (2)77.589.5167.0-12.00%
Season away (2)70.096.0166.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)77.093.3170.3-16.320%
Last 5 (5)73.691.2164.8-17.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.390.0168.3-11.728%
vs Similar (8)85.991.0176.9-5.125%
vs Weaker (4)92.095.2187.2-3.250%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A29/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
86-94
86
94
-8
A31/05
LPB
Benfica
#3
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A03/10
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#47
W
79-75 OT
79
75
+4
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#12
W
88-60
88
60
+28
H10/10
LPB
SCM Craiova
#41
W
97-77
97
77
+20
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#10
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A17/10
LPB
Kolossos Rhodes
#20
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#4
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H24/10
LPB
Gence
#37
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
21-27
19-21
16-17
14-30
33-27
28-19
11-18
19-19
22-19
13-19
17-27
20-16
23-18
15-13
10-21
20-17
23-8
23-18
22-17
23-20
25-23
25-14
24-20
22-23
20-26
20-25
22-19
15-21
22-20
15-10
14-15
16-24
22-12
14-16
19-18
18-20
15-18
14-16
20-15
156.7Avg total
79.0Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.576.8155.2+1.850%
Season at home (2)79.565.0144.5+14.5100%
Season away (2)77.588.5166.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)79.077.7156.7+1.350%
Last 5 (5)78.075.6153.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.684.6158.2-11.040%
vs Similar (8)80.181.5161.6-1.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.874.5161.3+12.276%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -10.3-10.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
EsgueiraSporting CP
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H04/04
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A11/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H18/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A25/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H14/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H03/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#6
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A10/10
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H16/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A24/10
LPB
83.9Avg total
36.0Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.847.387.1-7.513%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.747.589.2-5.727%-
Last 30 away (15)37.847.184.9-9.30%-
Last 10 (10)36.047.983.9-11.910%-
Last 5 (5)34.247.281.4-13.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.547.786.2-9.211%-
vs Similar (8)41.547.088.5-5.512%-
vs Weaker (4)42.046.288.2-4.225%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A29/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A31/05
LPB
Benfica
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A03/10
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#47
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#12
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H10/10
LPB
SCM Craiova
#41
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A17/10
LPB
Kolossos Rhodes
#20
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/10
LPB
Gence
#37
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
82.2Avg total
41.3Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.082.2+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.037.779.7+4.362%-
Last 30 away (14)42.442.685.0-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.982.2+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.481.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.240.276.4-4.060%-
vs Similar (8)45.045.990.9-0.925%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.637.279.8+5.471%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.616.5
47.7%
50.9%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.29.6
30.8%
31.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.814.1
67.8%
70.6%14.1
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.0
48.0%
50.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.6
30.6%
31.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws24.216.7
69.0%
70.6%16.7
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
LLLLLLWLLW
Sporting CP
LWWLWWWLLL
#12
League position
#6
-17.1
Net rating
+2.1
82.5
Offensive rating
88.6
99.6
Defensive rating
86.4
47.0%
Effective FG%
47.1%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
16.7%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.8%
3-point %
30.6%
57.9%
Assist %
63.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence82.5 · 88.6Defence99.6 · 86.4Shooting47.0% · 47.1%3-point %30.8% · 30.6%Ball care16.7% · 15.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Esgueira   ■ Sporting CP
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Esgueira wins
8
Sporting CP wins
DateGameScore
10/10/26Sporting CP v Esgueira88-60
14/05/26Esgueira v Sporting CP73-85
10/05/26Sporting CP v Esgueira109-67
28/03/26Sporting CP v Esgueira95-79
06/12/25Esgueira v Sporting CP95-87
02/02/25Sporting CP v Esgueira93-87 OT
20/10/24Esgueira v Sporting CP82-81
13/04/24Sporting CP v Esgueira88-73
02/12/23Esgueira v Sporting CP68-105
07/01/23Sporting CP v Esgueira89-42
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AOliveirense80-104
16/10/26HFC Porto91-95
10/10/26ASporting CP60-88
03/10/26HCD Povoa64-84
14/05/26HSporting CP73-85
10/05/26ASporting CP67-109
25/04/26AFC Porto86-85
18/04/26HBenfica65-107
11/04/26AVitoria87-93
04/04/26HImortal97-83 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AGence67-69
24/10/26HOvarense71-70
21/10/26HKolossos Rhodes71-69 OT
17/10/26ACAB Madeira84-93
14/10/26ASCM Craiova97-77
10/10/26HEsgueira88-60
07/10/26HRilski Sportist79-75 OT
03/10/26ABenfica71-84
31/05/26AFC Porto86-94
29/05/26AFC Porto76-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.877.570.0
Allowed / game92.889.596.0
Point differential-19.0-12.0-26.0
Avg total166.5167.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sporting CP
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game78.579.577.5
Allowed / game76.865.088.5
Point differential+1.8+14.5-11.0
Avg total155.2144.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto440100%97.888.0+9.8
2 Braga43175%89.877.5+12.2
3 Benfica43175%87.875.8+12.0
4 Ovarense43175%82.873.5+9.2
5 Oliveirense32167%87.384.7+2.7
6 Sporting CP42250%78.576.8+1.8
7 CD Povoa42250%74.272.8+1.5
8 Vitoria42250%75.082.0-7.0
9 CA Queluz31233%84.094.0-10.0
10 CAB Madeira41325%80.583.2-2.8
11 Portimonense4040%77.089.2-12.2
12 Esgueira4040%73.892.8-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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