PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Sporting CP vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 95-79
27-10 23-23 21-23 24-23
Position#3
Record14-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#8
Record7-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game90.0
PortugalLPBRound 18· Pavilhão João Rocha
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sporting CP v Esgueira
10 Oct 2026
SCP88
ESGU60
10 May 2026
SCP109
ESGU67
28 Mar 2026
SCP95
ESGU79
02 Feb 2025
SCP93
ESGU87
13 Apr 2024
SCP88
ESGU73
07 Jan 2023
SCP89
ESGU42
21 Mar 2021
SCP97
ESGU68
16 Feb 2020
SCP86
ESGU68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sporting CP winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
BC Prievidza
#22
L
82-94
82
94
-12
no box
A14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
63avg 79
H21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#10
W
99-72
99
72
+27
104avg 79
H24/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
87-78
87
78
+9
83avg 79
A31/01
LPB
PAOK
#5
L
67-101
67
101
-34
49avg 79
A04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
73avg 79
H07/02
LPB
BC Prievidza
#22
W
92-73
92
73
+19
89avg 79
H11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#4
W
85-82
85
82
+3
76avg 79
A14/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
78-73
78
73
+5
70avg 79
H16/03
LPB
Braga
#7
W
96-87
96
87
+9
97avg 79
A21/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
19-25
19-14
17-33
14-18
14-26
20-24
24-22
17-21
22-16
29-17
31-18
26-15
23-14
18-18
20-31
17-28
8-26
21-24
21-23
21-21
21-21
16-20
18-20
24-21
27-25
27-12
14-15
23-17
17-18
19-21
26-26
21-18
24-16
16-23
17-16
24-29
20-14
28-22
24-22
166.6Avg total
83.4Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)87.977.5165.4+10.582%
Season at home (8)82.174.9157.0+7.275%
Season away (9)93.179.8172.9+13.389%
Last 10 (10)83.483.2166.6+0.260%
Last 5 (5)85.479.4164.8+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.188.6162.8-14.525%
vs Similar (7)79.781.3161.0-1.643%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)93.873.7167.5+20.193%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Imortal
#6
L
84-102
84
102
-18
75avg 71
A20/12
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
91-103
91
103
-12
80avg 71
H28/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 71
A03/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
76-67
76
67
+9
63avg 71
H10/01
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
65avg 71
H24/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
75-88
75
88
-13
61avg 71
A31/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
92-84
92
84
+8
79avg 71
A14/02
LPB
Braga
#7
L
76-97
76
97
-21
58avg 71
H21/02
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
84-98
84
98
-14
69avg 71
A14/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
93-88
93
88
+5
88avg 71
H21/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
20-20
24-25
18-32
28-23
26-29
21-30
16-21
21-19
21-30
19-13
11-19
13-19
15-18
23-22
25-8
23-17
29-24
14-15
10-23
18-24
16-22
24-18
17-24
20-17
17-20
21-26
34-21
18-31
19-19
19-26
20-21
20-23
22-19
21-35
21-21
21-25
17-24
26-25
29-14
170.6Avg total
81.9Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)85.890.0175.8-4.241%
Season at home (9)88.690.8179.3-2.256%
Season away (8)82.889.1171.9-6.425%
Last 10 (10)81.988.7170.6-6.830%
Last 5 (5)84.091.0175.0-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)78.189.1167.3-11.029%
vs Similar (12)85.087.8172.8-2.842%
vs Weaker (4)92.095.2187.2-3.250%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
Sporting CPEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Prievidza
#22
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#1
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H24/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A31/01
LPB
PAOK
#5
L
25-54
25
54
-29
A04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H07/02
LPB
BC Prievidza
#22
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#4
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A14/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H16/03
LPB
Braga
#7
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A21/03
LPB
82.0Avg total
40.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.940.484.2+3.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.439.782.1+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)45.341.186.4+4.373%-
Last 10 (10)40.941.182.0-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.084.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.544.581.0-8.038%-
vs Similar (7)43.641.184.7+2.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.937.885.7+10.1100%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A20/12
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H28/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A03/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H10/01
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H24/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A31/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A14/02
LPB
Braga
#7
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H21/02
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A14/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H21/03
LPB
85.4Avg total
40.6Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.343.886.2-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.444.287.6-0.947%-
Last 30 away (13)41.043.384.3-2.323%-
Last 10 (10)40.644.885.4-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)37.644.882.4-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)41.044.085.0-3.036%-
vs Similar (12)44.042.886.8+1.242%-
vs Weaker (4)42.046.288.2-4.225%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.3
53.5%
52.7%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.2
33.7%
32.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.216.3
73.4%
70.4%16.3
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.3
50.7%
52.7%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.0
32.5%
32.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.615.7
63.8%
70.4%15.7
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sporting CP
WWWWLLWWLL
Esgueira
WLLWLLWLLL
#3
League position
#8
+3.7
Net rating
-8.2
92.7
Offensive rating
92.4
89.1
Defensive rating
100.5
52.1%
Effective FG%
49.8%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
18.7%
Turnover %
16.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.7%
3-point %
32.5%
68.4%
Assist %
54.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence92.7 · 92.4Defence89.1 · 100.5Shooting52.1% · 49.8%3-point %33.7% · 32.5%Ball care18.7% · 16.6%Off. rebounds- · 30.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Sporting CP   ■ Esgueira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Sporting CP wins
2
Esgueira wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Esgueira v Sporting CP95-87
02/02/25Sporting CP v Esgueira93-87 OT
20/10/24Esgueira v Sporting CP82-81
13/04/24Sporting CP v Esgueira88-73
02/12/23Esgueira v Sporting CP68-105
07/01/23Sporting CP v Esgueira89-42
22/10/22Esgueira v Sporting CP78-92
21/03/21Sporting CP v Esgueira97-68
19/12/20Esgueira v Sporting CP70-83
16/02/20Sporting CP v Esgueira86-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26ABraga96-87
16/03/26HGalitos Barreiro78-73
14/02/26AOvarense85-82
11/02/26HBC Prievidza92-73
07/02/26HFC Porto76-82
04/02/26APAOK67-101
31/01/26ABenfica87-78
24/01/26HVitoria99-72
21/01/26HBilbao72-90
14/01/26ABC Prievidza82-94
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26HOliveirense93-88
14/03/26AVasco Da Gama84-98
21/02/26HBraga76-97
14/02/26ACA Queluz92-84
31/01/26AGalitos Barreiro75-88
24/01/26HOvarense76-79
10/01/26HFC Porto76-67
03/01/26ABenfica72-81
28/12/25HVitoria91-103
20/12/25AImortal84-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sporting CP
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW82%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayWWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %82%75%89%
Points / game87.982.193.1
Allowed / game77.574.979.8
Point differential+10.5+7.2+13.3
Avg total165.4157.0172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%62%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esgueira
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW41%
HomeLWLLW56%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%56%25%
Points / game85.888.682.8
Allowed / game90.090.889.1
Point differential-4.2-2.2-6.4
Avg total175.8179.3171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica1715288%96.676.7+19.9
2 Sporting CP1714382%87.977.5+10.5
3 FC Porto1712571%91.682.8+8.8
4 Ovarense1712571%83.679.3+4.3
5 Oliveirense179853%85.483.3+2.1
6 Braga1771041%80.182.2-2.1
7 Esgueira1771041%85.890.0-4.2
8 Imortal1761135%86.386.6-0.4
9 Vitoria1761135%82.290.6-8.5
10 CA Queluz1751229%83.488.8-5.4
11 Vasco Da Gama1751229%83.296.7-13.5
12 Galitos Barreiro1741324%82.493.9-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sporting CP2723212495
Esgueira1023232379
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.