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FC Porto vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 85-86
27-21 23-16 20-26 15-23
Position#2
Record15-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#8
Record8-13
FormWLWLL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game90.9
PortugalLPBRound 22· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · FC Porto v Esgueira
23 Jan 2027
POR v ESGU
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
POR85
ESGU86
14 Dec 2024
POR94
ESGU83
27 Oct 2023
POR106
ESGU82
27 Jan 2023
POR94
ESGU73
13 Nov 2020
POR91
ESGU78
10 Nov 2019
POR76
ESGU70
05 Mar 2019
POR98
ESGU64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
101-103
101
103
-2
A24/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H01/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A07/02
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
99-88
99
88
+11
H14/02
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
115-69
115
69
+46
A14/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H21/03
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
99-94
99
94
+5
H29/03
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A04/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H11/04
LPB
Braga
#7
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A18/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-35
30-26
24-20
21-22
27-15
17-21
18-8
23-18
21-21
21-21
20-16
20-18
24-23
27-18
23-27
25-20
32-23
29-15
29-19
25-12
13-20
21-18
22-17
32-17
27-19
30-26
22-16
20-33
14-20
21-24
9-22
16-17
20-16
21-19
21-17
20-22
17-21
29-19
21-12
15-16
168.2Avg total
89.3Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)89.582.2171.7+7.371%
Season at home (10)90.177.1167.2+13.090%
Season away (11)89.086.8175.8+2.255%
Last 10 (10)89.378.9168.2+10.480%
Last 5 (5)82.278.2160.4+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.187.4166.6-8.343%
vs Similar (4)76.885.5162.2-8.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)91.481.6173.0+9.876%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H24/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A31/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
92-84
92
84
+8
A14/02
LPB
Braga
#7
L
76-97
76
97
-21
H21/02
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
84-98
84
98
-14
A14/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H21/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
79-95
79
95
-16
A28/03
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
97-83 OT
97
83
+14
H04/04
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A11/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
65-107
65
107
-42
H18/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
29-24
14-15
10-23
18-24
16-22
24-18
17-24
20-17
17-20
21-26
34-21
18-31
19-19
19-26
20-21
20-23
22-19
21-35
21-21
21-25
17-24
26-25
29-14
10-27
23-23
23-21
23-24
19-21
22-15
19-22
18-20
17-21
15-23
30-29
25-20
25-25
13-31
17-31
10-20
173.6Avg total
82.4Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.190.9176.0-5.838%
Season at home (11)87.291.5178.7-4.455%
Season away (10)82.890.1172.9-7.320%
Last 10 (10)82.491.2173.6-8.830%
Last 5 (5)84.293.2177.4-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)78.090.0168.0-12.031%
vs Similar (10)85.990.0175.9-4.130%
vs Weaker (4)92.095.2187.2-3.250%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
FC PortoEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A24/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H01/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A07/02
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H14/02
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
61-38
61
38
+23
A14/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H21/03
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H29/03
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A04/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H11/04
LPB
Braga
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A18/04
LPB
88.7Avg total
46.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.542.686.0+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.838.782.5+5.164%-
Last 30 away (16)43.245.989.1-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)46.742.088.7+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.483.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.744.682.3-6.914%-
vs Similar (4)33.546.880.2-13.20%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)49.240.289.5+9.082%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H24/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A31/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A14/02
LPB
Braga
#7
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H21/02
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A14/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H21/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A28/03
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H04/04
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A11/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H18/04
LPB
83.5Avg total
38.4Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.445.586.9-4.130%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.646.188.7-3.444%-
Last 30 away (14)39.944.984.8-4.914%-
Last 10 (10)38.445.183.5-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)36.447.083.4-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.445.686.0-5.131%-
vs Similar (10)42.645.187.7-2.530%-
vs Weaker (4)42.046.288.2-4.225%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.3
56.2%
52.7%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.1
34.5%
32.4%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.513.4
65.4%
70.4%13.4
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.4
52.1%
52.7%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.4
33.8%
32.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.114.2
67.3%
70.4%14.2
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWLWWWWWWL
Esgueira
LLWLWLLWLL
#2
League position
#8
+11.4
Net rating
-9.7
98.1
Offensive rating
88.7
86.6
Defensive rating
98.4
54.1%
Effective FG%
51.4%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
12.4%
Turnover %
17.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.5%
3-point %
33.8%
65.7%
Assist %
54.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 88.7Defence86.6 · 98.4Shooting54.1% · 51.4%3-point %34.5% · 33.8%Ball care12.4% · 17.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ FC Porto   ■ Esgueira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
FC Porto wins
1
Esgueira wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Esgueira v FC Porto76-67
05/04/25Esgueira v FC Porto81-96
14/12/24FC Porto v Esgueira94-83
02/03/24Esgueira v FC Porto45-104
27/10/23FC Porto v Esgueira106-82
27/01/23FC Porto v Esgueira94-73
04/12/22Esgueira v FC Porto83-87
27/03/21Esgueira v FC Porto64-96
05/03/21Esgueira v FC Porto72-73
13/11/20FC Porto v Esgueira91-78
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26ABraga82-68
11/04/26HGalitos Barreiro82-74
04/04/26AOvarense60-83
29/03/26HCA Queluz99-94
21/03/26HBenfica88-72
14/03/26AVitoria115-69
14/02/26HImortal99-88
07/02/26ASporting CP82-76
01/02/26HOliveirense85-62
24/01/26AVasco Da Gama101-103
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26HBenfica65-107
11/04/26AVitoria87-93
04/04/26HImortal97-83 OT
28/03/26ASporting CP79-95
21/03/26HOliveirense93-88
14/03/26AVasco Da Gama84-98
21/02/26HBraga76-97
14/02/26ACA Queluz92-84
31/01/26AGalitos Barreiro75-88
24/01/26HOvarense76-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %71%90%55%
Points / game89.590.189.0
Allowed / game82.277.186.8
Point differential+7.3+13.0+2.2
Avg total171.7167.2175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%70%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esgueira
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeLLWWL55%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%55%20%
Points / game85.187.282.8
Allowed / game90.991.590.1
Point differential-5.8-4.4-7.3
Avg total176.0178.7172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %10%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica2119290%97.976.1+21.8
2 Sporting CP2117481%88.577.5+11.0
3 FC Porto2115671%89.582.2+7.3
4 Ovarense2114767%82.478.7+3.7
5 Oliveirense2112957%85.983.0+2.9
6 Imortal2181338%85.685.7-0.1
7 Braga2181338%80.083.4-3.4
8 Esgueira2181338%85.190.9-5.8
9 CA Queluz2171433%83.188.0-4.9
10 Vitoria2171433%83.291.0-7.8
11 Vasco Da Gama2161529%83.897.6-13.8
12 Galitos Barreiro2151624%82.193.0-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2723201585
Esgueira2116262386
← all games of the day
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