Essen vs Gotha Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Apr 2017

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 81-85

23-25 21-23 18-21 19-16

Position#15

Record8-21

FormLLWWL

Points / game73.8

Allowed / game80.6

Essen

Gotha 🏆

Position#7

Record15-14

FormWWLLL

Points / game77.9

Allowed / game74.7

Pro ARound 30

Other2016-17

Meetings · Essen v Gotha

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Essen winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gotha winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Essen

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paderborn

82-83 OT

-1

A28/01

Pro A

Baunach

#13

72-82

-10

H04/02

Pro A

Ehingen

#14

74-75

-1

A11/02

Pro A

Heidelberg

65-70

-5

H17/02

Pro A

Kirchheim

93-92

A19/02

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

61-85

-24

A26/02

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

72-93

-21

H04/03

Pro A

Hanau

#11

77-55

+22

A11/03

Pro A

Trier

69-61

H18/03

Pro A

Chemnitz

76-88

-12

A25/03

Pro A

20-12

20-30

13-26

18-3

19-22

28-14

14-22

11-24

–

20-18

18-15

16-21

11-16

18-22

21-26

26-24

28-20

12-31

24-30

11-14

14-10

25-30

20-24

11-18

16-21

19-12

26-13

22-15

10-15

18-15

16-11

16-21

19-14

19-20

20-20

17-36

20-12

152.5Avg total

74.1Scored

78.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	73.8	80.6	154.3	-6.8	28%
Season at home (14)	73.4	79.7	153.1	-6.3	29%
Season away (15)	74.1	81.3	155.5	-7.2	27%
Last 10 (10)	74.1	78.4	152.5	-4.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	71.0	76.4	147.4	-5.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	73.0	80.9	153.9	-7.9	24%
vs Similar (7)	71.0	80.7	151.7	-9.7	14%
vs Weaker (2)	96.0	83.0	179.0	+13.0	100%

This opponent (Gotha) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gotha

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kirchheim

91-92 OT

-1

A28/01

Pro A

Heidelberg

86-98

-12

H02/02

Pro A

Hanau

#11

87-74

+13

H14/02

Pro A

Paderborn

82-68

+14

A17/02

Pro A

Dresden

#16

87-68

+19

A19/02

Pro A

Ehingen

#14

85-75

+10

H26/02

Pro A

Koln

#10

78-69

A05/03

Pro A

Hamburg

71-80

-9

H15/03

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

66-79

-13

A18/03

Pro A

Baunach

#13

79-94

-15

H25/03

Pro A

23-18

16-23

17-22

25-18

26-22

20-17

21-27

19-32

18-21

27-19

20-19

22-15

20-18

27-17

18-18

17-15

30-17

19-20

26-14

12-17

20-29

21-17

15-15

29-14

25-10

23-21

13-20

17-18

12-25

17-19

25-20

17-16

19-13

17-13

8-20

22-33

21-29

11-25

21-19

26-21

160.9Avg total

81.2Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	77.9	74.7	152.6	+3.2	52%
Season at home (15)	82.0	77.9	159.9	+4.1	53%
Season away (14)	73.5	71.4	144.9	+2.1	50%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	79.7	160.9	+1.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	79.4	155.2	-3.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	71.6	83.4	155.0	-11.8	0%
vs Similar (16)	78.4	74.1	152.6	+4.3	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	77.9	71.3	149.2	+6.6	67%

This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EssenGotha

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.4	20.7	39.1	-2.3	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	20.5	38.6	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	20.9	39.6	-2.1	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.9	20.2	39.1	-1.3	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.6	40.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.9	20.6	38.4	-2.7	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.5	27.0	52.5	-1.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.2	37.9	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.9	39.1	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	18.5	36.8	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.2	21.4	38.6	-4.2	20%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.4	18.6	38.1	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.3	19.0	37.3	-0.7	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	20.7	39.4	-1.9	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	21.9	40.6	-3.2	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.4	20.3	41.8	+1.1	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.0	20.8	38.8	-2.9	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	18.5	41.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.1	36.7	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	19.7	38.3	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	16.6	35.2	+2.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.1	38.9	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	15.4	18.4	33.8	-3.0	20%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.7	17.9	37.6	+1.8	69%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.4	18.3	36.8	+0.1	56%	-

EssenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paderborn

40-42

-2

A28/01

Pro A

Baunach

#13

47-36

+11

H04/02

Pro A

Heidelberg

38-33

H17/02

Pro A

Kirchheim

39-48

-9

A19/02

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

36-61

-25

A26/02

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

45-54

-9

H04/03

Pro A

Hanau

#11

45-25

+20

A11/03

Pro A

Trier

34-26

H18/03

Pro A

Chemnitz

39-40

-1

A25/03

Pro A

80.9Avg total

40.3Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.1	41.3	78.5	-4.2	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.8	40.0	76.8	-3.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.5	42.8	80.3	-5.3	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	40.3	40.6	80.9	-0.2	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	41.2	81.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	35.8	41.4	77.2	-5.6	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.2	39.8	78.0	-1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	48.0	45.5	93.5	+2.5	100%	-

This opponent (Gotha) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GothaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kirchheim

39-41

-2

A28/01

Pro A

Heidelberg

46-39

H02/02

Pro A

Hanau

#11

45-40

H14/02

Pro A

Paderborn

47-35

+12

A17/02

Pro A

Dresden

#16

49-37

+12

A19/02

Pro A

Ehingen

#14

41-46

-5

H26/02

Pro A

Koln

#10

48-31

+17

A05/03

Pro A

Hamburg

29-44

-15

H15/03

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

36-26

+10

A18/03

Pro A

Baunach

#13

32-54

-22

H25/03

Pro A

80.5Avg total

41.2Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	37.3	74.7	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.7	39.6	77.3	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	35.1	72.0	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	39.3	80.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	40.2	77.4	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	32.6	39.8	72.4	-7.2	20%	-
vs Similar (16)	39.1	36.6	75.7	+2.6	69%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	36.8	37.3	74.1	-0.6	44%	-

This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.3	20.6	38.9	-2.2	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	19.9	38.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	21.3	39.6	-3.0	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.2	21.9	38.1	-5.7	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	20.8	36.2	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.9	21.0	38.9	-3.0	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.3	19.7	37.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.0	19.0	45.0	+7.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.1	36.6	+0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	19.3	40.4	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.9	16.9	32.8	-0.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.8	35.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.0	19.8	36.8	-2.8	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	19.4	15.9	35.3	+3.6	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.8	18.4	36.2	-0.6	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	19.9	37.9	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	16.9	34.4	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.3	15.0	31.3	+1.3	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	14.4	30.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.2	17.3	35.6	+0.9	48%	-
vs Similar (6)	15.0	22.2	37.2	-7.2	17%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.2	18.9	42.1	+4.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.1	37.9	-0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.9	40.5	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.4	42.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.0	23.8	45.8	-1.8	20%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.2	69%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.7	18.1	39.8	+3.6	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.2	39.0	75.1	-2.8	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.5	39.7	76.2	-3.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.9	38.1	74.0	-2.3	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	32.6	36.9	69.4	-4.3	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.2	35.2	66.4	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	36.1	38.3	74.4	-2.1	43%	-
vs Similar (6)	32.3	41.8	74.2	-9.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	48.0	37.5	85.5	+10.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	37.1	76.6	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.3	38.3	82.5	+6.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.7	36.0	70.7	-1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	39.3	78.3	-0.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	39.2	77.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	39.0	43.6	82.6	-4.6	20%	-
vs Similar (16)	38.7	36.9	75.6	+1.8	69%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	41.1	34.0	75.1	+7.1	78%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Essen wins

Gotha wins

Date	Game	Score
11/12/16	Gotha v Essen	86-74
05/03/16	Essen v Gotha	99-103 OT
14/11/15	Gotha v Essen	91-81
24/01/15	Gotha v Essen	63-52
18/10/14	Essen v Gotha	76-58
17/01/14	Essen v Gotha	80-85
09/11/13	Gotha v Essen	81-79

Essenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/03/17	A	Chemnitz	76-88
18/03/17	H	Trier	69-61
11/03/17	A	Hanau	77-55
04/03/17	H	Crailsheim Merlins	72-93
26/02/17	A	Nurnberger	61-85
19/02/17	A	Kirchheim	93-92
17/02/17	H	Heidelberg	65-70
11/02/17	A	Ehingen	74-75
04/02/17	H	Baunach	72-82
28/01/17	A	Paderborn	82-83 OT

Gothalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/03/17	H	Baunach	79-94
18/03/17	A	Nurnberger	66-79
15/03/17	H	Hamburg	71-80
05/03/17	A	Koln	78-69
26/02/17	H	Ehingen	85-75
19/02/17	A	Dresden	87-68
17/02/17	A	Paderborn	82-68
14/02/17	H	Hanau	87-74
02/02/17	H	Heidelberg	86-98
28/01/17	A	Kirchheim	91-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Essen

Pro A 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	28%
Home	WLLLW	29%
Away	LWLWL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	28%	29%	27%
Points / game	73.8	73.4	74.1
Allowed / game	80.6	79.7	81.3
Point differential	-6.8	-6.3	-7.2
Avg total	154.3	153.1	155.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	7%	13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	30% (10)	17% (6)	50% (4)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

Gotha

Pro A 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	52%
Home	LWWLL	53%
Away	LWWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	52%	53%	50%
Points / game	77.9	82.0	73.5
Allowed / game	74.7	77.9	71.4
Point differential	+3.2	+4.1	+2.1
Avg total	152.6	159.9	144.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	34%	47%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	33% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	3%	0%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mitteldeutscher	29	26	3	90%	86.0	72.2	+13.9
2	Crailsheim Merlins	29	24	5	83%	87.9	74.3	+13.5
3	Chemnitz	29	20	9	69%	76.5	70.9	+5.6
4	Kirchheim	29	19	10	66%	79.7	78.5	+1.2
5	Heidelberg	29	18	11	62%	74.3	70.1	+4.2
6	Trier	29	16	13	55%	73.4	72.9	+0.5
7	Gotha	29	15	14	52%	77.9	74.7	+3.2
8	Koln	29	14	15	48%	74.1	72.7	+1.3
9	Paderborn	29	14	15	48%	77.6	78.0	-0.4
10	Hamburg	29	13	16	45%	74.8	75.3	-0.6
11	Hanau	29	13	16	45%	71.7	73.5	-1.8
12	Nurnberger	29	11	18	38%	73.3	78.0	-4.7
13	Baunach	29	10	19	34%	72.5	79.0	-6.5
14	Ehingen	29	9	20	31%	74.5	80.8	-6.3
15	Essen	29	8	21	28%	73.8	80.6	-6.8
16	Dresden	29	2	27	7%	73.7	90.1	-16.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Essen	23	21	18	19	81
Gotha	25	23	21	16	85

← all games of the day

Essen vs Gotha Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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