The Primera FEB clash on 7 November 2026 pits Estela against Estudiantes, with the model favouring Estudiantes at 75% thanks to their flawless 6-0 record, 91.0 points per game and 74.8 allowed, placing them first in the league, while Estela sits fifth with a 4-2 record, 82.7 points scored and 79.3 conceded. Estela's six games have yielded a 4-2 record and a modest 75.3 points per game at home, though they have lost two of their last five, including a 73-85 defeat to Palencia at home on 31 October, a 81-82 loss to Albacete away on 25 October, and a 84-79 win over Fuenlabrada at home on 17 October; Estudiantes, meanwhile, remain unbeaten in all six contests, winning every road game with 87.0 points per game and 75.5 allowed, and their last five have all been victories, most recently a 102-80 triumph over Gran Canaria at home on 1 November. In head-to-head history Estudiantes leads 7-1, with the last meeting ending 80-78 in favour of Estela on 21 March 2026. Pythia projects a final score of 80-88, a total of 167.5 points, a 4.0 home line with a 36% chance of the home team covering, a 165.0 total line with a 55% over probability, and a 4% overtime likelihood. The game will end with Estudiantes outscoring Estela 88-80.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 82.7 | 79.3 | 162.0 | +3.3 | 67% |
| Season at home (3) | 75.3 | 77.3 | 152.7 | -2.0 | 67% |
| Season away (3) | 90.0 | 81.3 | 171.3 | +8.7 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.0 | 84.6 | 164.6 | -4.6 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.4 | 81.6 | 167.0 | +3.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 77.2 | 87.3 | 164.5 | -10.1 | 29% |
| vs Similar (9) | 79.2 | 76.7 | 155.9 | +2.6 | 56% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 80.5 | 76.2 | 156.8 | +4.2 | 75% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 91.0 | 74.8 | 165.8 | +16.2 | 100% |
| Season at home (4) | 93.0 | 74.5 | 167.5 | +18.5 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 87.0 | 75.5 | 162.5 | +11.5 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 90.9 | 75.9 | 166.8 | +15.0 | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 93.6 | 76.8 | 170.4 | +16.8 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 82.5 | 97.0 | 179.5 | -14.5 | 0% |
| vs Similar (6) | 82.2 | 74.7 | 156.8 | +7.5 | 83% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (20) | 86.7 | 76.2 | 162.9 | +10.5 | 75% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 81.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.0 | 42.0 | 82.0 | -2.0 | 43% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 39.7 | 40.7 | 80.4 | -1.0 | 43% | 43% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 40.3 | 43.1 | 83.4 | -2.8 | 44% | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.2 | 43.1 | 84.3 | -1.9 | 60% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.0 | 39.8 | 81.8 | +2.2 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 38.8 | 44.6 | 83.4 | -5.8 | 29% | 65% |
| vs Similar (9) | 41.9 | 38.3 | 80.2 | +3.6 | 56% | 56% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 41.2 | 39.2 | 80.5 | +2.0 | 75% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 81.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.1 | 42.0 | 83.1 | -0.9 | 40% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 40.5 | 39.2 | 79.6 | +1.3 | 47% | 41% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 41.9 | 45.7 | 87.6 | -3.8 | 31% | 77% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.5 | 42.1 | 84.6 | +0.4 | 40% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.6 | 46.4 | 89.0 | -3.8 | 20% | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 35.0 | 46.2 | 81.2 | -11.2 | 0% | 50% |
| vs Similar (6) | 40.0 | 43.0 | 83.0 | -3.0 | 33% | 67% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (20) | 42.6 | 40.9 | 83.5 | +1.8 | 50% | 55% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes -2 | 71.3% | 1.56 | 1.59 | 1.52 | - | - | - | +11.9pp | Lost |
| Estudiantes -1.5 | 72.4% | 1.48 | 1.56 | 1.50 | 1.44 | 1.42 | - | +11.7pp | Lost |
| Estudiantes +4.5 | 84.3% | 1.25 | 1.28 | 1.23 | - | - | - | +10.8pp | Won |
| Estudiantes over 80.5 | 75.6% | 1.36 | 1.40 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +9.7pp | Lost |
| Estudiantes over 79.5 | 78.6% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +9.2pp | Lost |
| Estudiantes +3.5 | 82.0% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +8.6pp | Won |
| Estudiantes over 74.5 | 90.0% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +8.6pp | Lost |
| Estudiantes over 81.5 | 72.4% | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.38 | - | - | - | +8.6pp | Lost |
| Estudiantes (regulation) | 72.3% | 1.39 | 1.40 | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | +8.3pp | Lost |
| Estudiantes over 72.5 | 93.0% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Lost |
| Estudiantes +2.5 | 79.9% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Estudiantes +9.5 | 92.4% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Estudiantes over 68.5 | 96.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| Estudiantes +14.5 | 96.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| Estudiantes over 70.5 | 95.3% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Estudiantes +1.5 | 76.9% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Lost |
| Estudiantes over 66.5 | 98.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Estudiantes +19.5 | 98.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Estudiantes over 64.5 | 98.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Over 158.5 | 70.2% | 1.42 | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Lost |
| Over 150.5 | 84.7% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Lost |
| Estudiantes win | 74.8% | 1.36 | 1.41 | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.37 | 1.37 | +5.1pp | Lost |
| Over 140.5 | 95.0% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Over 155.5 | 76.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Lost |
| Over 145.5 | 90.9% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Lost |
| Overtime: no | 95.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | - |
| Estela over 67.5 | 88.7% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Estela over 69.5 | 84.4% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Estela over 73.5 | 73.1% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Lost |
| Estela under 85.5 | 70.8% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Under 190.5 | 91.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Estela +20.5 | 87.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Won |
| Under 185.5 | 86.2% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +0.1pp | Won |
| Estela +15.5 | 76.0% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| Under 180.5 | 78.8% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -0.7pp | Won |
| Estela +13.5 | 70.3% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | -1.9pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 31.4 | 17.5 | 53.0% | 35.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.5 | 10.3 | 32.9% | 30.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.2 | 14.2 | 74.2% | 14.2 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 30.2 | 16.6 | 53.0% | 33.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 34.5 | 13.4 | 32.9% | 40.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.4 | 15.6 | 74.2% | 15.6 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 | Estela v Estudiantes | 80-78 |
| 18/01/26 | Estudiantes v Estela | 81-74 |
| 22/04/25 | Estudiantes v Estela | 101-76 |
| 04/01/25 | Estela v Estudiantes | 75-92 |
| 20/04/24 | Estela v Estudiantes | 67-81 |
| 03/12/23 | Estudiantes v Estela | 101-61 |
| 16/04/23 | Estudiantes v Estela | 80-54 |
| 17/12/22 | Estela v Estudiantes | 76-82 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | H | Palencia | 73-85 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Albacete | 81-82 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Fuenlabrada | 84-79 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Ourense | 101-86 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Fibwi Palma | 88-76 |
| 26/09/26 | H | Hestia Menorca | 69-68 |
| 08/05/26 | A | Palencia | 70-100 |
| 02/05/26 | H | Obradoiro CAB | 65-95 |
| 26/04/26 | A | Zamora | 89-86 |
| 22/04/26 | H | Fuenlabrada | 80-89 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | H | Gran Canaria | 102-80 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Fibwi Palma | 94-78 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Palencia | 86-77 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Gipuzkoa | 106-76 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Zamora | 80-73 |
| 27/09/26 | H | Caja 87 | 78-65 |
| 07/06/26 | H | Leyma Coruna | 97-100 OT |
| 06/06/26 | H | Oviedo | 79-71 |
| 22/05/26 | A | Alicante | 113-72 |
| 17/05/26 | H | Alicante | 74-67 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLL | 67% |
| Home | WWL | 67% |
| Away | WWL | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Points / game | 82.7 | 75.3 | 90.0 |
| Allowed / game | 79.3 | 77.3 | 81.3 |
| Point differential | +3.3 | -2.0 | +8.7 |
| Avg total | 162.0 | 152.7 | 171.3 |
| Over 165.25 | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 0% | 67% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (3) | 100% (2) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWWW | 100% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 91.0 | 93.0 | 87.0 |
| Allowed / game | 74.8 | 74.5 | 75.5 |
| Point differential | +16.2 | +18.5 | +11.5 |
| Avg total | 165.8 | 167.5 | 162.5 |
| Over 165.25 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 67% | 75% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 74.8 | +16.2 | |
| 2 | Alicante | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 89.8 | 74.0 | +15.8 |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 82.0 | 72.4 | +9.6 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 89.5 | 77.2 | +12.3 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 82.7 | 79.3 | +3.3 | |
| 6 | Palmer Basket | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 86.5 | 84.7 | +1.8 |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 85.0 | 83.1 | +1.9 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 76.6 | 77.9 | -1.3 | |
| 9 | Caja 87 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 76.3 | 76.7 | -0.3 |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 83.3 | 87.7 | -4.3 | |
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 82.7 | 88.0 | -5.3 | |
| 12 | Cordoba | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 71.8 | 77.2 | -5.3 |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 75.8 | 81.2 | -5.3 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 79.2 | 90.8 | -11.7 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 87.5 | 95.0 | -7.5 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 79.8 | 87.7 | -7.8 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 77.6 | 81.3 | -3.7 | |
| 18 | Hestia Menorca | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 70.0 | 79.3 | -9.3 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 13 | 27 | 17 | 73 | |
| 12 | 17 | 18 | 24 | 71 |
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