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Estela vs Ourense Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 11:45
Final 75-69
15-11 20-29 18-12 22-17
Position#11
Record10-11
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game76.0
Estela 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#13
Record6-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game80.7
SpainPrimera FEBRound 22
Other2022-23
Meetings · Estela v Ourense
10 Feb 2027
ESTE v OURE
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
ESTE87
OURE66
26 Apr 2025
ESTE86
OURE77
14 Oct 2023
ESTE76
OURE80
05 Mar 2023
ESTE75
OURE69
12 Jan 2022
ESTE69
OURE56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ourense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#7
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H17/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
L
95-109
95
109
-14
A21/12
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
H28/12
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A07/01
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H14/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#14
W
69-62
69
62
+7
A21/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A27/01
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#1
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H01/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#8
L
70-96
70
96
-26
A05/02
Primera FEB
Castello
#9
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H18/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
22-18
17-22
21-19
22-24
20-33
22-29
31-23
15-17
15-16
21-20
19-17
14-14
20-15
10-16
16-22
17-17
18-11
19-24
17-16
18-22
14-11
18-22
19-7
29-23
16-13
12-25
20-17
20-23
15-13
16-20
11-24
14-24
19-23
14-20
23-29
29-14
21-14
20-14
14-22
153.3Avg total
74.7Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)72.976.0148.9-3.148%
Season at home (10)74.270.8145.0+3.470%
Season away (11)71.780.7152.5-9.027%
Last 10 (10)74.778.6153.3-3.940%
Last 5 (5)72.476.0148.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.285.1154.3-15.910%
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.767.6142.3+7.185%
vs Weaker (7)78.772.0150.7+6.771%
This opponent (Ourense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#14
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A17/12
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
H20/12
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
A28/12
Primera FEB
Iraurgi SB
#17
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H07/01
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#1
L
62-72
62
72
-10
H14/01
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#6
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A20/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#8
W
89-88
89
88
+1
A28/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#7
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H01/02
Primera FEB
Castello
#9
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A05/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H18/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
21-14
6-24
15-18
21-25
27-14
19-23
14-19
20-20
12-22
20-14
19-15
22-14
14-16
28-20
23-22
14-17
18-16
11-21
19-18
21-20
12-20
12-25
18-19
30-25
19-22
16-18
24-23
12-18
20-23
25-23
19-22
25-17
18-21
11-16
10-22
20-24
14-15
17-23
19-18
155.2Avg total
74.4Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)73.280.7153.9-7.529%
Season at home (11)75.276.8152.0-1.645%
Season away (10)71.084.9155.9-13.910%
Last 10 (10)74.480.8155.2-6.430%
Last 5 (5)72.482.8155.2-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)72.782.8155.5-10.121%
vs Similar ◀ (8)73.676.4150.0-2.838%
vs Weaker (8)76.864.8141.5+12.088%
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
EstelaOurense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H17/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A21/12
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H28/12
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A07/01
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H14/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#14
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A21/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A27/01
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H01/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#8
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A05/02
Primera FEB
Castello
#9
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H18/02
Primera FEB
74.2Avg total
37.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.035.871.8+0.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.233.470.6+3.871%-
Last 30 away (16)34.937.972.8-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)37.436.874.2+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.075.0+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.641.274.8-7.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.931.868.7+5.277%-
vs Weaker (7)37.635.773.3+1.971%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A17/12
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H20/12
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A28/12
Primera FEB
Iraurgi SB
#17
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H07/01
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H14/01
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A20/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#8
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A28/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H01/02
Primera FEB
Castello
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A05/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H18/02
Primera FEB
75.8Avg total
37.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.236.974.1+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.936.574.4+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)36.537.373.8-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)37.638.275.8-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.079.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.740.176.8-3.436%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.534.470.9+2.162%-
vs Weaker (8)38.634.072.6+4.675%-
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Estela wins
0
Ourense wins
DateGameScore
29/10/22Ourense v Estela66-79
06/04/22Ourense v Estela70-76
12/01/22Estela v Ourense69-56
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23HCastello84-64
05/02/23AGipuzkoa70-96
01/02/23HMoraBanc Andorra62-80
27/01/23AAlicante77-78
21/01/23AOviedo69-62
14/01/23HAlmansa71-68
07/01/23AReal Valladolid60-67
28/12/22HMelilla83-80 OT
21/12/22ALeyma Coruna95-109
17/12/22HEstudiantes76-82
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23HLeyma Coruna70-80
05/02/23ACastello64-76
01/02/23HEstudiantes76-86
28/01/23AGipuzkoa89-88
20/01/23AForca Lleida63-84
14/01/23HMoraBanc Andorra62-72
07/01/23HIraurgi SB87-72
28/12/22AAlicante80-84 OT
20/12/22HSan Pablo Burgos95-91 OT
17/12/22AOviedo58-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela
Primera FEB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW48%
HomeLWWLW70%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%70%27%
Points / game72.974.271.7
Allowed / game76.070.880.7
Point differential-3.1+3.4-9.0
Avg total148.9145.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%20%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Ourense
Primera FEB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeWWLLL45%
AwayLLLWL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%45%10%
Points / game73.275.271.0
Allowed / game80.776.884.9
Point differential-7.5-1.6-13.9
Avg total153.9152.0155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%9%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 MoraBanc Andorra2220291%82.669.6+13.0
2 Palencia2219386%81.971.0+10.8
3 Estudiantes2116576%79.672.6+7.0
4 Leyma Coruna2215768%83.176.3+6.9
5 Real Valladolid2114767%75.671.0+4.6
6 Forca Lleida2114767%81.078.3+2.7
7 San Pablo Burgos2214864%80.774.5+6.2
8 Gipuzkoa2213959%77.772.2+5.5
9 Alicante2213959%75.875.5+0.3
10 Estela21101148%72.976.0-3.1
11 Castello2291341%75.276.9-1.7
12 Ourense2161529%73.280.7-7.5
13 Almansa2161529%71.680.1-8.6
14 Caceres2261627%72.579.1-6.6
15 Iraurgi SB2151624%72.081.0-9.0
16 Oviedo2151624%68.177.6-9.4
17 Albacete2251723%70.276.6-6.4
18 Melilla2241818%75.581.4-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estela1520182275
Ourense1129121769
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