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Estela vs Ourense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-77
15-18 24-12 25-19 22-28
Position#14
Record10-21
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game83.7
Estela 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#10
Record13-18
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game83.4
SpainPrimera FEBRound 32
Other2024-25
Meetings · Estela v Ourense
10 Feb 2027
ESTE v OURE
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
ESTE87
OURE66
26 Apr 2025
ESTE86
OURE77
14 Oct 2023
ESTE76
OURE80
05 Mar 2023
ESTE75
OURE69
12 Jan 2022
ESTE69
OURE56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ourense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Alicante
#12
W
83-72
83
72
+11
77avg 65
H08/03
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
70-94
70
94
-24
59avg 65
A12/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
101-108 OT
101
108
-7
94avg 65
H16/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
77-85
77
85
-8
66avg 65
A21/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
L
62-84
62
84
-22
52avg 65
A29/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
58-85
58
85
-27
17avg 65
H02/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
67avg 65
H06/04
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
88-81
88
81
+7
81avg 65
A11/04
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
74-85
74
85
-11
72avg 65
H19/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
76-101
76
101
-25
65avg 65
A22/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
21-16
22-18
21-22
18-19
16-24
24-24
12-27
29-17
15-18
14-22
19-20
16-20
17-30
27-13
17-22
11-21
11-20
18-15
22-28
19-22
15-18
10-22
14-23
24-16
24-20
21-19
11-18
17-20
23-15
18-18
30-28
20-23
23-17
18-18
13-27
19-30
21-21
20-20
16-30
163.7Avg total
76.9Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.783.7159.4-8.032%
Season at home (15)79.081.1160.1-2.147%
Season away (16)72.686.1158.6-13.519%
Last 10 (10)76.986.8163.7-9.930%
Last 5 (5)75.285.0160.2-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)72.385.6157.9-13.322%
vs Similar (10)80.581.8162.3-1.340%
vs Weaker (2)86.074.5160.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOurense
Date
Competition
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
84-83
84
83
+1
78avg 73
A02/03
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
65avg 73
H08/03
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
L
59-89
59
89
-30
52avg 73
A11/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
77-85
77
85
-8
67avg 73
H15/03
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
89-94 OT
89
94
-5
81avg 73
A21/03
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
60-74
60
74
-14
46avg 73
H29/03
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
74-81
74
81
-7
72avg 73
A06/04
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
96-77
96
77
+19
89avg 73
H12/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
L
71-90
71
90
-19
63avg 73
A18/04
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
W
94-84
94
84
+10
91avg 73
H23/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-22
19-20
19-14
16-27
21-23
17-13
20-24
15-19
12-19
10-25
20-30
17-15
19-17
10-19
27-24
21-25
24-22
22-21
19-18
12-16
18-19
12-14
14-23
16-18
18-13
14-19
16-23
26-26
25-17
24-21
26-24
21-15
15-31
24-30
18-20
14-9
30-17
20-30
24-22
20-15
161.3Avg total
77.7Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.183.4165.5-1.342%
Season at home (16)84.879.9164.7+4.950%
Season away (15)79.387.2166.5-7.933%
Last 10 (10)77.783.6161.3-5.930%
Last 5 (5)79.081.2160.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.387.4167.8-7.125%
vs Similar (11)79.781.2160.9-1.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)86.381.6167.9+4.757%
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -7.0-7.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -7.0-7.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
EstelaOurense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alicante
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H08/03
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A12/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H16/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A21/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A29/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H02/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H06/04
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A11/04
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A22/04
Primera FEB
78.1Avg total
37.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.139.977.0-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.337.177.4+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)33.942.776.5-8.820%-
Last 10 (10)37.840.378.1-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.481.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.241.678.8-4.428%-
vs Similar (10)35.836.372.1-0.570%-
vs Weaker (2)42.542.585.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A02/03
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/03
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A11/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H15/03
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A21/03
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H29/03
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A06/04
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H12/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A18/04
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H23/04
Primera FEB
79.6Avg total
38.4Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.081.9-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.539.980.5+0.653%-
Last 30 away (15)39.244.183.3-4.940%-
Last 10 (10)38.441.279.6-2.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.282.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.241.780.8-2.550%-
vs Similar (11)38.542.480.8-3.936%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.342.185.4+1.157%-
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Estela wins
2
Ourense wins
DateGameScore
12/10/24Ourense v Estela93-65
14/04/24Ourense v Estela65-72
14/10/23Estela v Ourense76-80 OT
05/03/23Estela v Ourense75-69
29/10/22Ourense v Estela66-79
06/04/22Ourense v Estela70-76
12/01/22Estela v Ourense69-56
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/25AEstudiantes76-101
19/04/25HSan Pablo Burgos74-85
11/04/25AReal Valladolid88-81
06/04/25HOviedo80-73
02/04/25HObradoiro CAB58-85
29/03/25AHestia Menorca62-84
21/03/25APalencia77-85
16/03/25HGipuzkoa101-108 OT
12/03/25AFuenlabrada70-94
08/03/25HAlicante83-72
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/25HPalencia94-84
18/04/25AAlicante71-90
12/04/25HCastello96-77
06/04/25AFuenlabrada74-81
29/03/25HSan Pablo Burgos60-74
21/03/25AReal Betis89-94 OT
15/03/25HObradoiro CAB77-85
11/03/25AMoron59-89
08/03/25HEstudiantes73-79
02/03/25ATizona Burgos84-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL32%
HomeWLLWL47%
AwayLLLWL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %32%47%19%
Points / game75.779.072.6
Allowed / game83.781.186.1
Point differential-8.0-2.1-13.5
Avg total159.4160.1158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%20%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %6%13%0%
Ourense
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW42%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game82.184.879.3
Allowed / game83.479.987.2
Point differential-1.3+4.9-7.9
Avg total165.5164.7166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)25% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %13%12%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos3129294%88.574.4+14.0
2 Estudiantes3125681%87.178.5+8.6
3 Fuenlabrada3125681%84.976.4+8.5
4 Real Betis3124777%83.174.5+8.6
5 Obradoiro CAB3122971%82.473.5+8.9
6 Palencia31201165%86.980.6+6.3
7 Tizona Burgos31151648%87.789.3-1.6
8 Cartagena31151648%77.883.8-6.1
9 Gipuzkoa31141745%78.579.3-0.8
10 Ourense31131842%82.183.4-1.3
11 Alicante31121939%79.279.5-0.4
12 Oviedo31121939%79.281.2-2.0
13 Zamora31121939%79.082.5-3.4
14 Hestia Menorca31102132%74.778.5-3.8
15 Real Valladolid31102132%78.285.9-7.7
16 Estela31102132%75.783.7-8.0
17 Castello3182326%79.888.4-8.5
18 Moron3132810%71.883.1-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estela1524252286
Ourense1812192877
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