Ourense vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Feb 2023

Tip-off: 19:45

Final 76-86

12-18 20-23 25-23 19-22

Position#13

Record6-12

FormLWLLW

Points / game73.7

Allowed / game80.7

Ourense

Estudiantes 🏆

Position#7

Record14-4

FormWLWWW

Points / game80.2

Allowed / game72.8

Primera FEBRound 19

Other2022-23

Meetings · Ourense v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ourense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caceres

#15

76-70

H02/12

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

66-73

-7

A06/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

66-82

-16

H11/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

58-75

-17

A17/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

95-91 OT

H20/12

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

80-84 OT

-4

A28/12

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

87-72

+15

H07/01

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

62-72

-10

H14/01

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

63-84

-21

A20/01

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

89-88

A28/01

Primera FEB

23-9

18-20

18-15

17-26

14-18

17-18

22-19

13-18

20-24

14-20

14-23

18-15

16-19

21-14

6-24

15-18

21-25

27-14

19-23

14-19

20-20

12-22

20-14

19-15

22-14

14-16

28-20

23-22

14-17

18-16

11-21

19-18

21-20

12-20

12-25

18-19

30-25

19-22

16-18

24-23

153.3Avg total

74.2Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	73.7	80.7	154.4	-6.9	33%
Season at home (9)	75.7	75.4	151.1	+0.2	56%
Season away (9)	71.8	85.9	157.7	-14.1	11%
Last 10 (10)	74.2	79.1	153.3	-4.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	80.0	156.2	-3.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	73.5	83.4	156.8	-9.9	27%
vs Similar (10)	73.8	76.3	150.1	-2.5	40%
vs Weaker (9)	77.8	66.7	144.4	+11.1	89%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

72-79

-7

H04/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

68-64

A07/12

Primera FEB

Castello

77-52

+25

H11/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

82-76

A17/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

68-63

H20/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

70-62

A27/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

73-83

-10

H08/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

86-78

A14/01

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

75-55

+20

H20/01

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

94-75

+19

H29/01

Primera FEB

21-16

10-25

21-17

20-21

19-15

17-19

18-12

14-18

25-15

22-15

16-13

14-9

23-16

18-22

22-17

19-21

13-19

18-17

16-12

21-15

17-17

20-8

9-17

24-20

24-18

13-16

13-28

23-21

26-20

21-18

17-25

22-15

15-5

14-16

25-20

21-14

22-18

20-15

28-25

24-17

145.2Avg total

76.5Scored

68.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	80.2	72.8	153.0	+7.4	78%
Season at home (10)	81.5	69.6	151.1	+11.9	80%
Season away (8)	78.6	76.8	155.4	+1.9	75%
Last 10 (10)	76.5	68.7	145.2	+7.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	70.6	150.2	+9.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	72.5	81.0	153.5	-8.5	0%
vs Similar (8)	75.5	74.0	149.5	+1.5	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	80.1	66.0	146.1	+14.1	85%

This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OurenseEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.3	38.1	-0.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	19.5	38.3	-0.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	19.5	20.2	39.6	-0.7	18%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.3	18.8	35.1	-2.5	30%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.6	18.9	39.4	+1.7	44%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	16.4	36.9	+4.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.0	16.3	36.3	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.2	16.6	37.8	+4.6	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	15.9	36.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	15.6	36.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	17.0	39.5	+5.5	100%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.8	17.9	36.6	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.9	15.8	36.7	+5.2	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	16.9	36.2	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	18.6	35.7	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	18.2	35.4	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	19.2	34.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.4	20.1	37.5	-2.7	36%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.0	17.1	37.1	+2.9	60%	-
vs Weaker (9)	17.2	15.7	32.9	+1.6	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	17.2	35.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.1	16.3	35.3	+2.8	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.3	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	17.1	34.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	14.6	32.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	11.5	20.5	32.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.5	19.1	38.6	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.1	16.1	35.2	+3.0	70%	-

OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caceres

#15

41-29

+12

H02/12

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

31-36

-5

A06/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

34-44

-10

H11/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

37-33

A17/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

48-39

H20/12

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

32-42

-10

A28/12

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

36-30

H07/01

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

32-33

-1

H14/01

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

33-40

-7

A20/01

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

49-47

A28/01

Primera FEB

74.6Avg total

37.3Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	37.1	74.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	36.4	74.5	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.7	37.8	73.5	-2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	37.3	74.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	38.4	74.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	36.8	40.3	77.1	-3.5	36%	-
vs Similar (10)	36.3	35.9	72.2	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	37.8	34.6	72.3	+3.2	67%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

31-41

-10

H04/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

36-34

A07/12

Primera FEB

Castello

47-30

+17

H11/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

41-38

A17/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

31-36

-5

H20/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

37-25

+12

A27/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

37-34

H08/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

47-38

A14/01

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

29-21

H20/01

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

42-33

H29/01

Primera FEB

70.8Avg total

37.8Scored

33.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	33.6	72.8	+5.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	39.1	32.6	71.6	+6.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.4	35.2	74.6	+4.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	33.0	70.8	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	30.2	68.6	+8.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.0	37.5	71.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.2	37.0	75.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	40.1	31.9	72.0	+8.2	75%	-

This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	19.0	36.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	20.2	36.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.6	37.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.2	22.1	38.3	-5.9	18%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.2	20.3	39.5	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.2	15.4	36.7	+5.8	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.7	39.1	+1.8	77%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.1	19.1	41.2	+2.9	83%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.6	37.1	-0.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	23.0	41.4	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	22.5	39.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.1	20.8	39.9	-1.6	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.3	17.4	38.8	+3.9	85%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.4	36.5	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	17.3	35.4	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.5	37.6	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	19.3	37.3	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.4	18.9	37.3	-0.5	55%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.3	20.1	38.4	-1.8	30%	-
vs Weaker (9)	17.6	15.9	33.4	+1.7	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	16.8	35.6	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	18.4	15.8	34.2	+2.7	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.1	37.3	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	17.4	40.2	+5.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	21.0	42.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.1	16.2	34.4	+1.9	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	18.7	16.6	35.3	+2.1	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	37.9	74.7	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.6	37.3	74.9	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.0	38.5	74.5	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.6	39.5	74.1	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	39.0	77.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	34.5	41.0	75.5	-6.5	18%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.5	40.4	77.9	-2.9	40%	-
vs Weaker (9)	38.8	31.3	70.1	+7.4	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	35.5	74.7	+3.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	40.5	34.9	75.4	+5.6	83%	-
Last 30 away (12)	37.2	36.4	73.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	35.7	74.4	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	40.4	81.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	38.5	43.5	82.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.2	37.0	74.2	+0.2	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	40.0	34.1	74.1	+5.9	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ourense wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
11/10/22	Estudiantes v Ourense	104-86

Ourenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/01/23	A	Gipuzkoa	89-88
20/01/23	A	Forca Lleida	63-84
14/01/23	H	MoraBanc Andorra	62-72
07/01/23	H	Iraurgi SB	87-72
28/12/22	A	Alicante	80-84 OT
20/12/22	H	San Pablo Burgos	95-91 OT
17/12/22	A	Oviedo	58-75
11/12/22	H	Palencia	66-82
06/12/22	A	Almansa	66-73
02/12/22	H	Caceres	76-70

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/01/23	H	Forca Lleida	94-75
20/01/23	H	Iraurgi SB	75-55
14/01/23	A	San Pablo Burgos	86-78
08/01/23	H	Palencia	73-83
27/12/22	A	Caceres	70-62
20/12/22	H	Albacete	68-63
17/12/22	A	Estela	82-76
11/12/22	H	Castello	77-52
07/12/22	A	Gipuzkoa	68-64
04/12/22	H	MoraBanc Andorra	72-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	33%
Home	WLWWL	56%
Away	LLLLW	11%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	33%	56%	11%
Points / game	73.7	75.7	71.8
Allowed / game	80.7	75.4	85.9
Point differential	-6.9	+0.2	-14.1
Avg total	154.4	151.1	157.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	22%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	11%	11%	11%

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	78%
Home	WWLWW	80%
Away	LWWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	10	8
Win %	78%	80%	75%
Points / game	80.2	81.5	78.6
Allowed / game	72.8	69.6	76.8
Point differential	+7.4	+11.9	+1.9
Avg total	153.0	151.1	155.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	60%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	MoraBanc Andorra	18	16	2	89%	82.0	68.9	+13.1
2	Palencia	18	16	2	89%	81.9	70.6	+11.3
3	Estudiantes	18	14	4	78%	80.2	72.8	+7.4
4	Real Valladolid	19	13	6	68%	75.3	70.8	+4.5
5	Leyma Coruna	19	12	7	63%	83.6	77.0	+6.6
6	Forca Lleida	19	12	7	63%	81.1	79.2	+1.9
7	Alicante	19	12	7	63%	75.8	74.6	+1.2
8	San Pablo Burgos	19	11	8	58%	80.1	75.8	+4.3
9	Gipuzkoa	18	10	8	56%	75.1	71.0	+4.1
10	Estela	18	9	9	50%	73.1	75.3	-2.3
11	Castello	18	6	12	33%	74.6	77.0	-2.4
12	Ourense	18	6	12	33%	73.7	80.7	-6.9
13	Almansa	18	6	12	33%	73.5	80.7	-7.2
14	Caceres	18	5	13	28%	72.2	78.7	-6.5
15	Oviedo	18	5	13	28%	69.1	77.9	-8.9
16	Albacete	19	5	14	26%	71.1	76.2	-5.1
17	Melilla	19	4	15	21%	76.7	81.8	-5.2
18	Iraurgi SB	19	4	15	21%	72.6	82.5	-9.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ourense	12	20	25	19	76
Estudiantes	18	23	23	22	86

← all games of the day

Ourense vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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