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Estela vs Palmer Basket Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 03 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record6-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#7
Record5-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game84.5
SpainPrimera FEBRound 28
Other2026-27
Meetings · Estela v Palmer Basket
03 Apr 2027
ESTE v PALM
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
ESTE73
PALM76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Palmer Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
65-95
65
95
-30
58avg 72
H02/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
70-100
70
100
-30
53avg 72
A08/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
69-68
69
68
+1
54avg 72
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
88-76
88
76
+12
89avg 72
A04/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
101-86
101
86
+15
99avg 72
A10/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 72
H17/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
L
81-82
81
82
-1
73avg 72
A25/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H31/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
W
73-71
73
71
+2
no box
H07/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
A14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
13-25
22-19
9-23
14-26
16-28
23-25
17-21
18-20
20-17
14-17
17-14
17-24
24-15
24-15
23-22
21-28
31-13
27-20
22-25
22-15
22-23
23-24
17-17
23-20
19-23
19-19
20-20
17-19
14-19
21-24
21-23
16-12
13-17
27-18
17-24
18-21
30-18
26-17
18-11
160.5Avg total
79.6Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.676.8159.4+5.975%
Season at home (4)74.875.8150.5-1.075%
Season away (4)90.577.8168.2+12.875%
Last 10 (10)79.680.9160.5-1.360%
Last 5 (5)80.676.8157.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)76.786.2162.9-9.533%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.677.5156.1+1.150%
vs Weaker (5)82.874.4157.2+8.480%
This opponent (Palmer Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Palmer BasketSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
L
70-73
70
73
-3
59avg 68
A03/05
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
59-85
59
85
-26
40avg 68
H08/05
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
95-94
95
94
+1
91avg 68
H25/09
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#10
L
72-81
72
81
-9
67avg 68
A02/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
84-69
84
69
+15
79avg 68
H11/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
94-90
94
90
+4
83avg 68
A16/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
L
94-95
94
95
-1
88avg 68
H25/10
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#9
W
80-79
80
79
+1
no box
H01/11
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
no box
A07/11
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
80-71
80
71
+9
no box
H15/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
12-21
28-15
13-25
5-19
16-22
23-21
15-23
29-22
22-21
25-23
19-28
22-17
22-16
10-23
18-25
18-15
21-18
23-17
22-19
18-22
24-23
23-25
29-20
26-26
19-20
25-28
24-21
25-18
16-17
20-23
19-21
23-12
14-20
18-20
29-32
13-19
22-22
21-15
24-15
165.5Avg total
82.1Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.584.5171.0+2.062%
Season at home (5)86.681.6168.2+5.080%
Season away (3)86.389.3175.7-3.033%
Last 10 (10)82.183.4165.5-1.350%
Last 5 (5)88.286.4174.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)72.284.4156.5-12.216%
vs Similar ◀ (4)79.876.0155.8+3.875%
vs Weaker (7)85.682.7168.3+2.971%
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.7-1.7
EstelaPalmer Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H02/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A08/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A04/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A10/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H17/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A25/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H31/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H07/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A14/11
Primera FEB
80.0Avg total
38.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.581.5-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.740.479.1-1.736%-
Last 30 away (16)41.142.483.5-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.941.180.0-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.476.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.644.382.9-5.727%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.838.379.1+2.550%-
vs Weaker (5)42.639.281.8+3.480%-
This opponent (Palmer Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Palmer BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A03/05
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H08/05
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H25/09
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#10
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A02/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H11/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A16/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H25/10
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#9
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H01/11
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A07/11
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H15/11
Primera FEB
76.6Avg total
38.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.979.1-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.640.879.4-2.244%-
Last 30 away (14)37.940.978.9-3.036%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.276.6+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.879.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.442.478.8-6.126%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)40.036.076.0+4.075%-
vs Weaker (7)42.439.481.9+3.057%-
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estela: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.5
55.7%
53.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.3
33.8%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.214.2
74.0%
74.2%14.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palmer Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palmer Basket: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.3
52.0%
53.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.0
29.9%
32.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.014.8
70.5%
74.2%14.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estela
WWLLWWWWLL
Palmer Basket
WLWLWWLWLL
#5
League position
#7
-5.8
Net rating
-5.6
111.4
Offensive rating
105.4
117.2
Defensive rating
111.1
53.2%
Effective FG%
49.4%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.8%
3-point %
29.9%
57.2%
Assist %
48.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 105.4Defence117.2 · 111.1Shooting53.2% · 49.4%3-point %33.8% · 29.9%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Estela   ■ Palmer Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Estela wins
2
Palmer Basket wins
DateGameScore
15/03/26Palmer Basket v Estela86-83
10/01/26Estela v Palmer Basket73-76
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGipuzkoa92-67
07/11/26HEstudiantes73-71
31/10/26HPalencia73-85
25/10/26AAlbacete81-82
17/10/26HFuenlabrada84-79
10/10/26AOurense101-86
04/10/26AFibwi Palma88-76
26/09/26HHestia Menorca69-68
08/05/26APalencia70-100
02/05/26HObradoiro CAB65-95
Palmer Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HAlbacete80-71
07/11/26AAlicante93-97 OT
01/11/26HOviedo80-79
25/10/26HTizona Burgos94-95
16/10/26AGipuzkoa94-90
11/10/26HZamora84-69
02/10/26ACaja 8772-81
25/09/26HFibwi Palma95-94
08/05/26HFibwi Palma59-85
03/05/26AEstudiantes70-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW75%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game82.674.890.5
Allowed / game76.875.877.8
Point differential+5.9-1.0+12.8
Avg total159.4150.5168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Palmer Basket
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game86.586.686.3
Allowed / game84.581.689.3
Point differential+2.0+5.0-3.0
Avg total171.0168.2175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket85362%86.584.5+2.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
11 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
12 Albacete83538%78.483.5-5.1
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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