PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Slovenia vs Belgium Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 86-69
16-10 27-21 21-17 22-21
Position#8
Record0-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game104.0
vs
Position#16
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 3· Spodek
Other2025
Meetings · Slovenia v Belgium
31 Aug 2025
SLOV86
BELG69
10 Sep 2022
SLOV88
BELG72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Slovenia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belgium winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSlovenia
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#9
L
84-100
84
100
-16
no box
A07/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
89-85
89
85
+4
no box
A09/09
World Cup
Ukraine
#36
W
87-73
87
73
+14
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
W
88-79
88
79
+9
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
74-82
74
82
-8
68avg 77
A22/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
83-82
83
82
+1
76avg 77
H25/11
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
84-71
84
71
+13
84avg 77
A21/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
74-84
74
84
-10
69avg 77
A24/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
95-105
95
105
-10
91avg 77
H28/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
95-103
95
103
-8
88avg 77
A30/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-33
22-20
20-22
21-25
15-18
27-23
28-19
19-25
21-22
18-18
25-13
23-20
8-20
32-17
25-16
23-26
10-22
14-27
24-15
26-18
24-17
20-32
22-19
17-14
24-22
21-14
21-19
18-16
15-11
16-25
28-25
15-23
25-29
21-18
23-33
26-25
30-28
24-19
16-21
25-35
171.7Avg total
85.3Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)95.0104.0199.0-9.00%
Season at home (1)95.0105.0200.0-10.00%
Season away (1)95.0103.0198.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)85.386.4171.7-1.150%
Last 5 (5)86.289.0175.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.192.6175.7-9.429%
vs Similar (16)86.182.2168.3+3.969%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)90.780.1170.9+10.671%
This opponent (Belgium) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelgium
Date
Competition
Great Britain
#75
W
88-59
88
59
+29
no box
A24/02
World Cup
Turkey
#50
L
54-82
54
82
-28
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Slovakia
#23
W
75-60
75
60
+15
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
58-53
58
53
+5
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
72-75
72
75
-3
61avg 65
A22/11
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
79avg 65
H25/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
93-63
93
63
+30
98avg 65
H20/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
L
52-59
52
59
-7
35avg 65
A23/02
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
64-92
64
92
-28
56avg 65
H28/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
71-64
71
64
+7
62avg 65
A30/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
23-10
20-13
26-20
14-22
17-23
14-19
9-18
25-13
15-23
24-18
11-6
11-14
8-12
21-13
18-14
25-17
19-25
13-17
15-16
20-16
21-20
25-22
17-27
21-24
25-13
23-10
24-16
11-11
14-11
15-20
12-17
10-18
17-25
22-27
15-22
17-21
15-15
14-16
25-12
140.2Avg total
71.0Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)67.578.0145.5-10.550%
Season at home (1)64.092.0156.0-28.00%
Season away (1)71.064.0135.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)71.069.2140.2+1.850%
Last 5 (5)72.672.6145.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)67.873.6141.4-5.840%
vs Similar (10)71.379.5150.8-8.220%
vs Weaker (15)78.166.3144.3+11.873%
This opponent (Slovenia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
SloveniaBelgium
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SloveniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#9
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A07/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A09/09
World Cup
Ukraine
#36
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H22/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H25/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A22/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H25/11
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A24/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H28/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A30/08
EuroBasket
84.3Avg total
40.8Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.685.0+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.743.789.4+2.064%-
Last 30 away (16)41.239.881.1+1.456%-
Last 10 (10)40.843.584.3-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.043.087.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.142.185.3+1.043%-
vs Similar (16)42.542.184.6+0.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)45.440.085.4+5.471%-
This opponent (Belgium) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelgiumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Great Britain
#75
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A24/02
World Cup
Turkey
#50
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H27/02
World Cup
Slovakia
#23
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
L
19-26
19
26
-7
H25/02
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A22/11
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H25/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A23/02
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H28/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A30/08
EuroBasket
69.6Avg total
34.7Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.636.972.5-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.936.671.5-1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)36.237.273.4-1.044%-
Last 10 (10)34.734.969.6-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)34.234.869.0-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)30.440.871.2-10.40%-
vs Similar (10)35.940.676.5-4.740%-
vs Weaker (15)37.133.170.3+4.067%-
This opponent (Slovenia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sloveniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Slovenia: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀29%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.815.4
50.0%
52.4%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.6
33.5%
33.4%28.9
🏀 Free throws31.024.6
79.4%
73.1%24.6
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Belgiumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.815.4
45.6%
52.4%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.8
31.2%
33.4%26.2
🏀 Free throws18.513.2
71.6%
73.1%13.2
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 31 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Slovenia
LLLWWLWWWL
Belgium
WLLWLLWWLW
#8
League position
#16
+0.5
Net rating
+3.4
109.5
Offensive rating
99.4
109.0
Defensive rating
96.0
50.1%
Effective FG%
46.2%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
20.2%
Turnover %
18.6%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.52
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.5%
3-point %
31.2%
80.0%
Assist %
67.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 99.4Defence109.0 · 96.0Shooting50.1% · 46.2%3-point %33.5% · 31.2%Ball care20.2% · 18.6%Off. rebounds34.0% · 31.4%Free throws0.52 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Slovenia   ■ Belgium
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Slovenia wins
0
Belgium wins
DateGameScore
10/09/22Slovenia v Belgium88-72
Slovenialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/08/25AFrance95-103
28/08/25HPoland95-105
24/02/25AIsrael74-84
21/02/25AUkraine84-71
25/11/24HPortugal83-82
22/11/24APortugal74-82
25/02/24HIsrael88-79
22/02/24HUkraine87-73
09/09/23AItaly89-85
07/09/23ALithuania84-100
Belgiumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/08/25AIceland71-64
28/08/25HFrance64-92
23/02/25ASpain52-59
20/02/25HSlovakia93-63
25/11/24HLatvia83-85
22/11/24ALatvia72-75
25/02/24HSpain58-53
22/02/24ASlovakia75-60
27/02/23HTurkey54-82
24/02/23AGreat Britain88-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Slovenia
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game95.095.095.0
Allowed / game104.0105.0103.0
Point differential-9.0-10.0-8.0
Avg total199.0200.0198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Belgium
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game67.564.071.0
Allowed / game78.092.064.0
Point differential-10.5-28.0+7.0
Avg total145.5156.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turkey330100%93.368.3+25.0
2 Germany330100%106.082.3+23.7
3 France220100%97.579.5+18.0
4 Greece220100%85.567.5+18.0
5 Finland330100%95.778.0+17.7
6 Serbia330100%87.371.0+16.3
7 Poland220100%85.579.5+6.0
8 Lithuania32167%92.081.3+10.7
9 Israel21150%73.568.5+5.0
10 Italy21150%72.068.5+3.5
11 Spain21150%78.575.0+3.5
12 Bosnia & Herzegovina21150%79.076.0+3.0
13 Georgia21150%72.573.5-1.0
14 Belgium21150%67.578.0-10.5
15 Sweden31233%83.785.7-2.0
16 Estonia31233%74.381.7-7.3
17 Latvia31233%75.082.3-7.3
18 Portugal31233%61.775.0-13.3
19 Slovenia2020%95.0104.0-9.0
20 Iceland2020%67.577.0-9.5
21 Czech Republic3030%67.781.0-13.3
22 Great Britain3030%69.393.7-24.3
23 Montenegro3030%69.395.0-25.7
24 Cyprus2020%66.593.5-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Slovenia1627212286
Belgium1021172169
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.