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France vs Slovenia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 103-95
28-30 19-24 21-16 35-25
Position#5
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game64.0
France 🏆
vs
Position#8
Record0-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game105.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 2· Spodek
Other2025
Meetings · France v Slovenia
27 Aug 2026
FRAN92
SLOV67
30 Aug 2025
FRAN103
SLOV95
07 Sep 2022
FRAN82
SLOV88
05 Aug 2021
FRAN90
SLOV89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

France winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Slovenia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFrance
Date
Competition
Lebanon
#18
W
85-79
85
79
+6
no box
A29/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
82-55
82
55
+27
no box
H31/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
87-77
87
77
+10
no box
A02/09
World Cup
Croatia
#7
W
73-61
73
61
+12
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
74-64
74
64
+10
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
75-59
75
59
+16
70avg 76
A21/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
85-70
85
70
+15
78avg 76
H24/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
W
83-80
83
80
+3
78avg 76
A21/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 76
H24/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
92-64
92
64
+28
89avg 76
A28/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
19-17
20-22
27-20
9-12
26-15
19-9
28-19
25-21
15-20
22-20
25-16
15-14
20-16
22-14
16-17
16-15
18-17
23-16
17-16
20-15
17-16
14-19
24-9
28-14
19-20
21-24
17-12
20-17
17-18
22-16
24-29
18-21
16-11
17-25
25-17
18-10
25-17
27-22
22-15
149.5Avg total
81.2Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)92.064.0156.0+28.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)92.064.0156.0+28.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.268.3149.5+12.9100%
Last 5 (5)82.269.4151.6+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.281.0155.2-6.850%
vs Similar (9)79.978.0157.9+1.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)82.864.5147.3+18.288%
This opponent (Slovenia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSlovenia
Date
Competition
Canada
#4
L
89-100
89
100
-11
no box
A06/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
84-100
84
100
-16
no box
A07/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
89-85
89
85
+4
no box
A09/09
World Cup
Ukraine
#36
W
87-73
87
73
+14
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
W
88-79
88
79
+9
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
74-82
74
82
-8
68avg 76
A22/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
83-82
83
82
+1
76avg 76
H25/11
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
84-71
84
71
+13
84avg 76
A21/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
74-84
74
84
-10
69avg 76
A24/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
95-105
95
105
-10
91avg 76
H28/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
26-24
21-30
18-20
21-33
22-20
20-22
21-25
15-18
27-23
28-19
19-25
21-22
18-18
25-13
23-20
8-20
32-17
25-16
23-26
10-22
14-27
24-15
26-18
24-17
20-32
22-19
17-14
24-22
21-14
21-19
18-16
15-11
16-25
28-25
15-23
25-29
21-18
23-33
26-25
170.8Avg total
84.7Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)95.0105.0200.0-10.00%
Season at home (1)95.0105.0200.0-10.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.786.1170.8-1.450%
Last 5 (5)82.084.8166.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)81.290.8172.0-9.733%
vs Similar (16)86.182.2168.3+3.969%
vs Weaker (8)91.578.8170.2+12.875%
This opponent (France) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
FranceSlovenia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FranceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lebanon
#18
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A29/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H31/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A02/09
World Cup
Croatia
#7
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H23/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A26/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A21/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A21/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H24/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A28/08
EuroBasket
70.6Avg total
38.0Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.534.773.2+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.034.273.2+4.877%-
Last 30 away (17)38.135.173.2+3.159%-
Last 10 (10)38.032.670.6+5.490%-
Last 5 (5)39.631.871.4+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.238.876.0-1.550%-
vs Similar (9)39.737.377.0+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.232.470.5+5.871%-
This opponent (Slovenia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SloveniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canada
#4
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A06/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A07/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A09/09
World Cup
Ukraine
#36
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H22/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H25/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A22/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H25/11
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A24/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H28/08
EuroBasket
84.2Avg total
40.4Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.284.6+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.343.189.4+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.439.379.7+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.884.2-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.043.481.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)41.341.382.7+0.033%-
vs Similar (16)42.542.184.6+0.462%-
vs Weaker (8)46.539.485.9+7.175%-
This opponent (France) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Francetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

France: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.7
53.7%
52.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.4
28.7%
33.4%22.3
🏀 Free throws22.616.9
74.7%
73.1%16.9
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sloveniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Slovenia: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.416.0
50.9%
52.4%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.4
32.4%
33.4%28.3
🏀 Free throws28.922.7
78.7%
73.1%22.7
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 30 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
France
WWWWWWWWWW
Slovenia
LLWWLWWWLL
#5
League position
#8
+16.2
Net rating
+2.4
108.7
Offensive rating
108.0
92.5
Defensive rating
105.6
49.3%
Effective FG%
49.8%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
18.5%
Turnover %
20.5%
37.0%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.48
28.7%
3-point %
32.4%
67.9%
Assist %
80.9%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 108.0Defence92.5 · 105.6Shooting49.3% · 49.8%3-point %28.7% · 32.4%Ball care18.5% · 20.5%Off. rebounds37.0% · 34.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.48Form (last 10/10)100% · 50%
■ France   ■ Slovenia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
France wins
1
Slovenia wins
DateGameScore
07/09/22France v Slovenia82-88
05/08/21France v Slovenia90-89
Francelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/08/25ABelgium92-64
24/02/25HBosnia & Herzegovina76-74
21/02/25ACroatia83-80
24/11/24HCyprus85-70
21/11/24ACyprus75-59
26/02/24ABosnia & Herzegovina74-64
23/02/24HCroatia73-61
02/09/23AIvory Coast87-77
31/08/23HIran82-55
29/08/23ALebanon85-79
Slovenialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/08/25HPoland95-105
24/02/25AIsrael74-84
21/02/25AUkraine84-71
25/11/24HPortugal83-82
22/11/24APortugal74-82
25/02/24HIsrael88-79
22/02/24HUkraine87-73
09/09/23AItaly89-85
07/09/23ALithuania84-100
06/09/23ACanada89-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

France
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game92.0-92.0
Allowed / game64.0-64.0
Point differential+28.0-+28.0
Avg total156.0-156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Slovenia
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game95.095.0-
Allowed / game105.0105.0-
Point differential-10.0-10.0-
Avg total200.0200.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France110100%92.064.0+28.0
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%91.064.0+27.0
3 Germany330100%106.082.3+23.7
4 Serbia220100%89.066.5+22.5
5 Turkey220100%92.575.5+17.0
6 Finland220100%101.084.5+16.5
7 Israel110100%83.071.0+12.0
8 Poland110100%105.095.0+10.0
9 Greece110100%75.066.0+9.0
10 Lithuania32167%92.081.3+10.7
11 Italy21150%72.068.5+3.5
12 Portugal21150%65.565.0+0.5
13 Georgia21150%72.573.5-1.0
14 Latvia21150%72.581.5-9.0
15 Belgium21150%67.578.0-10.5
16 Sweden31233%83.785.7-2.0
17 Estonia31233%74.381.7-7.3
18 Iceland2020%67.577.0-9.5
19 Slovenia1010%95.0105.0-10.0
20 Czech Republic3030%67.781.0-13.3
21 Spain1010%69.083.0-14.0
22 Great Britain3030%69.393.7-24.3
23 Cyprus1010%64.091.0-27.0
24 Montenegro2020%71.5100.0-28.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
France28192135103
Slovenia3024162595
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