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Estudiantes vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 78-85
18-14 23-20 15-21 22-30
Position#14
Record5-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#11
Record3-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game83.9
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 8
European cup2017
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#11
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H12/11
ACB
Banvit
#7
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A14/11
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#5
L
95-99
95
99
-4
A19/11
ACB
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
86-95 OT
86
95
-9
H30/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H03/12
Liga A
Murcia
#9
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H03/12
ACB
Venezia
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H06/12
Champions League
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A06/12
South American League
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A07/12
South American League
Valencia
#4
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H10/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
15-12
7-21
26-21
27-14
14-32
19-23
20-13
30-26
28-25
18-21
19-27
12-25
14-10
27-19
20-19
15-18
18-22
22-22
27-21
19-23
24-14
16-23
20-31
20-18
13-22
23-16
25-24
21-21
17-17
16-17
20-22
19-12
18-28
22-23
24-25
21-21
15-18
14-17
23-15
163.9Avg total
80.2Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.877.3157.1+2.456%
Season at home (4)77.874.5152.2+3.275%
Season away (5)81.479.6161.0+1.840%
Last 10 (10)80.283.7163.9-3.520%
Last 5 (5)78.081.4159.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.080.0157.0-3.036%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.878.5155.3-1.638%
vs Weaker (6)79.271.8151.0+7.383%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A28/10
Basket League
HydroTruck Radom
#45
W
96-92 OT
96
92
+4
H01/11
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#11
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H05/11
Greek Cup
Strasbourg
#16
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A07/11
Champions League
Koroivos
#13
W
86-60
86
60
+26
H11/11
Basket League
Petrol Olimpija
#40
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H15/11
Champions League
Panionios
#12
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H18/11
Basket League
Lavrio
#6
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A03/12
Basket League
Bayreuth
#17
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A06/12
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H10/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
25-20
13-22
21-17
13-20
23-23
17-18
25-17
17-18
15-10
10-16
31-25
11-19
18-20
18-18
31-23
26-19
25-16
14-16
21-9
27-20
23-19
22-20
19-14
21-27
25-23
19-12
18-11
18-23
14-13
16-22
24-22
11-25
24-19
20-16
18-20
22-12
17-25
12-13
15-12
154.7Avg total
79.6Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.383.9168.1+0.443%
Season at home (4)84.081.5165.5+2.550%
Season away (3)84.787.0171.7-2.333%
Last 10 (10)79.675.1154.7+4.560%
Last 5 (5)77.073.6150.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.284.0156.2-11.833%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.381.6159.9-3.329%
vs Weaker (16)82.473.9156.3+8.481%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +5.3+5.3
EstudiantesAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H12/11
ACB
Banvit
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A14/11
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#5
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A19/11
ACB
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H30/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H03/12
Liga A
Murcia
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H03/12
ACB
Venezia
#13
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H06/12
Champions League
Guaros de Lara
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A06/12
South American League
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A07/12
South American League
Valencia
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/12
ACB
77.6Avg total
38.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.938.775.6-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.137.472.4-2.329%-
Last 30 away (16)38.539.878.3-1.344%-
Last 10 (10)38.139.577.6-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.876.2-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.441.175.5-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.137.875.9+0.254%-
vs Weaker (6)39.036.075.0+3.067%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A28/10
Basket League
HydroTruck Radom
#45
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H01/11
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#11
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H05/11
Greek Cup
Strasbourg
#16
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A07/11
Champions League
Koroivos
#13
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H11/11
Basket League
Petrol Olimpija
#40
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H15/11
Champions League
Panionios
#12
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H18/11
Basket League
Lavrio
#6
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A03/12
Basket League
Bayreuth
#17
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A06/12
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H10/12
Basket League
78.8Avg total
39.4Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.977.8+0.053%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.138.878.9+1.261%-
Last 30 away (12)37.239.076.2-1.842%-
Last 10 (10)39.439.478.8+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.281.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.239.775.8-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)33.338.772.0-5.414%-
vs Weaker (16)42.138.880.8+3.369%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.5
52.0%
52.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.08.6
28.7%
34.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.613.6
73.1%
73.8%13.6
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Estudiantes wins
0
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
10/10/17AEK Athens v Estudiantes79-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/17HValencia73-71
07/12/17AGuaros de Lara83-88
06/12/17AGuaros de Lara74-77
06/12/17HVenezia81-80
03/12/17HMurcia79-91
03/12/17HSan Lorenzo82-83
30/11/17HInstituto de Cordoba86-95 OT
19/11/17AGran Canaria95-99
14/11/17ABanvit80-82
12/11/17HFuenlabrada69-71
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/17HOlympiacos66-62
06/12/17ABayreuth73-80
03/12/17ALavrio72-80
18/11/17HPanionios83-73
15/11/17HPetrol Olimpija91-73
11/11/17HKoroivos86-60
07/11/17AStrasbourg78-80
05/11/17HPanathinaikos73-69
01/11/17HHydroTruck Radom96-92 OT
28/10/17AKolossos Rhodes78-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
Champions League 2017
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game79.877.881.4
Allowed / game77.374.579.6
Point differential+2.4+3.2+1.8
Avg total157.1152.2161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %22%25%20%
AEK Athens
Champions League 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game84.384.084.7
Allowed / game83.981.587.0
Point differential+0.4+2.5-2.3
Avg total168.1165.5171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %29%25%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco770100%82.963.7+19.1
2 Ludwigsburg1312192%85.267.8+17.5
3 Tenerife76186%81.666.9+14.7
4 Besiktas76186%75.466.7+8.7
5 Antwerp Giants65183%77.575.7+1.8
6 Neptunas75271%85.477.1+8.3
7 Venezia75271%84.979.4+5.4
8 Minsk64267%69.764.5+5.2
9 Nanterre96367%78.773.7+5.0
10 Saratov64267%72.272.0+0.2
11 Strasbourg85362%78.174.2+3.9
12 Karsiyaka106460%85.784.6+1.1
13 Oldenburg74357%90.086.3+3.7
14 Bayreuth74357%81.979.1+2.7
15 Nymburk74357%80.177.4+2.7
16 Banvit74357%78.478.7-0.3
17 Estudiantes95456%79.877.3+2.4
18 Joventut Badalona42250%76.069.0+7.0
19 Academic42250%84.580.2+4.2
20 Sassari84450%80.879.9+0.9
21 Alba Fehervar42250%78.578.2+0.2
22 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%76.877.5-0.8
23 Murcia84450%79.080.4-1.4
24 Karpos21150%80.082.5-2.5
25 Bakken Bears21150%81.584.5-3.0
26 Keravnos21150%69.573.0-3.5
27 Aris84450%68.272.5-4.2
28 Benfica42250%73.878.0-4.2
29 Skycop21150%69.079.5-10.5
30 Bonn94544%75.175.0+0.1
31 Juventus94544%79.986.0-6.1
32 AEK Athens73443%84.383.9+0.4
33 Avellino73443%72.772.4+0.3
34 Chalon/Saone73443%71.472.0-0.6
35 Ventspils73443%74.676.0-1.4
36 Oostende73443%68.173.6-5.4
37 Petrol Olimpija83538%75.981.4-5.5
38 Donar Groningen62433%78.875.7+3.2
39 Enisey72529%75.782.4-6.7
40 PAOK72529%71.779.7-8.0
41 Gaziantep72529%75.788.3-12.6
42 Zielona Gora82625%75.178.5-3.4
43 Kataja41325%75.280.2-5.0
44 Hapoel Holon82625%78.284.5-6.2
45 HydroTruck Radom92722%71.877.6-5.8
46 Capo d'Orlando92722%65.071.8-6.8
47 Nizhny Novgorod2020%74.578.0-3.5
48 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%67.071.0-4.0
49 BC Lulea2020%76.582.0-5.5
50 Budivelnyk2020%57.564.5-7.0
51 Univ. Cluj-Napoca2020%74.583.0-8.5
52 Z-Mobile Prishtina2020%62.073.0-11.0
53 Mornar Bar2020%66.079.0-13.0
54 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%63.079.0-16.0
55 Basic-Fit Brussels2020%54.580.0-25.5
56 KK Bosna2020%59.093.5-34.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes1823152278
AEK Athens1420213085
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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