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Estudiantes vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 73-71
21-21 15-18 14-17 23-15
Position#10
Record3-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game84.3
Estudiantes 🏆
Spain
vs
Valencia
Spain
Position#4
Record8-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game79.5
SpainACBRound 11
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Estudiantes v Valencia
13 Dec 2020
EST81
VAL86
23 Dec 2018
EST79
VAL83
10 Dec 2017
EST73
VAL71
10 May 2017
EST68
VAL87
25 Oct 2015
EST73
VAL81
01 Mar 2015
EST76
VAL81
20 Apr 2014
EST80
VAL88
27 Oct 2012
EST85
VAL82
09 Oct 2011
EST71
VAL69
30 Apr 2011
EST74
VAL87
16 Jan 2010
EST88
VAL76
01 Feb 2009
EST77
VAL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#3
L
75-89
75
89
-14
no box
A09/11
South American League
Fuenlabrada
#11
L
69-71
69
71
-2
92avg 105
H12/11
ACB
Banvit
#7
L
80-82
80
82
-2
no box
A14/11
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#5
L
95-99
95
99
-4
no box
A19/11
ACB
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
86-95 OT
86
95
-9
no box
H30/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
H03/12
Liga A
Murcia
#9
L
79-91
79
91
-12
108avg 105
H03/12
ACB
Venezia
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
no box
H06/12
Champions League
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
74-77
74
77
-3
no box
A06/12
South American League
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
no box
A07/12
South American League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
19-15
23-20
16-28
21-17
15-12
7-21
26-21
27-14
14-32
19-23
20-13
30-26
28-25
18-21
19-27
12-25
14-10
27-19
20-19
15-18
18-22
22-22
27-21
19-23
24-14
16-23
20-31
20-18
13-22
23-16
25-24
21-21
17-17
16-17
20-22
19-12
18-28
22-23
24-25
165.9Avg total
80.4Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.184.3164.4-4.233%
Season at home (4)75.881.0156.8-5.225%
Season away (5)83.687.0170.6-3.440%
Last 10 (10)80.485.5165.9-5.110%
Last 5 (5)79.883.8163.6-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.480.9158.3-3.530%
vs Similar (14)76.779.4156.1-2.736%
vs Weaker (6)79.271.8151.0+7.383%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#14
W
87-78
87
78
+9
124avg 106
H05/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
67-94
67
94
-27
94avg 106
A09/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
A12/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#15
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
no box
H15/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
L
71-89
71
89
-18
99avg 106
A17/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
74-79
74
79
-5
101avg 106
A19/11
ACB
Bamberg
#13
L
82-83
82
83
-1
109avg 106
A23/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
64-72
64
72
-8
84avg 106
H30/11
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
no box
H03/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
91-94
91
94
-3
117avg 106
A07/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
22-19
20-24
22-20
19-20
19-23
16-30
13-21
19-15
15-21
12-14
35-27
20-19
25-22
19-17
10-16
18-24
14-26
24-21
15-18
16-13
13-24
23-21
22-21
23-20
24-21
19-11
16-31
13-20
17-15
15-19
19-18
26-16
22-14
10-20
15-23
21-25
25-21
19-23
26-25
166.0Avg total
80.4Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.579.5163.0+4.080%
Season at home (5)85.480.2165.6+5.280%
Season away (5)81.678.8160.4+2.880%
Last 10 (10)80.485.6166.0-5.230%
Last 5 (5)80.083.0163.0-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.282.2155.4-9.020%
vs Similar (17)80.677.8158.4+2.953%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)84.377.6161.9+6.7100%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.7-2.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.7-2.7
EstudiantesValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A09/11
South American League
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H12/11
ACB
Banvit
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A14/11
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#5
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A19/11
ACB
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H30/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H03/12
Liga A
Murcia
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H03/12
ACB
Venezia
#13
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H06/12
Champions League
Guaros de Lara
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A06/12
South American League
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A07/12
South American League
77.8Avg total
38.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.639.075.6-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.438.072.4-3.629%-
Last 30 away (16)38.539.878.3-1.344%-
Last 10 (10)38.139.777.8-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.075.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.241.375.5-7.10%-
vs Similar (14)37.338.675.9-1.350%-
vs Weaker (6)39.036.075.0+3.067%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#14
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H05/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A09/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A12/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H15/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A17/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A19/11
ACB
Bamberg
#13
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A23/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H30/11
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H03/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A07/12
Euroleague
78.7Avg total
39.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.178.6+2.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.535.277.7+7.364%-
Last 30 away (16)38.740.679.3-1.931%-
Last 10 (10)39.439.378.7+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.877.8+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.842.680.4-4.820%-
vs Similar (17)40.437.277.6+3.247%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.137.378.4+3.957%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.2
50.3%
51.8%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.78.7
29.2%
35.4%26.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.6
73.6%
74.6%14.6
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.716.5
47.6%
51.8%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.3
38.3%
35.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.915.1
84.4%
74.6%15.1
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estudiantes
LLWLLLLLLL
Valencia
LWLLLLLWLW
#10
League position
#4
-5.7
Net rating
-8.8
101.3
Offensive rating
108.1
106.9
Defensive rating
116.9
47.5%
Effective FG%
51.6%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
14.1%
Turnover %
19.0%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.2%
3-point %
38.3%
56.6%
Assist %
68.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 108.1Defence106.9 · 116.9Shooting47.5% · 51.6%3-point %29.2% · 38.3%Ball care14.1% · 19.0%Off. rebounds24.6% · 31.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Estudiantes   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Estudiantes wins
9
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
10/05/17Estudiantes v Valencia68-87
15/01/17Valencia v Estudiantes93-85
20/03/16Valencia v Estudiantes62-68
25/10/15Estudiantes v Valencia73-81
01/03/15Estudiantes v Valencia76-81
26/10/14Valencia v Estudiantes84-67
20/04/14Estudiantes v Valencia80-88
27/12/13Valencia v Estudiantes96-84
09/03/13Valencia v Estudiantes81-71
08/02/13Valencia v Estudiantes77-59
Estudianteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/17AGuaros de Lara83-88
06/12/17AGuaros de Lara74-77
06/12/17HVenezia81-80
03/12/17HMurcia79-91
03/12/17HSan Lorenzo82-83
30/11/17HInstituto de Cordoba86-95 OT
19/11/17AGran Canaria95-99
14/11/17ABanvit80-82
12/11/17HFuenlabrada69-71
09/11/17AFlamengo75-89
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/17AMaccabi Tel Aviv91-94
03/12/17HMoraBanc Andorra89-87 OT
30/11/17HOlympiacos64-72
23/11/17ABamberg82-83
19/11/17ABarcelona74-79
17/11/17ABarcelona71-89
15/11/17HOlimpia Milano98-103 OT
12/11/17ABilbao81-77
09/11/17ACSKA Moscow67-94
05/11/17HSan Pablo Burgos87-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%25%40%
Points / game80.175.883.6
Allowed / game84.381.087.0
Point differential-4.2-5.2-3.4
Avg total164.4156.8170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game83.585.481.6
Allowed / game79.580.278.8
Point differential+4.0+5.2+2.8
Avg total163.0165.6160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1110191%91.379.4+11.9
2 Barcelona108280%90.479.3+11.1
3 Valencia108280%83.579.5+4.0
4 Fuenlabrada118373%77.776.9+0.8
5 Baskonia117464%84.880.1+4.7
6 Gran Canaria117464%86.082.2+3.8
7 Obradoiro CAB117464%74.574.1+0.5
8 Unicaja116555%81.174.0+7.1
9 Tenerife105550%74.173.1+1.0
10 MoraBanc Andorra115645%80.679.0+1.6
11 Murcia115645%80.479.7+0.6
12 Gipuzkoa114736%77.676.6+1.0
13 Tecnyconta Zaragoza114736%82.785.4-2.6
14 Estudiantes93633%80.184.3-4.2
15 Joventut Badalona103730%77.182.1-5.0
16 Bilbao113827%76.685.1-8.5
17 San Pablo Burgos112918%77.789.8-12.1
18 Real Betis111109%73.589.0-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes2115142373
Valencia2118171571
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