Estudiantes vs Ferro Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 03 Apr 2020

Tip-off: 00:30

Scheduled

Position#19

Record7-20

FormWLLWL

Points / game69.9

Allowed / game77.3

Estudiantes

Ferro

Position#6

Record14-10

FormWLLWL

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game76.1

Liga A

Other2019-20

Meetings · Estudiantes v Ferro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Ferro win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

#14

64-72

-8

H22/01

Liga A

Penarol

#15

72-92

-20

A25/01

Liga A

Ferro

72-78

-6

A26/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

75-103

103

-28

A28/01

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

74-81

-7

H01/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

66-63

H06/02

Liga A

Quimsa

86-97

-11

H13/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#10

68-82

-14

H29/02

Liga A

Regatas

73-69

H07/03

Liga A

Libertad

#20

55-64

-9

H14/03

Liga A

13-20

11-26

17-15

23-11

18-27

18-18

24-19

12-28

16-20

7-21

26-20

23-17

16-30

16-23

29-17

14-33

20-14

16-22

22-19

16-26

12-14

17-11

24-22

13-16

16-26

22-21

25-30

23-20

21-20

13-22

19-18

15-22

9-14

21-20

23-9

20-26

10-16

17-14

18-18

150.6Avg total

70.5Scored

80.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	69.9	77.3	147.2	-7.3	26%
Season at home (15)	70.6	73.7	144.3	-3.1	47%
Season away (12)	69.1	81.8	150.8	-12.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	70.5	80.1	150.6	-9.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	69.6	75.0	144.6	-5.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	70.9	78.6	149.6	-7.7	26%
vs Similar (1)	64.0	72.0	136.0	-8.0	0%
vs Weaker (2)	70.5	76.0	146.5	-5.5	0%

This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

#19

78-72

H26/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

84-88

-4

A03/02

Liga A

Olimpico

77-95

-18

H08/02

Liga A

Argentino

#14

86-62

+24

A12/02

Liga A

Libertad

#20

106-58

106

+48

H15/02

Liga A

Penarol

#15

80-69

+11

H16/02

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

69-74

-5

H01/03

Liga A

Quimsa

92-96

-4

A05/03

Liga A

Olimpico

86-83

A07/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#11

82-83

-1

H11/03

Liga A

20-16

21-7

20-26

17-23

17-21

23-27

22-17

22-23

18-21

16-27

24-20

19-27

14-15

21-16

25-17

26-14

16-15

33-13

26-11

31-19

27-14

13-19

25-20

15-16

15-15

13-20

20-23

21-16

21-24

15-28

30-21

26-23

18-22

14-22

26-16

28-23

17-17

12-19

25-22

28-25

162.0Avg total

84.0Scored

78.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	79.3	76.1	155.4	+3.2	58%
Season at home (13)	81.2	76.4	157.6	+4.8	62%
Season away (11)	77.1	75.7	152.8	+1.4	55%
Last 10 (10)	84.0	78.0	162.0	+6.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	81.0	162.8	+0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	74.7	80.3	155.0	-5.7	33%
vs Similar (16)	76.5	79.9	156.4	-3.4	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	84.2	66.9	151.1	+17.3	82%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesFerro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.0	18.8	34.8	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	16.3	18.1	34.4	-1.8	39%	-
Last 30 away (12)	15.7	19.8	35.5	-4.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.1	20.1	35.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.6	18.0	31.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	16.2	19.1	35.3	-2.9	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	13.0	20.0	33.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.5	14.5	30.0	+1.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	17.6	37.9	+2.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	18.0	36.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.7	14.5	34.2	+5.3	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.2	19.2	35.4	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	16.4	18.4	34.8	-2.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	15.9	20.5	36.4	-4.6	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.1	20.0	35.1	-4.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	18.0	34.6	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	16.4	18.9	35.3	-2.5	37%	-
vs Similar (1)	11.0	26.0	37.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.5	20.5	37.0	-4.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.1	35.9	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	17.3	37.6	+3.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	16.9	33.9	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.4	21.6	35.0	-8.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar (16)	17.4	18.1	35.6	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.5	15.0	35.5	+5.5	64%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

#14

24-46

-22

H22/01

Liga A

Penarol

#15

36-45

-9

A25/01

Liga A

Ferro

23-41

-18

A26/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

32-53

-21

A28/01

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

36-36

H01/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

29-25

H06/02

Liga A

Quimsa

38-47

-9

H13/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#10

34-42

-8

H29/02

Liga A

Regatas

30-34

-4

H07/03

Liga A

Libertad

#20

20-32

-12

H14/03

Liga A

70.3Avg total

30.2Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.2	38.0	70.3	-5.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	32.7	36.5	69.2	-3.8	39%	-
Last 30 away (12)	31.6	40.3	71.9	-8.8	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.2	40.1	70.3	-9.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.2	36.0	66.2	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	32.6	38.0	70.5	-5.4	30%	-
vs Similar (1)	24.0	46.0	70.0	-22.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (2)	32.0	35.0	67.0	-3.0	50%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

#19

41-23

+18

H26/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

40-48

-8

A03/02

Liga A

Olimpico

34-48

-14

H08/02

Liga A

Argentino

#14

35-31

A12/02

Liga A

Libertad

#20

49-28

+21

H15/02

Liga A

Penarol

#15

40-33

H16/02

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

28-35

-7

H01/03

Liga A

Quimsa

36-52

-16

A05/03

Liga A

Olimpico

32-44

-12

A07/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#11

29-36

-7

H11/03

Liga A

74.2Avg total

36.4Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	34.9	73.3	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.6	34.9	75.6	+5.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.8	34.9	70.6	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	37.8	74.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	40.0	73.0	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.7	41.3	83.0	+0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	36.4	37.4	73.9	-1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	40.3	29.5	69.7	+10.8	91%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.2	37.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.7	18.8	38.4	+0.9	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.3	19.8	37.2	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	18.3	40.9	+4.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.6	40.2	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.3	48%	-
vs Similar (1)	17.0	15.0	32.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (2)	12.0	16.0	28.0	-4.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	19.1	39.8	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	19.3	43.6	+5.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	20.4	45.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	16.7	31.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.3	20.2	39.6	-0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	22.2	19.3	41.5	+2.9	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.3	39.3	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.5	19.8	38.2	-1.2	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	21.7	39.4	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.4	38.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	19.1	21.1	40.1	-2.0	48%	-
vs Similar (1)	23.0	11.0	34.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.5	14.0	30.5	+2.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.4	40.9	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	20.1	41.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	20.6	40.6	-0.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	20.9	44.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.6	44.2	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	22.3	41.0	-3.7	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.7	18.2	39.9	+3.5	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	39.5	77.2	-1.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	39.1	39.4	78.4	-0.3	39%	-
Last 30 away (12)	35.8	39.6	75.4	-3.8	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	40.0	80.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	39.0	78.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	38.4	40.7	79.0	-2.3	26%	-
vs Similar (1)	40.0	26.0	66.0	+14.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (2)	28.5	30.0	58.5	-1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	39.9	80.3	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	39.2	80.9	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	40.6	79.6	-1.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.6	40.2	87.8	+7.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.8	41.0	89.8	+7.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	33.0	39.0	72.0	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	39.3	41.8	81.1	-2.4	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	43.9	37.5	81.4	+6.5	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 82.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	17.9	50.7%	53.8%	35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	10.5	37.4%	32.9%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.4	74.8%	71.7%	15.4

They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	21.1	57.8%	53.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	11.8	41.7%	32.9%	35.4
🏀 Free throws	19.1	14.0	73.3%	71.7%	14.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	19.7	51.5%	53.8%	39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.3	36.0%	32.9%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.4	73.4%	71.7%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	20.9	56.2%	53.8%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	10.2	37.3%	32.9%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.8	74.8%	71.7%	14.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Ferro wins

Date	Game	Score
26/01/20	Ferro v Estudiantes	78-72
19/12/18	Ferro v Estudiantes	86-67
10/12/18	Estudiantes v Ferro	65-74
26/04/18	Ferro v Estudiantes	84-80
10/04/18	Estudiantes v Ferro	87-82
24/04/17	Estudiantes v Ferro	78-66
08/02/17	Ferro v Estudiantes	67-76
10/04/16	Ferro v Estudiantes	68-75
17/02/16	Estudiantes v Ferro	78-84

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/03/20	H	Libertad	55-64
07/03/20	H	Regatas	73-69
29/02/20	H	Boca Juniors	68-82
13/02/20	H	Quimsa	86-97
06/02/20	H	Obras Sanitarias	66-63
01/02/20	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	74-81
28/01/20	A	Obras Sanitarias	75-103
26/01/20	A	Ferro	72-78
25/01/20	A	Penarol	72-92
22/01/20	H	Argentino	64-72

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/20	H	Weber Bahia	82-83
07/03/20	A	Olimpico	86-83
05/03/20	A	Quimsa	92-96
01/03/20	H	Instituto de Cordoba	69-74
16/02/20	H	Penarol	80-69
15/02/20	H	Libertad	106-58
12/02/20	A	Argentino	86-62
08/02/20	H	Olimpico	77-95
03/02/20	A	Gimnasia	84-88
26/01/20	H	Estudiantes	78-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	26%
Home	WLLWL	47%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	15	12
Win %	26%	47%	0%
Points / game	69.9	70.6	69.1
Allowed / game	77.3	73.7	81.8
Point differential	-7.3	-3.1	-12.7
Avg total	147.2	144.3	150.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	83% (6)	0% (2)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Ferro

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	58%
Home	LWWLL	62%
Away	LLWLW	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	13	11
Win %	58%	62%	55%
Points / game	79.3	81.2	77.1
Allowed / game	76.1	76.4	75.7
Point differential	+3.2	+4.8	+1.4
Avg total	155.4	157.6	152.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	31%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	0% (2)	57% (7)
Overtime %	4%	0%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	21	18	3	86%	90.1	83.4	+6.8
2	San Lorenzo	21	17	4	81%	87.5	80.5	+7.0
3	Gimnasia	25	19	6	76%	87.3	79.8	+7.4
4	Instituto de Cordoba	22	15	7	68%	81.1	75.5	+5.6
5	Comunicaciones Mercedes	26	16	10	62%	86.0	78.3	+7.7
6	Ferro	24	14	10	58%	79.3	76.1	+3.2
7	San Martin	23	13	10	57%	82.8	79.5	+3.3
8	Regatas	25	13	12	52%	83.9	81.8	+2.1
9	Olimpico	24	12	12	50%	82.9	81.0	+1.9
10	Boca Juniors	26	13	13	50%	77.9	77.8	+0.2
11	Weber Bahia	26	12	14	46%	90.8	95.3	-4.4
12	Hispano Americano	27	12	15	44%	84.4	84.0	+0.3
13	Obras Sanitarias	26	11	15	42%	84.3	83.2	+1.1
14	Argentino	26	11	15	42%	77.4	83.3	-5.9
15	Penarol	27	11	16	41%	83.3	84.2	-0.9
16	La Union	25	10	15	40%	82.6	84.8	-2.1
17	Atenas	25	10	15	40%	80.4	83.0	-2.6
18	Platense	24	8	16	33%	75.8	82.5	-6.7
19	Estudiantes	27	7	20	26%	69.9	77.3	-7.3
20	Libertad	26	6	20	23%	71.0	83.5	-12.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Ferro Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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