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Estudiantes vs Forca Lleida Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 70-85
10-25 11-27 27-20 22-13
Position#4
Record29-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#1
Record30-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game74.3
SpainPrimera FEBLEB Oro - Final· Madrid Arena
Other2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Estudiantes v Forca Lleida
09 Jun 2024
EST70
FLL85
10 Dec 2023
EST75
FLL72
29 Jan 2023
EST94
FLL75
10 Oct 2021
EST98
FLL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forca Lleida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Estela
#14
W
81-67
81
67
+14
79avg 77
A20/04
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
89-73
89
73
+16
92avg 77
H28/04
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
85-72
85
72
+13
81avg 77
H05/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
W
75-61
75
61
+14
64avg 77
A10/05
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
W
86-77
86
77
+9
74avg 77
H17/05
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
W
98-73
98
73
+25
92avg 77
H19/05
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
75avg 77
A24/05
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
L
65-77
65
77
-12
51avg 77
A26/05
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
W
65-54
65
54
+11
62avg 77
H30/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
W
86-62
86
62
+24
78avg 77
H08/06
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
12-18
26-8
20-19
23-19
23-20
26-18
17-16
18-25
28-20
18-9
21-18
19-13
16-20
24-17
16-11
26-9
20-31
17-19
23-18
19-23
31-15
24-17
24-18
23-23
21-23
20-24
20-20
9-17
22-18
17-27
17-15
19-15
14-11
13-17
19-11
26-16
18-19
18-14
24-13
152.0Avg total
81.4Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)83.575.5159.0+8.072%
Season at home (21)86.673.3159.9+13.381%
Season away (19)80.178.0158.1+2.163%
Last 10 (10)81.470.6152.0+10.880%
Last 5 (5)79.671.2150.8+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.083.7164.7-2.750%
vs Weaker (20)83.872.8156.6+11.080%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#8
W
74-73
74
73
+1
64avg 75
A10/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
91-77
91
77
+14
92avg 75
H14/04
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
80-75
80
75
+5
76avg 75
A19/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
88-77
88
77
+11
88avg 75
H26/04
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
100-77
100
77
+23
92avg 75
A03/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
W
105-70
105
70
+35
108avg 75
H10/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
84-73
84
73
+11
87avg 75
H17/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
88-68
88
68
+20
61avg 75
H19/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
73-58
73
58
+15
63avg 75
A24/05
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
W
80-77
80
77
+3
74avg 75
A08/06
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
17-16
27-17
13-22
26-18
23-17
31-15
11-27
16-16
22-14
20-24
22-21
14-33
26-6
24-10
24-28
31-16
15-25
20-15
34-21
26-14
24-20
31-19
24-17
23-15
20-17
19-16
22-25
24-18
25-17
13-19
26-14
26-10
16-18
16-13
15-17
18-20
17-17
25-23
20-17
158.8Avg total
86.3Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)82.174.3156.3+7.879%
Season at home (19)87.272.9160.1+14.389%
Season away (19)77.075.6152.6+1.468%
Last 10 (10)86.372.5158.8+13.8100%
Last 5 (5)86.069.2155.2+16.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.478.1157.6+1.357%
vs Weaker (23)84.671.6156.1+13.0100%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
EstudiantesForca Lleida
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estela
#14
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A20/04
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H28/04
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H05/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A10/05
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H17/05
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H19/05
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A24/05
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A26/05
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H30/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H08/06
Primera FEB
78.7Avg total
41.0Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.779.5+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.236.180.3+8.181%-
Last 30 away (14)39.139.578.6-0.429%-
Last 10 (10)41.037.778.7+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.076.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.340.279.5-0.930%-
vs Weaker (20)43.136.579.6+6.670%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#8
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A10/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H14/04
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A19/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H26/04
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A03/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H10/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H17/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H19/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A24/05
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A08/06
Primera FEB
77.1Avg total
42.6Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.336.077.3+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.536.479.9+7.173%-
Last 30 away (15)39.135.574.7+3.667%-
Last 10 (10)42.634.577.1+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)43.833.277.0+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.737.974.6-1.129%-
vs Weaker (23)42.735.478.1+7.383%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.2
50.1%
51.8%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.1
34.3%
33.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.513.5
69.2%
73.6%13.5
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Estudiantes wins
3
Forca Lleida wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/06/24HTizona Burgos86-62
30/05/24HReal Betis65-54
26/05/24AReal Betis65-77
24/05/24AReal Betis84-90
19/05/24HReal Betis98-73
17/05/24HReal Betis86-77
10/05/24AOviedo75-61
05/05/24HMelilla85-72
28/04/24HCaceres89-73
20/04/24AEstela81-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/06/24ASan Pablo Burgos80-77
24/05/24AAlicante73-58
19/05/24HAlicante88-68
17/05/24HAlicante84-73
10/05/24HHestia Menorca105-70
03/05/24ACaceres100-77
26/04/24HEstela88-77
19/04/24AMelilla80-75
14/04/24HAlicante91-77
10/04/24AReal Betis74-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW72%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWWWLL63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %72%81%63%
Points / game83.586.680.1
Allowed / game75.573.378.0
Point differential+8.0+13.3+2.1
Avg total159.0159.9158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%62%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)33% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Forca Lleida
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWWWW68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %79%89%68%
Points / game82.187.277.0
Allowed / game74.372.975.6
Point differential+7.8+14.3+1.4
Avg total156.3160.1152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%68%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)50% (2)88% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna3427779%89.581.3+8.2
2 Forca Lleida3830879%82.174.3+7.8
3 San Pablo Burgos3829976%86.975.7+11.3
4 Estudiantes40291172%83.575.5+8.0
5 Tizona Burgos40281270%88.880.6+8.2
6 Gipuzkoa39251464%82.978.8+4.1
7 Alicante37191851%78.377.1+1.2
8 Real Betis39192049%80.278.6+1.5
9 Real Valladolid37181949%76.580.5-4.0
10 Fuenlabrada34161847%77.878.2-0.5
11 Hestia Menorca34142041%72.877.0-4.2
12 Ourense34142041%73.679.1-5.5
13 Oviedo34132138%78.680.3-1.7
14 Estela34112332%77.883.1-5.3
15 Castello34112332%79.286.7-7.5
16 Melilla34102429%75.881.9-6.1
17 Caceres3462818%74.084.9-10.9
18 Clavijo3452915%70.180.4-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes1011272270
Forca Lleida2527201385
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