Estudiantes vs Forca Lleida Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 75-72

14-19 14-12 24-16 23-25

Position#4

Record9-2

FormWWLWW

Points / game86.8

Allowed / game71.7

Estudiantes 🏆

Forca Lleida

Position#1

Record6-5

FormWLWWW

Points / game79.5

Allowed / game75.7

Primera FEBRound 12· WiZink Center

Other2023-24

Meetings · Estudiantes v Forca Lleida

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Forca Lleida winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstudiantes

Date

Competition

Oviedo

#13

76-87

-11

64avg 83

H15/10

Primera FEB

Real Betis

86-77

84avg 83

A20/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

93-75

+18

89avg 83

H29/10

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

103-85

103

+18

103avg 83

H01/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

77-73

70avg 83

A05/11

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

80-55

+25

75avg 83

A11/11

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

81-56

+25

85avg 83

H19/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

91-92 OT

-1

no box

H26/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

84-68

+16

83avg 83

A29/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

101-61

101

+40

107avg 83

H03/12

Primera FEB

21-22

7-22

24-17

24-26

27-13

10-14

24-23

25-27

24-21

29-21

32-21

8-12

30-22

27-19

22-19

24-25

22-16

18-15

21-22

16-20

20-14

17-7

22-19

21-15

17-15

15-10

26-15

23-16

28-18

28-31

17-16

7-15

20-21

23-19

22-19

19-9

31-10

29-20

21-14

20-17

160.1Avg total

87.2Scored

72.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	86.8	71.7	158.5	+15.1	82%
Season at home (6)	90.8	76.0	166.8	+14.8	67%
Season away (5)	82.0	66.6	148.6	+15.4	100%
Last 10 (10)	87.2	72.9	160.1	+14.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	66.4	153.8	+21.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	58.5	79.5	138.0	-21.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	86.0	84.1	170.1	+1.9	38%
vs Weaker (20)	82.8	71.8	154.7	+11.0	70%

This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Forca Lleida Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLleida

Date

Competition

San Pablo Burgos

66-79

-13

53avg 72

A14/10

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

66-86

-20

52avg 72

H20/10

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

63-75

-12

49avg 72

A28/10

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

96-62

+34

94avg 72

H01/11

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

81-97

-16

69avg 72

A05/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

97-82

+15

99avg 72

H12/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

74-80

-6

60avg 72

A18/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

88-75

+13

86avg 72

H24/11

Primera FEB

Alicante

79-74

75avg 72

A29/11

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

90-55

+35

94avg 72

H03/12

Primera FEB

22-19

17-16

17-28

10-16

13-24

21-18

16-17

16-27

12-20

10-25

25-14

16-16

19-21

20-14

31-21

26-6

20-16

21-23

24-39

16-19

32-21

22-16

30-22

13-23

24-19

13-27

18-15

19-19

16-18

22-18

26-21

24-18

26-15

18-19

21-17

14-23

23-10

21-16

27-16

19-13

156.5Avg total

80.0Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	79.5	75.7	155.3	+3.8	55%
Season at home (6)	85.3	71.3	156.7	+14.0	83%
Season away (5)	72.6	81.0	153.6	-8.4	20%
Last 10 (10)	80.0	76.5	156.5	+3.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	73.2	158.8	+12.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	84.7	83.7	168.3	+1.0	67%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	74.1	79.5	153.6	-5.4	30%
vs Weaker (17)	80.8	71.1	151.9	+9.6	71%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesForca Lleida

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	17.8	38.7	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	18.6	41.1	+3.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	16.9	36.3	+2.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	17.2	41.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	15.6	38.8	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	9.0	17.0	26.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.9	20.6	42.5	+1.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (20)	21.8	16.7	38.5	+5.1	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.0	39.9	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.5	37.7	-1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.3	39.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	16.6	40.8	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	26.7	23.0	49.7	+3.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.0	17.8	35.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.4	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	20.0	41.3	+1.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.8	38.1	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.4	39.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	22.5	40.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	19.9	17.7	37.6	+2.2	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.0	38.9	+1.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	17.1	39.3	+5.2	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	20.9	38.5	-3.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.2	37.7	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.2	38.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	20.0	37.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.2	18.9	40.1	+2.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (17)	19.7	18.8	38.5	+0.9	71%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oviedo

#13

28-44

-16

H15/10

Primera FEB

Real Betis

37-27

+10

A20/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

53-42

+11

H29/10

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

57-41

+16

H01/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

40-31

A05/11

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

37-21

+16

A11/11

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

32-25

H19/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

56-49

H26/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

43-40

A29/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

60-30

+30

H03/12

Primera FEB

79.3Avg total

44.3Scored

35.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	36.8	77.7	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.9	38.6	82.5	+5.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	34.9	72.9	+3.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	35.0	79.3	+9.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	33.0	78.6	+12.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	27.0	39.5	66.5	-12.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	42.4	42.0	84.4	+0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (20)	41.7	34.4	76.1	+7.3	85%	-

This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Pablo Burgos

39-35

A14/10

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

34-42

-8

H20/10

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

22-45

-23

A28/10

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

39-35

H01/11

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

41-39

A05/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

54-37

+17

H12/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

37-46

-9

A18/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

38-36

H24/11

Primera FEB

Alicante

44-34

+10

A29/11

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

44-26

+18

H03/12

Primera FEB

76.7Avg total

39.2Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	38.2	77.7	+1.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	36.1	79.2	+7.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.8	40.4	76.2	-4.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	37.5	76.7	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	35.8	79.2	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	44.0	43.0	87.0	+1.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	39.2	36.7	75.9	+2.5	70%	-
vs Weaker (17)	38.8	38.3	77.1	+0.5	59%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	17.9	38.2	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	18.5	41.6	+4.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	16.6	38.2	+5.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	22.5	37.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	20.6	19.0	39.5	+1.6	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	18.9	39.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	16.7	35.9	+2.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	21.0	44.5	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	18.2	42.6	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.0	19.7	35.7	-3.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.9	20.4	39.3	-1.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.9	15.9	36.9	+5.0	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	17.8	37.7	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	17.5	36.9	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	18.2	38.5	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.2	36.9	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	14.4	32.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	17.5	34.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	19.6	17.1	36.8	+2.5	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.9	38.5	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.9	41.7	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	17.0	35.3	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	18.0	35.3	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	24.7	21.0	45.7	+3.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	15.7	21.8	37.5	-6.1	20%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.0	16.9	37.9	+4.1	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	37.3	76.9	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.8	35.3	75.1	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	39.3	78.7	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	36.7	78.5	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	31.0	70.6	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	31.5	40.0	71.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	40.1	39.6	79.8	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	40.1	36.1	76.3	+4.0	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	36.7	76.1	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	39.7	81.0	+1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	33.7	71.2	+3.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	39.0	79.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	37.4	79.6	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	40.7	40.7	81.3	+0.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	34.6	42.2	76.8	-7.6	20%	-
vs Weaker (17)	41.9	32.8	74.8	+9.1	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Forca Lleida wins

Date	Game	Score
29/01/23	Estudiantes v Forca Lleida	94-75
07/10/22	Forca Lleida v Estudiantes	96-66
28/01/22	Forca Lleida v Estudiantes	81-75
10/10/21	Estudiantes v Forca Lleida	98-73

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/12/23	H	Estela	101-61
29/11/23	A	Castello	84-68
26/11/23	H	Real Valladolid	91-92 OT
19/11/23	H	Hestia Menorca	81-56
11/11/23	A	Fuenlabrada	80-55
05/11/23	A	Clavijo	77-73
01/11/23	H	Tizona Burgos	103-85
29/10/23	H	Alicante	93-75
20/10/23	A	Real Betis	86-77
15/10/23	H	Oviedo	76-87

Forca Lleidalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/12/23	H	Ourense	90-55
29/11/23	A	Alicante	79-74
24/11/23	H	Real Betis	88-75
18/11/23	A	Real Valladolid	74-80
12/11/23	H	Castello	97-82
05/11/23	A	Leyma Coruna	81-97
01/11/23	H	Melilla	96-62
28/10/23	A	Estela	63-75
20/10/23	H	Tizona Burgos	66-86
14/10/23	A	San Pablo Burgos	66-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	82%
Home	WWWLW	67%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	82%	67%	100%
Points / game	86.8	90.8	82.0
Allowed / game	71.7	76.0	66.6
Point differential	+15.1	+14.8	+15.4
Avg total	158.5	166.8	148.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	64%	67%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	9%	17%	0%

Forca Lleida

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	55%
Home	LWWWW	83%
Away	LLLLW	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	55%	83%	20%
Points / game	79.5	85.3	72.6
Allowed / game	75.7	71.3	81.0
Point differential	+3.8	+14.0	-8.4
Avg total	155.3	156.7	153.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	12	11	1	92%	84.6	73.7	+10.9
2	Estudiantes	11	9	2	82%	86.8	71.7	+15.1
3	Real Valladolid	12	9	3	75%	79.8	77.8	+1.9
4	Leyma Coruna	12	8	4	67%	88.2	81.0	+7.2
5	Gipuzkoa	12	8	4	67%	80.2	73.2	+7.1
6	Tizona Burgos	12	8	4	67%	89.9	84.5	+5.4
7	Alicante	12	7	5	58%	78.3	75.8	+2.6
8	Forca Lleida	11	6	5	55%	79.5	75.7	+3.8
9	Oviedo	12	6	6	50%	80.4	79.8	+0.6
10	Ourense	12	6	6	50%	72.4	75.1	-2.7
11	Estela	12	5	7	42%	79.8	84.0	-4.2
12	Melilla	12	5	7	42%	73.1	77.6	-4.5
13	Fuenlabrada	12	4	8	33%	75.8	81.2	-5.4
14	Castello	12	4	8	33%	80.4	86.4	-6.0
15	Real Betis	12	3	9	25%	79.9	80.2	-0.3
16	Hestia Menorca	12	3	9	25%	66.1	75.6	-9.5
17	Caceres	12	3	9	25%	74.5	84.6	-10.1
18	Clavijo	12	2	10	17%	64.0	74.3	-10.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	14	14	24	23	75
Forca Lleida	19	12	16	25	72

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Forca Lleida Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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