Oviedo vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 May 2024

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 61-75

13-19 20-16 17-24 11-16

Position#13

Record13-20

FormLWLLW

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game80.5

Oviedo

Estudiantes 🏆

Position#4

Record24-9

FormWWWWW

Points / game84.3

Allowed / game76.6

Primera FEBRound 34

Other2023-24

Meetings · Oviedo v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oviedo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oviedo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormOviedo

Date

Competition

Alicante

89-83

83avg 68

H12/03

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

81-78

69avg 68

A17/03

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

80-81

-1

68avg 68

H24/03

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

83-84 OT

-1

75avg 68

A29/03

Primera FEB

Real Betis

86-81

73avg 68

H06/04

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

58-67

-9

36avg 68

A10/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

89-71

+18

82avg 68

H14/04

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

68-87

-19

57avg 68

A20/04

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

78-83 OT

-5

60avg 68

H27/04

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

92-91 OT

71avg 68

A03/05

Primera FEB

26-20

27-30

19-12

17-21

23-14

15-21

15-26

28-17

19-21

21-16

24-21

16-23

15-27

32-15

15-18

15-17

19-24

29-19

15-21

23-17

14-27

16-12

13-14

15-14

21-21

25-13

28-19

15-18

16-29

12-20

19-16

21-22

13-15

17-13

23-25

21-21

18-17

22-20

17-21

24-23

161.0Avg total

80.4Scored

80.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	79.2	80.5	159.7	-1.3	39%
Season at home (16)	79.8	75.8	155.6	+4.0	56%
Season away (17)	78.6	84.9	163.5	-6.3	24%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	80.6	161.0	-0.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	79.8	156.8	-2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	73.9	84.2	158.1	-10.4	0%
vs Similar (14)	82.7	80.6	163.3	+2.1	57%
vs Weaker (8)	77.6	77.6	155.2	+0.0	38%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstudiantes

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

#10

98-83

+15

97avg 78

H12/03

Primera FEB

Alicante

65-75

-10

52avg 78

A16/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

71-92

-21

60avg 78

A23/03

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

95-79

+16

94avg 78

H31/03

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

83-90

-7

74avg 78

A05/04

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

88-73

+15

81avg 78

A09/04

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

90-81

81avg 78

H14/04

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

81-67

+14

79avg 78

A20/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

89-73

+16

92avg 78

H28/04

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

85-72

+13

81avg 78

H05/05

Primera FEB

18-25

33-25

20-16

27-17

20-9

7-20

16-25

22-21

17-23

23-21

17-20

14-28

24-11

18-17

26-19

27-32

22-21

15-19

20-23

26-27

20-31

24-13

21-12

23-17

21-25

31-14

19-17

19-25

23-22

12-18

26-8

20-19

23-19

23-20

26-18

17-16

18-25

28-20

18-9

21-18

163.0Avg total

84.5Scored

78.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	84.3	76.6	160.8	+7.7	73%
Season at home (17)	87.3	74.9	162.2	+12.4	76%
Season away (16)	81.1	78.4	159.4	+2.7	69%
Last 10 (10)	84.5	78.5	163.0	+6.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	73.2	159.8	+13.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	82.7	86.0	168.7	-3.3	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	85.5	72.2	157.6	+13.3	85%

This opponent (Oviedo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OviedoEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	18.1	38.8	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	22.3	40.4	-4.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	21.5	39.9	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	21.8	38.2	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.5	22.6	40.1	-5.1	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.1	20.1	39.2	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.4	18.6	40.0	+2.8	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.9	40.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	17.6	39.2	+4.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	24.4	45.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	18.9	21.3	40.2	-2.4	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.3	17.7	40.0	+4.6	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	17.9	39.5	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	15.6	34.0	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	22.6	18.9	41.4	+3.7	71%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.5	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	18.7	40.5	+3.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.1	19.6	43.8	+4.5	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	17.6	36.8	+1.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	17.0	40.6	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	21.7	19.5	41.2	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.9	18.2	40.1	+3.6	85%	-

OviedoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alicante

53-50

H12/03

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

38-35

A17/03

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

40-37

H24/03

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

47-42

A29/03

Primera FEB

Real Betis

48-43

H06/04

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

30-39

-9

A10/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

46-34

+12

H14/04

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

28-49

-21

A20/04

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

30-28

H27/04

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

40-37

A03/05

Primera FEB

79.4Avg total

40.0Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	40.3	80.5	-0.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	38.2	80.1	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.8	42.1	80.9	-3.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	39.4	79.4	+0.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	37.4	72.2	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	36.1	43.6	79.8	-7.5	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	41.7	38.9	80.6	+2.8	79%	-
vs Weaker (8)	41.6	39.4	81.0	+2.2	62%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

#10

51-50

H12/03

Primera FEB

Alicante

27-29

-2

A16/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

40-44

-4

A23/03

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

42-28

+14

H31/03

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

37-40

-3

A05/04

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

44-44

A09/04

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

52-39

+13

H14/04

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

35-40

-5

A20/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

46-39

H28/04

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

46-45

H05/05

Primera FEB

81.8Avg total

42.0Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	37.6	80.6	+5.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.8	37.2	83.0	+8.5	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	37.9	77.8	+1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	39.8	81.8	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	41.4	86.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	40.6	40.8	81.4	-0.2	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	44.2	36.0	80.2	+8.2	80%	-

This opponent (Oviedo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.0	38.3	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	16.9	36.7	+3.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.9	39.7	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.5	18.8	38.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.2	20.6	39.9	-1.4	38%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.1	39.3	+3.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	16.8	39.1	+5.6	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	19.6	39.6	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	16.7	37.6	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	12.8	34.8	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.7	17.6	39.3	+4.1	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.9	37.9	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	19.7	37.8	-1.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	20.1	38.1	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.8	20.8	38.5	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.9	20.8	39.6	-1.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (8)	16.8	17.6	34.4	-0.9	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	21.8	26.2	48.0	-4.4	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.0	17.9	37.0	+1.1	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	38.9	76.2	-1.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.9	36.6	74.5	+1.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.8	41.0	77.8	-4.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	38.6	76.9	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	38.6	77.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	37.2	39.5	76.8	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.1	39.0	77.1	-0.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (8)	36.0	38.2	74.2	-2.2	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	38.8	80.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	36.1	77.7	+5.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.7	41.9	82.6	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	38.7	81.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	31.8	73.8	+10.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	42.1	45.2	87.3	-3.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	40.7	35.6	76.3	+5.1	65%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Oviedotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Oviedo wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
15/10/23	Estudiantes v Oviedo	76-87
18/03/23	Oviedo v Estudiantes	68-66
20/11/22	Estudiantes v Oviedo	90-60
20/05/22	Estudiantes v Oviedo	68-63
23/01/22	Oviedo v Estudiantes	67-75

Oviedolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/05/24	A	Real Valladolid	92-91 OT
27/04/24	H	Leyma Coruna	78-83 OT
20/04/24	A	San Pablo Burgos	68-87
14/04/24	H	Caceres	89-71
10/04/24	A	Gipuzkoa	58-67
06/04/24	H	Real Betis	86-81
29/03/24	A	Estela	83-84 OT
24/03/24	H	Castello	80-81
17/03/24	A	Clavijo	81-78
12/03/24	H	Alicante	89-83

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/05/24	H	Melilla	85-72
28/04/24	H	Caceres	89-73
20/04/24	A	Estela	81-67
14/04/24	H	Gipuzkoa	90-81
09/04/24	A	Real Valladolid	88-73
05/04/24	A	Tizona Burgos	83-90
31/03/24	H	Castello	95-79
23/03/24	A	Ourense	71-92
16/03/24	A	Alicante	65-75
12/03/24	H	Fuenlabrada	98-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oviedo

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	39%
Home	WLWWL	56%
Away	WLLLW	24%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	16	17
Win %	39%	56%	24%
Points / game	79.2	79.8	78.6
Allowed / game	80.5	75.8	84.9
Point differential	-1.3	+4.0	-6.3
Avg total	159.7	155.6	163.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	25%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (13)	43% (7)	33% (6)
Overtime %	18%	12%	24%

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	73%
Home	WWWWW	76%
Away	LLLWW	69%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	17	16
Win %	73%	76%	69%
Points / game	84.3	87.3	81.1
Allowed / game	76.6	74.9	78.4
Point differential	+7.7	+12.4	+2.7
Avg total	160.8	162.2	159.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	59%	31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	33% (3)	100% (4)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Leyma Coruna	33	26	7	79%	89.8	81.5	+8.3
2	San Pablo Burgos	33	25	8	76%	87.3	76.6	+10.7
3	Forca Lleida	33	25	8	76%	81.5	75.0	+6.5
4	Tizona Burgos	33	24	9	73%	89.1	80.3	+8.8
5	Estudiantes	33	24	9	73%	84.3	76.6	+7.7
6	Gipuzkoa	33	22	11	67%	82.8	77.5	+5.3
7	Alicante	33	19	14	58%	79.6	76.5	+3.1
8	Real Valladolid	33	18	15	55%	78.1	79.7	-1.6
9	Real Betis	33	16	17	48%	81.1	79.0	+2.1
10	Fuenlabrada	33	15	18	45%	77.5	78.8	-1.3
11	Hestia Menorca	33	14	19	42%	72.8	76.1	-3.3
12	Ourense	33	14	19	42%	73.6	78.9	-5.3
13	Oviedo	33	13	20	39%	79.2	80.5	-1.3
14	Estela	33	11	22	33%	77.4	82.8	-5.4
15	Melilla	33	10	23	30%	75.8	82.0	-6.2
16	Castello	33	10	23	30%	78.8	86.6	-7.8
17	Caceres	33	6	27	18%	74.3	85.0	-10.7
18	Clavijo	33	5	28	15%	69.9	79.5	-9.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Oviedo	13	20	17	11	61
Estudiantes	19	16	24	16	75

← all games of the day

Oviedo vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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