San Pablo Burgos vs Forca Lleida Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Jun 2024

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 77-80

20-18 17-17 23-25 17-20

Position#3

Record29-8

FormWWWWW

Points / game87.2

Allowed / game75.6

San Pablo Burgos

Forca Lleida 🏆

Position#1

Record29-8

FormWWWWW

Points / game82.1

Allowed / game74.2

Primera FEBLEB Oro - Semi-finals· Madrid Arena

Other2023-24Neutral venue

Meetings · San Pablo Burgos v Forca Lleida

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Pablo Burgos winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Forca Lleida winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Pablo Burgos Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBurgos

Date

Competition

Caceres

#17

109-102 OT

109

102

98avg 82

H06/04

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

91-67

+24

87avg 82

H10/04

Primera FEB

Real Betis

88-76

+12

87avg 82

A14/04

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

87-68

+19

85avg 82

H20/04

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

91-64

+27

94avg 82

A27/04

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

81-69

+12

74avg 82

H04/05

Primera FEB

Alicante

83-73

+10

85avg 82

A10/05

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

81-59

+22

71avg 82

H17/05

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

91-61

+30

93avg 82

H19/05

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

91-75

+16

93avg 82

A24/05

Primera FEB

17-25

21-18

21-23

25-18

34-11

27-20

16-20

14-16

21-21

21-22

23-20

23-13

29-16

20-12

16-19

22-21

23-14

23-11

20-19

25-20

25-18

15-19

25-16

16-16

18-22

22-20

22-18

21-13

31-16

14-17

17-8

19-18

18-21

23-12

27-14

23-14

27-22

27-16

16-18

21-19

160.7Avg total

89.3Scored

71.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	87.2	75.6	162.8	+11.6	78%
Season at home (19)	89.5	74.4	163.9	+15.1	89%
Season away (18)	84.8	76.8	161.6	+8.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	89.3	71.4	160.7	+17.9	100%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	67.4	152.8	+18.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	88.0	87.3	175.3	+0.7	43%
vs Weaker (23)	88.4	73.6	162.0	+14.9	87%

This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Forca Lleida Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLleida

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

81-56

+25

76avg 75

H05/04

Primera FEB

Real Betis

74-73

64avg 75

A10/04

Primera FEB

Alicante

91-77

+14

92avg 75

H14/04

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

80-75

76avg 75

A19/04

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

88-77

+11

88avg 75

H26/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

100-77

100

+23

92avg 75

A03/05

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

105-70

105

+35

108avg 75

H10/05

Primera FEB

Alicante

84-73

+11

87avg 75

H17/05

Primera FEB

Alicante

88-68

+20

61avg 75

H19/05

Primera FEB

Alicante

73-58

+15

63avg 75

A24/05

Primera FEB

28-11

20-9

14-18

19-18

17-18

17-16

27-17

13-22

26-18

23-17

31-15

11-27

16-16

22-14

20-24

22-21

14-33

26-6

24-10

24-28

31-16

15-25

20-15

34-21

26-14

24-20

31-19

24-17

23-15

20-17

19-16

22-25

24-18

25-17

13-19

26-14

26-10

16-18

16-13

15-17

156.8Avg total

86.4Scored

70.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	82.1	74.2	156.3	+7.9	78%
Season at home (19)	87.2	72.9	160.1	+14.3	89%
Season away (18)	76.8	75.6	152.4	+1.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	86.4	70.4	156.8	+16.0	100%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	69.2	159.2	+20.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	79.3	78.3	157.7	+1.0	50%
vs Weaker (24)	84.1	71.9	156.0	+12.2	96%

This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

San Pablo BurgosForca Lleida

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	18.5	40.7	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	18.1	40.7	+4.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	18.6	42.9	+5.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	19.8	43.6	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.1	18.7	37.9	+0.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (23)	23.1	18.5	41.6	+4.7	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.3	40.0	+3.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	18.8	41.7	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	17.7	38.3	+2.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	16.9	40.0	+6.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	14.6	40.6	+11.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (24)	22.2	17.8	40.0	+4.4	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	18.5	40.6	+3.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	17.5	38.9	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.9	19.6	42.6	+3.3	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	16.7	38.0	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.8	37.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	22.3	20.0	42.3	+2.3	71%	-
vs Weaker (23)	22.1	18.0	40.1	+4.0	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.0	37.7	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	17.6	38.3	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.4	37.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	15.9	36.7	+4.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.7	17%	-
vs Weaker (24)	20.3	18.0	38.4	+2.3	67%	-

San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caceres

#17

38-43

-5

H06/04

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

61-31

+30

H10/04

Primera FEB

Real Betis

42-43

-1

A14/04

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

49-28

+21

H20/04

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

46-25

+21

A27/04

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

40-37

H04/05

Primera FEB

Alicante

40-42

-2

A10/05

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

45-33

+12

H17/05

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

41-33

H19/05

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

54-38

+16

A24/05

Primera FEB

80.9Avg total

45.6Scored

35.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	37.0	81.4	+7.3	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.0	35.6	79.6	+8.4	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.7	38.6	83.4	+6.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.6	35.3	80.9	+10.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	36.6	80.6	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	41.4	38.7	80.1	+2.7	71%	-
vs Weaker (23)	45.2	36.5	81.7	+8.7	78%	-

This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

48-20

+28

H05/04

Primera FEB

Real Betis

34-34

A10/04

Primera FEB

Alicante

49-35

+14

H14/04

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

38-30

A19/04

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

40-39

H26/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

46-41

A03/05

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

50-34

+16

H10/05

Primera FEB

Alicante

43-32

+11

H17/05

Primera FEB

Alicante

49-35

+14

H19/05

Primera FEB

Alicante

42-28

+14

A24/05

Primera FEB

76.7Avg total

43.9Scored

32.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	36.3	77.7	+5.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	36.4	79.9	+7.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	36.1	75.4	+3.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	32.8	76.7	+11.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	34.0	80.0	+12.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	37.0	38.0	75.0	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (24)	42.5	35.8	78.3	+6.7	79%	-

This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.3	39.0	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	17.3	38.6	+3.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.5	37.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	14.8	36.2	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (23)	20.5	17.8	38.3	+2.7	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	17.7	38.3	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	16.8	38.9	+5.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	16.6	38.1	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.4	36.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.3	20.5	38.8	-2.2	17%	-
vs Weaker (24)	21.2	17.0	38.2	+4.3	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.1	41.7	+1.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	20.4	42.2	+1.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	19.7	41.1	+1.7	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	16.8	37.7	+4.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.6	25.6	47.1	-4.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (23)	21.6	18.4	40.0	+3.2	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.3	40.4	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	19.3	41.7	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	18.8	43.0	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	24.0	19.8	43.8	+4.2	83%	-
vs Weaker (24)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	38.4	80.7	+3.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.0	37.8	80.8	+5.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.4	39.2	80.6	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	34.3	75.5	+6.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	30.8	72.2	+10.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	42.6	45.6	88.1	-3.0	14%	-
vs Weaker (23)	42.1	36.3	78.4	+5.9	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	36.9	78.7	+4.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.6	36.1	80.7	+8.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	37.8	76.7	+1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	37.6	80.1	+4.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	35.2	79.2	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	42.3	40.3	82.7	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (24)	41.6	36.1	77.7	+5.5	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 77.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	18.3	46.0%	51.8%	36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	9.7	38.2%	33.7%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	14.6	11.3	77.4%	73.6%	11.3

They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	17.6	48.8%	51.8%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	10.2	39.4%	33.7%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	19.6	13.8	70.4%	73.6%	13.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	18.5	48.8%	51.8%	37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	9.1	36.6%	33.7%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	16.4	12.4	75.6%	73.6%	12.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.1	20.2	52.9%	51.8%	40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.4	35.3%	33.7%	28.1
🏀 Free throws	18.9	13.9	73.4%	73.6%	13.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

San Pablo Burgos wins

Forca Lleida wins

Date	Game	Score
13/03/24	Forca Lleida v San Pablo Burgos	77-72
14/10/23	San Pablo Burgos v Forca Lleida	79-66
05/05/23	San Pablo Burgos v Forca Lleida	90-78
08/01/23	Forca Lleida v San Pablo Burgos	85-79
03/01/17	Forca Lleida v San Pablo Burgos	78-80
30/09/16	San Pablo Burgos v Forca Lleida	81-88
15/01/16	Forca Lleida v San Pablo Burgos	91-84 OT
16/10/15	San Pablo Burgos v Forca Lleida	67-43

San Pablo Burgoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/05/24	A	Real Valladolid	91-75
19/05/24	H	Real Valladolid	91-61
17/05/24	H	Real Valladolid	81-59
10/05/24	A	Alicante	83-73
04/05/24	H	Fuenlabrada	81-69
27/04/24	A	Ourense	91-64
20/04/24	H	Oviedo	87-68
14/04/24	A	Real Betis	88-76
10/04/24	H	Castello	91-67
06/04/24	H	Caceres	109-102 OT

Forca Lleidalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/05/24	A	Alicante	73-58
19/05/24	H	Alicante	88-68
17/05/24	H	Alicante	84-73
10/05/24	H	Hestia Menorca	105-70
03/05/24	A	Caceres	100-77
26/04/24	H	Estela	88-77
19/04/24	A	Melilla	80-75
14/04/24	H	Alicante	91-77
10/04/24	A	Real Betis	74-73
05/04/24	H	Real Valladolid	81-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Pablo Burgos

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	78%
Home	WWWWW	89%
Away	LWWWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	19	18
Win %	78%	89%	67%
Points / game	87.2	89.5	84.8
Allowed / game	75.6	74.4	76.8
Point differential	+11.6	+15.1	+8.0
Avg total	162.8	163.9	161.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	59%	63%	56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	75% (4)	0% (4)
Overtime %	8%	11%	6%

Forca Lleida

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	78%
Home	WWWWW	89%
Away	WWWWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	19	18
Win %	78%	89%	67%
Points / game	82.1	87.2	76.8
Allowed / game	74.2	72.9	75.6
Point differential	+7.9	+14.3	+1.3
Avg total	156.3	160.1	152.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	68%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	78% (9)	50% (2)	86% (7)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Leyma Coruna	34	27	7	79%	89.5	81.3	+8.2
2	San Pablo Burgos	37	29	8	78%	87.2	75.6	+11.6
3	Forca Lleida	37	29	8	78%	82.1	74.2	+7.9
4	Estudiantes	40	29	11	72%	83.5	75.5	+8.0
5	Tizona Burgos	40	28	12	70%	88.8	80.6	+8.2
6	Gipuzkoa	39	25	14	64%	82.9	78.8	+4.1
7	Alicante	37	19	18	51%	78.3	77.1	+1.2
8	Real Betis	39	19	20	49%	80.2	78.6	+1.5
9	Real Valladolid	37	18	19	49%	76.5	80.5	-4.0
10	Fuenlabrada	34	16	18	47%	77.8	78.2	-0.5
11	Hestia Menorca	34	14	20	41%	72.8	77.0	-4.2
12	Ourense	34	14	20	41%	73.6	79.1	-5.5
13	Oviedo	34	13	21	38%	78.6	80.3	-1.7
14	Estela	34	11	23	32%	77.8	83.1	-5.3
15	Castello	34	11	23	32%	79.2	86.7	-7.5
16	Melilla	34	10	24	29%	75.8	81.9	-6.1
17	Caceres	34	6	28	18%	74.0	84.9	-10.9
18	Clavijo	34	5	29	15%	70.1	80.4	-10.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
San Pablo Burgos	20	17	23	17	77
Forca Lleida	18	17	25	20	80

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San Pablo Burgos vs Forca Lleida Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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