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Estudiantes vs Joventut Badalona Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 83-90
23-27 20-24 21-18 19-21
Position#18
Record7-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Position#7
Record14-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game83.7
SpainACBRound 21
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Estudiantes v Joventut Badalona
17 Mar 2021
EST83
JBA90
04 Nov 2018
EST69
JBA83
04 Jan 2018
EST101
JBA94
13 Nov 2016
EST83
JBA71
15 Nov 2015
EST83
JBA86
01 Feb 2015
EST78
JBA75
30 Dec 2013
EST74
JBA81
19 May 2013
EST75
JBA112
25 Feb 2012
EST56
JBA71
17 Oct 2010
EST66
JBA77
30 Jan 2010
EST83
JBA68
20 Feb 2009
EST80
JBA75
21 Jan 2009
EST70
JBA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Joventut Badalona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
L
81-86
81
86
-5
68avg 70
H13/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
73-81
73
81
-8
62avg 70
A20/12
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
64-90
64
90
-26
54avg 70
H29/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
73-79
73
79
-6
66avg 70
H03/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
65-79
65
79
-14
56avg 70
H07/02
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
L
79-81
79
81
-2
75avg 70
A10/02
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 70
A27/02
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
91-87
91
87
+4
91avg 70
A03/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
no box
A06/03
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
95-89
95
89
+6
84avg 70
H14/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
13-19
21-21
20-31
18-15
15-22
17-14
23-30
11-22
18-17
17-19
18-32
13-14
27-25
11-22
22-18
12-22
23-13
16-19
14-25
21-24
18-21
19-20
21-16
17-20
21-18
17-23
22-30
24-18
24-21
21-21
22-27
23-25
17-18
26-12
19-30
26-20
18-23
30-26
21-20
165.2Avg total
79.2Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.085.2165.2-5.130%
Season at home (11)80.782.7163.5-2.027%
Season away (12)79.487.4166.8-8.033%
Last 10 (10)79.286.0165.2-6.820%
Last 5 (5)87.289.0176.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)75.086.6161.6-11.611%
vs Similar (8)87.483.4170.8+4.075%
vs Weaker (3)71.368.7140.0+2.733%
This opponent (Joventut Badalona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Joventut BadalonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBadalona
Date
Competition
Monaco
#2
W
79-72
79
72
+7
81avg 81
H26/01
Eurocup
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
80-75
80
75
+5
79avg 81
H30/01
ACB
Monaco
#2
L
82-97
82
97
-15
85avg 81
A02/02
Eurocup
Murcia
#12
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
A07/02
ACB
Baskonia
#4
L
87-96
87
96
-9
no box
A12/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#2
L
62-80
62
80
-18
no box
H28/02
ACB
Unicaja
#10
L
77-90
77
90
-13
68avg 81
H02/03
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
100-95
100
95
+5
no box
A06/03
ACB
Nanterre
#15
W
95-88
95
88
+7
95avg 81
A09/03
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
91-84
91
84
+7
85avg 81
H13/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-16
26-24
23-15
18-17
19-14
12-14
27-27
22-20
23-22
22-24
13-22
24-29
22-21
22-21
24-21
23-21
17-28
30-27
21-23
19-18
12-23
20-22
6-20
24-15
21-21
20-19
19-25
17-25
19-19
29-30
24-19
28-27
26-29
21-16
23-14
25-29
30-25
23-16
24-22
14-21
170.5Avg total
84.4Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.883.7168.5+1.158%
Season at home (13)83.583.5167.1+0.062%
Season away (11)86.383.8170.1+2.555%
Last 10 (10)84.486.1170.5-1.760%
Last 5 (5)85.087.4172.4-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.086.3158.3-14.30%
vs Similar (18)86.386.4172.7-0.161%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)91.580.9172.4+10.675%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
EstudiantesJoventut Badalona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H13/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A20/12
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H29/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H03/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H07/02
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A10/02
ACB
Unicaja
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A27/02
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A03/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A06/03
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H14/03
ACB
77.8Avg total
38.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.039.275.2-3.230%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.537.573.1-2.041%-
Last 30 away (13)36.641.578.1-4.815%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.277.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.683.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.839.975.7-4.226%-
vs Similar (8)39.238.978.1+0.450%-
vs Weaker (3)28.735.764.3-7.00%-
This opponent (Joventut Badalona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Joventut BadalonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H26/01
Eurocup
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H30/01
ACB
Monaco
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A02/02
Eurocup
Murcia
#12
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A07/02
ACB
Baskonia
#4
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A12/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H28/02
ACB
Unicaja
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H02/03
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A06/03
ACB
Nanterre
#15
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A09/03
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H13/03
ACB
85.7Avg total
42.6Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.283.8+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.740.983.6+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)42.441.583.9+0.940%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.185.7-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.244.088.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.342.775.0-10.30%-
vs Similar (18)42.140.982.9+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)46.939.886.6+7.162%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.620.8
50.0%
53.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.1
32.3%
36.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws13.710.7
78.1%
76.6%10.7
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Joventut Badalonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Joventut Badalona: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.5
56.3%
53.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.2
37.3%
36.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.017.0
81.0%
76.6%17.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estudiantes
WLWLLLLLLL
Joventut Badalona
WWWLLLWLWW
#18
League position
#7
-8.8
Net rating
+0.4
105.0
Offensive rating
114.6
113.8
Defensive rating
114.2
49.4%
Effective FG%
56.1%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
15.2%
Turnover %
18.6%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.3%
3-point %
37.3%
50.2%
Assist %
60.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 114.6Defence113.8 · 114.2Shooting49.4% · 56.1%3-point %32.3% · 37.3%Ball care15.2% · 18.6%Off. rebounds28.4% · 34.5%Free throws0.21 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Estudiantes   ■ Joventut Badalona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/21HBilbao95-89
06/03/21AGran Canaria94-97 OT
03/03/21AObradoiro CAB91-87
27/02/21AUnicaja77-91
10/02/21AGipuzkoa79-81
07/02/21HReal Madrid65-79
03/02/21HBasket Zaragoza73-79
29/12/20HTenerife64-90
20/12/20AMoraBanc Andorra73-81
13/12/20HValencia81-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/21HObradoiro CAB91-84
09/03/21ANanterre95-88
06/03/21ABasket Zaragoza100-95
02/03/21HUnicaja77-90
28/02/21HBarcelona62-80
12/02/21ABaskonia87-96
07/02/21AMurcia91-84
02/02/21AMonaco82-97
30/01/21HFuenlabrada80-75
26/01/21HMonaco79-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW30%
HomeLLLLW27%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %30%27%33%
Points / game80.080.779.4
Allowed / game85.282.787.4
Point differential-5.1-2.0-8.0
Avg total165.2163.5166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)0% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Joventut Badalona
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW58%
HomeLLWLW62%
AwayWLLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %58%62%55%
Points / game84.883.586.3
Allowed / game83.783.583.8
Point differential+1.1+0.0+2.5
Avg total168.5167.1170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%15%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2423196%86.775.0+11.7
2 Barcelona2421388%87.072.8+14.3
3 Tenerife2318578%88.279.4+8.7
4 Baskonia2519676%83.176.7+6.4
5 San Pablo Burgos2316770%87.080.7+6.3
6 Valencia2517868%85.880.2+5.6
7 Joventut Badalona24141058%84.883.7+1.1
8 Unicaja25121348%84.282.1+2.1
9 Manresa25121348%83.186.6-3.6
10 MoraBanc Andorra23101343%77.778.1-0.3
11 Basket Zaragoza25101540%87.088.1-1.1
12 Gran Canaria2491538%78.384.9-6.5
13 Murcia2381535%80.784.6-3.9
14 Estudiantes2371630%80.085.2-5.1
15 Obradoiro CAB2371630%79.385.1-5.7
16 Fuenlabrada2471729%80.984.6-3.7
17 Real Betis2461825%76.883.2-6.4
18 Gipuzkoa2461825%73.586.1-12.6
19 Bilbao2561924%79.386.6-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes2320211983
Joventut Badalona2724182190
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