PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Estudiantes vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 81-86
27-15 13-19 21-21 20-31
Position#18
Record5-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#4
Record6-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game82.0
SpainACBRound 14
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Estudiantes v Valencia
13 Dec 2020
EST81
VAL86
23 Dec 2018
EST79
VAL83
10 Dec 2017
EST73
VAL71
10 May 2017
EST68
VAL87
25 Oct 2015
EST73
VAL81
01 Mar 2015
EST76
VAL81
20 Apr 2014
EST80
VAL88
27 Oct 2012
EST85
VAL82
09 Oct 2011
EST71
VAL69
30 Apr 2011
EST74
VAL87
16 Jan 2010
EST88
VAL76
01 Feb 2009
EST77
VAL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
82-81
82
81
+1
72avg 71
A04/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
94-68
94
68
+26
85avg 71
H15/10
ACB
Real Betis
#16
W
81-80
81
80
+1
74avg 71
A18/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
77-93
77
93
-16
65avg 71
A25/10
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
80-61
80
61
+19
67avg 71
H28/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
70-97
70
97
-27
56avg 71
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
78-92
78
92
-14
66avg 71
H08/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
L
71-91
71
91
-20
60avg 71
A15/11
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
90-92
90
92
-2
91avg 71
H22/11
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
78-77
78
77
+1
67avg 71
A06/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
12-22
25-19
27-24
23-21
17-13
30-18
24-16
18-16
20-23
19-17
24-24
23-18
11-26
10-25
33-24
13-18
14-12
29-19
24-12
15-26
18-25
20-23
17-23
14-25
13-23
25-24
26-20
17-23
21-15
16-22
17-31
29-18
22-24
12-21
27-29
16-15
21-20
23-19
18-23
163.3Avg total
80.1Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.784.5165.2-3.838%
Season at home (6)85.081.2166.2+3.833%
Season away (7)77.087.4164.4-10.443%
Last 10 (10)80.183.2163.3-3.150%
Last 5 (5)77.489.8167.2-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)73.183.3156.4-10.114%
vs Similar (6)80.577.7158.2+2.867%
vs Weaker (3)73.771.0144.7+2.733%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Bayern
#5
L
79-90
79
90
-11
73avg 78
A13/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
95-83
95
83
+12
94avg 78
H17/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
82-80
82
80
+2
82avg 78
H20/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
89-95
89
95
-6
84avg 78
H22/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
W
90-86
90
86
+4
90avg 78
A27/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
W
100-90
100
90
+10
105avg 78
A01/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#15
L
92-100
92
100
-8
84avg 78
H03/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
68-61
68
61
+7
64avg 78
A05/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
72-85
72
85
-13
64avg 78
H08/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
77avg 78
H10/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
21-16
21-25
19-28
22-21
23-20
25-25
25-17
19-17
24-20
15-22
24-21
16-22
22-20
30-18
21-35
16-17
17-26
26-21
31-22
32-22
19-29
19-19
30-20
21-27
29-24
15-32
27-17
21-16
9-15
22-6
16-24
12-16
27-17
21-32
12-20
19-23
21-15
14-22
22-14
168.7Avg total
84.3Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.082.0164.0+0.050%
Season at home (6)83.085.2168.2-2.233%
Season away (6)81.078.8159.8+2.267%
Last 10 (10)84.384.4168.7-0.160%
Last 5 (5)81.682.0163.6-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.381.1158.4-3.943%
vs Similar (10)83.985.1169.0-1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.379.0161.3+3.375%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
EstudiantesValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A04/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H15/10
ACB
Real Betis
#16
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A18/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A25/10
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H28/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H08/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A15/11
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H22/11
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A06/12
ACB
75.4Avg total
35.5Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.838.572.4-4.727%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.837.070.8-3.231%-
Last 30 away (14)33.940.374.1-6.421%-
Last 10 (10)35.539.975.4-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.880.0-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.239.273.4-5.024%-
vs Similar (6)34.338.773.0-4.333%-
vs Weaker (3)30.333.363.7-3.033%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A13/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H17/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H20/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H22/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A27/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A01/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#15
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H03/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A05/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H08/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/12
Euroleague
81.2Avg total
40.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.379.2-1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.240.780.9-0.562%-
Last 30 away (14)37.439.877.2-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.481.2+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.882.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.740.173.9-6.429%-
vs Similar (10)38.941.780.6-2.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.839.381.1+2.467%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.7
50.3%
53.2%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.4
37.2%
36.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws15.611.5
73.7%
76.6%11.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.6
55.5%
53.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.9
40.2%
36.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.314.6
84.4%
76.6%14.6
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estudiantes
WLLLLWLWWW
Valencia
WLWLWWLWWL
#18
League position
#4
-7.4
Net rating
+0.4
106.4
Offensive rating
115.8
113.8
Defensive rating
115.4
52.4%
Effective FG%
57.5%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.9%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.2%
3-point %
40.2%
48.5%
Assist %
73.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 115.8Defence113.8 · 115.4Shooting52.4% · 57.5%3-point %37.2% · 40.2%Ball care18.7% · 17.9%Off. rebounds31.3% · 27.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Estudiantes   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Estudiantes wins
8
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/20ABilbao78-77
22/11/20HUnicaja90-92
15/11/20ASan Pablo Burgos71-91
08/11/20HBarcelona78-92
01/11/20AJoventut Badalona70-97
28/10/20HGipuzkoa80-61
25/10/20AReal Madrid77-93
18/10/20AReal Betis81-80
15/10/20HGran Canaria94-68
04/10/20AFuenlabrada82-81
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/20HAnadolu Efes76-74
08/12/20HZenit Petersburg72-85
05/12/20AFuenlabrada68-61
03/12/20HAlba Berlin92-100
01/12/20ABarcelona100-90
27/11/20AFenerbahce90-86
22/11/20HTenerife89-95
20/11/20HMaccabi Tel Aviv82-80
17/11/20HPanathinaikos95-83
13/11/20ABayern79-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%33%43%
Points / game80.785.077.0
Allowed / game84.581.287.4
Point differential-3.8+3.8-10.4
Avg total165.2166.2164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game82.083.081.0
Allowed / game82.085.278.8
Point differential+0.0-2.2+2.2
Avg total164.0168.2159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid13130100%87.873.2+14.7
2 Tenerife1312192%87.979.2+8.7
3 Barcelona1310377%84.374.1+10.2
4 Baskonia1410471%81.976.8+5.1
5 Unicaja128467%84.778.2+6.4
6 Joventut Badalona128467%84.479.2+5.2
7 San Pablo Burgos138562%85.880.3+5.5
8 MoraBanc Andorra116555%79.276.9+2.3
9 Murcia137654%80.580.9-0.4
10 Manresa137654%84.285.9-1.7
11 Valencia126650%82.082.0+0.0
12 Obradoiro CAB125742%79.083.1-4.1
13 Estudiantes135838%80.784.5-3.8
14 Fuenlabrada124833%83.984.2-0.3
15 Basket Zaragoza1331023%84.889.1-4.3
16 Bilbao1221017%79.885.4-5.7
17 Gran Canaria1221017%73.387.8-14.4
18 Real Betis1321115%72.880.6-7.8
19 Gipuzkoa121118%69.187.1-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes2713212081
Valencia1519213186
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.