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Estudiantes vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 Mar 2015
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 75-65
11-20 22-14 23-18 19-13
Position#12
Record17-25
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#7
Record24-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game75.2
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2014-15
Meetings · Estudiantes v Penarol
17 Nov 2019
EST69
PENA60
15 Feb 2019
EST90
PENA66
23 Jan 2018
EST93
PENA86
18 Feb 2017
EST89
PENA71
19 Jan 2016
EST85
PENA81
30 Mar 2015
EST75
PENA65
21 Mar 2014
EST93
PENA90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#4
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A06/03
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#3
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A07/03
Liga A
Tenerife
#11
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A08/03
ACB
Boca Juniors
#14
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A09/03
Liga A
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#7
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H15/03
ACB
Libertad
#15
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A18/03
Liga A
Atenas
#6
L
63-90
63
90
-27
A20/03
Liga A
Real Betis
#15
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A22/03
ACB
Weber Bahia
#10
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H25/03
Liga A
Real Madrid
#1
L
66-92
66
92
-26
A29/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
14-25
19-17
29-23
14-15
18-24
24-18
17-19
17-14
24-20
14-20
19-27
19-21
20-14
25-21
22-28
12-14
21-14
12-13
21-20
19-8
19-15
20-27
24-24
20-23
19-24
16-21
8-22
17-17
17-26
8-11
23-20
18-15
33-16
25-10
18-23
27-20
10-24
11-26
18-22
153.2Avg total
74.8Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)74.576.0150.6-1.540%
Season at home (19)75.671.6147.2+4.158%
Season away (23)73.779.7153.3-6.026%
Last 10 (10)74.878.4153.2-3.640%
Last 5 (5)74.078.8152.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.681.8149.4-14.10%
vs Similar ◀ (18)76.676.7153.3-0.256%
vs Weaker (4)80.573.0153.5+7.575%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Halcones Rojos
#7
W
83-63
83
63
+20
A01/03
Americas League
Flamengo
#2
L
86-88
86
88
-2
H01/03
Americas League
Libertad
#15
W
117-108 OT
117
108
+9
H06/03
Liga A
Lanus
#17
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H09/03
Liga A
Bauru
#1
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A14/03
Americas League
Flamengo
#2
L
81-97
81
97
-16
H15/03
Americas League
San Martin
#5
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H19/03
Liga A
Quilmes
#8
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H23/03
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#3
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H25/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#4
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H28/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
16-12
15-19
28-13
17-22
13-23
22-24
34-19
23-22
24-11
29-25
21-39
21-17
16-24
24-18
24-19
8-22
21-19
16-20
16-19
23-31
20-19
14-24
24-23
22-14
22-19
15-20
22-21
14-13
17-30
14-20
23-13
22-12
12-18
12-18
22-22
19-17
18-13
25-18
19-13
160.6Avg total
81.1Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)80.875.2156.0+5.565%
Season at home (23)82.573.7156.2+8.870%
Season away (14)78.077.8155.8+0.257%
Last 10 (10)81.179.5160.6+1.650%
Last 5 (5)75.875.6151.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.286.6157.8-15.40%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.170.0149.1+9.179%
vs Weaker (10)83.678.7162.3+4.970%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +3.2+3.2
EstudiantesPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#4
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A06/03
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#3
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A07/03
Liga A
Tenerife
#11
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A08/03
ACB
Boca Juniors
#14
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A09/03
Liga A
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#7
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H15/03
ACB
Libertad
#15
W
38-23
38
23
+15
A18/03
Liga A
Atenas
#6
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A20/03
Liga A
Real Betis
#15
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A22/03
ACB
Weber Bahia
#10
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H25/03
Liga A
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A29/03
ACB
74.7Avg total
37.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.837.273.0-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.834.670.5+1.262%-
Last 30 away (17)35.739.274.9-3.535%-
Last 10 (10)37.537.274.7+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.677.4+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.040.872.8-8.812%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)36.936.173.0+0.856%-
vs Weaker (4)38.235.273.5+3.075%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Halcones Rojos
#7
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A01/03
Americas League
Flamengo
#2
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H01/03
Americas League
Libertad
#15
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H06/03
Liga A
Lanus
#17
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H09/03
Liga A
Bauru
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A14/03
Americas League
Flamengo
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H15/03
Americas League
San Martin
#5
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H19/03
Liga A
Quilmes
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H23/03
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#3
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H25/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#4
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H28/03
Liga A
74.9Avg total
37.2Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.836.575.3+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (20)40.336.276.5+4.160%-
Last 30 away (10)35.937.173.0-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)37.237.774.9-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.837.275.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.242.073.2-10.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.734.172.8+4.671%-
vs Weaker (10)41.837.279.0+4.660%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Estudiantes wins
2
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
04/01/15Penarol v Estudiantes85-58
22/03/14Estudiantes v Penarol93-90
18/01/14Penarol v Estudiantes80-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/15AReal Madrid66-92
25/03/15HWeber Bahia94-64
22/03/15AReal Betis65-74
20/03/15AAtenas63-90
18/03/15ALibertad82-74
15/03/15HTecnyconta Zaragoza66-61
09/03/15ABoca Juniors86-84
08/03/15ATenerife74-81
07/03/15AObras Sanitarias73-76
06/03/15AGimnasia79-88
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/15HGimnasia81-61
25/03/15HObras Sanitarias68-70
23/03/15HQuilmes68-76
19/03/15HSan Martin81-74
15/03/15HFlamengo81-97
14/03/15ABauru61-80
09/03/15HLanus85-78
06/03/15HLibertad117-108 OT
01/03/15HFlamengo86-88
01/03/15AHalcones Rojos83-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
Liga A 2014-15
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW40%
HomeLLWLW58%
AwayLLWWL26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games421923
Win %40%58%26%
Points / game74.575.673.7
Allowed / game76.071.679.7
Point differential-1.5+4.1-6.0
Avg total150.6147.2153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%37%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)33% (3)17% (6)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Penarol
Liga A 2014-15
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW65%
HomeWWLLW70%
AwayLLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372314
Win %65%70%57%
Points / game80.882.578.0
Allowed / game75.273.777.8
Point differential+5.5+8.8+0.2
Avg total156.0156.2155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%52%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)0% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %8%4%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa4236686%83.971.6+12.3
2 Obras Sanitarias44311370%80.474.0+6.4
3 Regatas43291467%81.274.4+6.8
4 Penarol37241365%80.875.2+5.5
5 Gimnasia41261563%78.773.4+5.3
6 San Martin43251858%78.979.6-0.7
7 Quilmes41231856%77.177.6-0.5
8 Atenas43222151%77.978.0-0.2
9 Olimpico43212249%80.081.1-1.1
10 Argentino39192049%78.380.1-1.7
11 Boca Juniors44182641%77.778.8-1.1
12 Estudiantes42172540%74.576.0-1.5
13 Weber Bahia43172640%75.179.6-4.4
14 Sionista41152637%72.776.2-3.4
15 La Union39142536%80.084.4-4.4
16 Libertad42152736%79.783.0-3.3
17 Lanus42142833%79.984.5-4.5
18 Ciclista4193222%73.483.0-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes1122231975
Penarol2014181365
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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