Estudiantes vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Feb 2019

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 90-66

22-18 24-16 23-10 21-22

Position#9

Record6-10

FormLWWWL

Points / game73.7

Allowed / game79.6

Estudiantes 🏆

Penarol

Position#16

Record6-9

FormLWLLL

Points / game80.9

Allowed / game86.4

Liga A

Other2018-19

Meetings · Estudiantes v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

#17

86-62

+24

H20/01

ACB

Olimpico

#12

77-70

A22/01

Liga A

Quimsa

#13

75-93

-18

A24/01

Liga A

Tenerife

98-96 OT

H27/01

ACB

Weber Bahia

#18

76-69

H29/01

Liga A

Fuenlabrada

#13

92-93

-1

A02/02

ACB

Boca Juniors

67-60

H03/02

Liga A

MoraBanc Andorra

#10

91-90

H10/02

ACB

Gimnasia

92-87 OT

H11/02

Liga A

Real Madrid

63-94

-31

A15/02

Spanish Cup

25-17

19-21

16-12

26-12

15-15

16-16

28-12

18-27

17-18

22-29

13-30

23-16

21-19

11-21

19-19

28-20

19-14

19-12

13-22

25-21

23-27

20-20

24-25

18-7

13-16

21-18

15-19

28-24

17-20

20-24

26-22

14-16

13-14

25-21

13-14

27-29

7-21

14-23

15-21

163.1Avg total

81.7Scored

81.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	73.7	79.6	153.2	-5.9	38%
Season at home (7)	75.3	76.9	152.1	-1.6	57%
Season away (9)	72.4	81.7	154.1	-9.2	22%
Last 10 (10)	81.7	81.4	163.1	+0.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	84.8	165.8	-3.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	77.6	86.5	164.1	-8.8	27%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	79.9	80.7	160.6	-0.8	47%
vs Weaker (1)	76.0	69.0	145.0	+7.0	100%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

#13

68-94

-26

A06/01

Liga A

Olimpico

#12

73-92

-19

A08/01

Liga A

Libertad

#14

83-75

H12/01

Liga A

Quilmes

#20

105-101 OT

105

101

A18/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

75-68

H22/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

55-104

104

-49

H25/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

79-71

H28/01

Liga A

Argentino

#17

75-77

-2

A01/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

76-89

-13

A03/02

Liga A

Atenas

#19

88-101

101

-13

H07/02

Liga A

16-23

19-20

19-26

14-25

20-15

13-24

20-30

20-23

27-14

23-8

12-27

21-26

25-25

27-27

16-15

15-16

19-19

19-18

16-14

21-17

12-25

23-32

7-31

13-16

28-13

20-15

15-23

16-20

20-12

19-22

18-23

18-20

15-15

17-26

23-21

21-27

25-24

15-17

23-29

25-31

164.9Avg total

77.7Scored

87.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	80.9	86.4	167.3	-5.5	40%
Season at home (7)	81.3	85.4	166.7	-4.1	57%
Season away (8)	80.6	87.2	167.9	-6.6	25%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	87.2	164.9	-9.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	88.4	163.0	-13.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	75.9	89.7	165.6	-13.8	22%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	82.9	84.7	167.6	-1.8	50%
vs Weaker (9)	85.2	77.0	162.2	+8.2	67%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.9	39.0	-0.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	21.1	40.1	-2.1	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.0	38.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.4	41.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.2	21.1	40.3	-1.9	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	18.7	18.9	37.6	-0.2	24%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	14.0	33.0	+5.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.7	40.7	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	21.4	40.7	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.5	39.2	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.2	22.7	40.9	-4.4	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.1	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	20.3	38.2	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.5	19.6	36.1	-3.1	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	20.9	40.1	-1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	19.7	35.7	-3.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	19.6	34.2	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.5	21.0	37.5	-4.5	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.4	20.4	39.7	-1.0	41%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	12.0	31.0	+7.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.9	38.4	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	18.1	39.7	+3.4	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	19.7	37.2	-2.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.9	40.4	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.4	41.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.3	21.4	38.8	-4.1	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.8	19.3	40.1	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.0	15.9	35.9	+4.1	78%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

#17

44-38

H20/01

ACB

Olimpico

#12

31-31

A22/01

Liga A

Quimsa

#13

39-47

-8

A24/01

Liga A

Tenerife

32-40

-8

H27/01

ACB

Weber Bahia

#18

38-26

+12

H29/01

Liga A

Fuenlabrada

#13

48-48

A02/02

ACB

Boca Juniors

31-23

H03/02

Liga A

MoraBanc Andorra

#10

45-44

H10/02

ACB

Gimnasia

27-30

-3

H11/02

Liga A

Real Madrid

34-50

-16

A15/02

Spanish Cup

74.6Avg total

36.9Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	40.2	77.3	-3.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.9	38.1	73.9	-2.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.1	42.1	80.2	-3.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	37.7	74.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	39.0	76.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	35.7	42.1	77.8	-6.4	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	38.1	39.2	77.3	-1.2	47%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	26.0	64.0	+12.0	100%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

#13

35-43

-8

A06/01

Liga A

Olimpico

#12

33-39

-6

A08/01

Liga A

Libertad

#14

50-22

+28

H12/01

Liga A

Quilmes

#20

52-52

A18/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

38-37

H22/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

35-57

-22

H25/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

48-28

+20

H28/01

Liga A

Argentino

#17

39-34

A01/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

32-41

-9

A03/02

Liga A

Atenas

#19

40-41

-1

H07/02

Liga A

79.6Avg total

40.2Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	39.6	79.1	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	38.1	80.3	+4.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.8	41.1	77.9	-4.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	39.4	79.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	40.2	79.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	35.6	44.1	79.7	-8.6	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	41.6	38.8	80.3	+2.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (9)	40.6	36.3	76.9	+4.2	67%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	19.2	38.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	21.9	40.9	-2.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.1	20.4	38.5	-2.3	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	41%	-
vs Weaker (1)	13.0	22.0	35.0	-9.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.0	40.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	20.9	39.5	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	21.1	40.8	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	23.9	40.8	-7.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	25.4	42.6	-8.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.8	23.3	44.1	-2.6	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.1	20.7	38.8	-2.6	42%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.7	41.4	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.0	21.1	44.1	+1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	19.7	41.0	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	22.1	22.5	44.5	-0.4	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.2	41%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	21.0	46.0	+4.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.5	42.7	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	21.4	43.1	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	22.1	40.5	-3.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.8	41.4	-4.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.6	22.2	41.8	-2.7	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.6	22.1	42.7	-1.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.9	19.9	43.8	+4.0	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	41.4	81.1	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.1	40.4	82.5	+1.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.7	42.2	79.9	-4.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	39.8	80.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	41.4	80.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	40.2	42.8	83.0	-2.6	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	40.2	40.2	80.4	+0.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	43.0	81.0	-5.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	42.5	82.9	-2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.2	42.3	82.5	-2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	42.7	83.2	-2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.3	46.0	81.3	-10.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	48.2	84.0	-12.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	40.3	45.6	85.9	-5.2	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	38.7	42.8	81.4	-4.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (9)	42.7	39.1	81.8	+3.6	78%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 84.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.3	22.0	54.6%	53.8%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.2	8.7	36.0%	32.9%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	19.3	13.9	72.0%	71.7%	13.9

They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.6	19.5	56.4%	53.8%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	9.6	34.4%	32.9%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	19.9	14.9	74.9%	71.7%	14.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	19.9	50.9%	53.8%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	9.3	34.6%	32.9%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	19.6	14.3	73.1%	71.7%	14.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	21.3	53.7%	53.8%	42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	8.7	35.2%	32.9%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	20.1	14.9	74.3%	71.7%	14.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
15/04/18	Penarol v Estudiantes	85-79
24/01/18	Estudiantes v Penarol	93-86
19/02/17	Estudiantes v Penarol	89-71
17/12/16	Penarol v Estudiantes	93-101
06/02/16	Penarol v Estudiantes	81-86
20/01/16	Estudiantes v Penarol	85-81
31/03/15	Estudiantes v Penarol	75-65
04/01/15	Penarol v Estudiantes	85-58
22/03/14	Estudiantes v Penarol	93-90
18/01/14	Penarol v Estudiantes	80-62

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/02/19	A	Real Madrid	63-94
11/02/19	H	Gimnasia	92-87 OT
10/02/19	H	MoraBanc Andorra	91-90
03/02/19	H	Boca Juniors	67-60
02/02/19	A	Fuenlabrada	92-93
29/01/19	H	Weber Bahia	76-69
27/01/19	H	Tenerife	98-96 OT
24/01/19	A	Quimsa	75-93
22/01/19	A	Olimpico	77-70
20/01/19	H	Gipuzkoa	86-62

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/02/19	H	Atenas	88-101
03/02/19	A	Weber Bahia	76-89
01/02/19	A	Argentino	75-77
28/01/19	H	Hispano Americano	79-71
25/01/19	H	San Lorenzo	55-104
22/01/19	H	Gimnasia	75-68
18/01/19	A	Quilmes	105-101 OT
12/01/19	H	Libertad	83-75
08/01/19	A	Olimpico	73-92
06/01/19	A	Quimsa	68-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	38%
Home	LLWWW	57%
Away	LLLWL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	7	9
Win %	38%	57%	22%
Points / game	73.7	75.3	72.4
Allowed / game	79.6	76.9	81.7
Point differential	-5.9	-1.6	-9.2
Avg total	153.2	152.1	154.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	14%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	6%	14%	0%

Penarol

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	40%
Home	WWLWL	57%
Away	LLWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	40%	57%	25%
Points / game	80.9	81.3	80.6
Allowed / game	86.4	85.4	87.2
Point differential	-5.5	-4.1	-6.6
Avg total	167.3	166.7	167.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	14%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	-	25% (4)
Overtime %	13%	14%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	13	12	1	92%	92.8	74.2	+18.6
2	Ferro	16	11	5	69%	82.9	77.6	+5.2
3	Regatas	18	12	6	67%	84.7	80.2	+4.5
4	Quimsa	16	10	6	62%	87.2	81.7	+5.6
5	Gimnasia	16	10	6	62%	80.8	76.1	+4.7
6	Instituto de Cordoba	15	9	6	60%	86.3	78.3	+8.1
7	Hispano Americano	15	9	6	60%	83.5	83.3	+0.1
8	Libertad	17	10	7	59%	79.2	78.4	+0.8
9	Obras Sanitarias	17	10	7	59%	82.6	83.7	-1.1
10	San Martin	16	9	7	56%	80.4	81.9	-1.4
11	Boca Juniors	17	9	8	53%	74.9	75.4	-0.5
12	Olimpico	16	8	8	50%	77.3	75.1	+2.2
13	Comunicaciones Mercedes	16	7	9	44%	82.5	78.7	+3.8
14	La Union	17	7	10	41%	85.0	85.6	-0.6
15	Penarol	15	6	9	40%	80.9	86.4	-5.5
16	Estudiantes	16	6	10	38%	73.7	79.6	-5.9
17	Argentino	16	4	12	25%	79.6	89.4	-9.9
18	Weber Bahia	16	4	12	25%	69.5	79.7	-10.2
19	Atenas	15	3	12	20%	78.3	84.8	-6.5
20	Quilmes	15	3	12	20%	78.3	88.2	-9.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	22	24	23	21	90
Penarol	18	16	10	22	66

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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