Estudiantes vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Feb 2017

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 89-71

21-23 23-13 27-15 18-20

Position#3

Record23-12

FormWWWWL

Points / game81.7

Allowed / game77.0

Estudiantes 🏆

Penarol

Position#15

Record14-20

FormLLLLL

Points / game74.9

Allowed / game78.7

Liga A

Other2016-17

Meetings · Estudiantes v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obradoiro CAB

#14

81-73

H29/01

ACB

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

95-64

+31

H31/01

Liga A

Quilmes

#14

79-78

H03/02

Liga A

Fuenlabrada

#12

97-103

103

-6

A04/02

ACB

La Union

#18

94-65

+29

H05/02

Liga A

Ferro

76-67

A08/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#19

74-69

A10/02

Liga A

Real Betis

#16

77-73

A12/02

ACB

Libertad

85-73

+12

H14/02

Liga A

San Lorenzo

69-80

-11

H16/02

Liga A

20-17

23-15

20-15

18-26

23-14

14-19

31-18

27-13

18-17

20-18

22-26

19-17

31-18

15-26

26-29

25-30

24-13

20-16

23-15

27-21

24-19

16-10

18-25

18-13

19-17

20-22

15-15

20-15

24-20

19-23

15-11

19-19

35-20

12-14

14-22

24-17

13-25

17-23

18-22

21-10

157.2Avg total

82.7Scored

74.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	81.7	77.0	158.7	+4.7	66%
Season at home (18)	85.5	73.9	159.4	+11.6	89%
Season away (17)	77.6	80.2	157.8	-2.6	41%
Last 10 (10)	82.7	74.5	157.2	+8.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	72.4	148.6	+3.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	77.3	87.8	165.2	-10.5	0%
vs Similar (12)	85.7	79.6	165.2	+6.1	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	81.5	77.4	158.9	+4.2	64%

This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

61-86

-25

A12/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

93-86

A14/01

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

80-77

H18/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

73-69

H21/01

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

88-82

H25/01

Liga A

Atenas

#16

77-85

-8

A28/01

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

85-96

-11

A30/01

Liga A

Ferro

73-75

-2

H02/02

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

76-81

-5

H08/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

58-80

-22

H16/02

Liga A

14-20

21-18

11-15

15-33

16-17

24-26

22-23

31-20

11-16

17-21

27-18

25-22

15-11

20-18

13-20

25-20

25-16

17-17

20-23

26-26

22-17

18-25

10-10

27-33

24-22

20-31

21-19

20-24

24-23

21-16

14-15

14-21

21-16

21-17

19-22

15-26

8-23

9-18

24-19

17-20

158.1Avg total

76.4Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	74.9	78.7	153.6	-3.8	41%
Season at home (18)	79.1	76.4	155.6	+2.7	61%
Season away (16)	70.1	81.2	151.4	-11.1	19%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	81.7	158.1	-5.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.8	83.4	157.2	-9.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	73.8	89.0	162.8	-15.2	25%
vs Similar (26)	73.3	78.4	151.8	-5.1	35%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	17.6	38.7	+3.4	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	17.1	38.9	+4.7	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	18.2	38.5	+2.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	18.0	41.1	+5.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.2	43.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.2	22.2	39.3	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	23.6	16.8	40.4	+6.8	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.4	15.9	36.3	+4.5	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.5	36.0	+1.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	17.3	36.2	+1.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	17.6	35.8	+0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.1	36.1	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	13.8	22.5	36.2	-8.8	0%	-
vs Similar (26)	19.3	16.7	36.0	+2.6	73%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	19.7	38.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	20.5	38.6	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	18.6	36.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.4	35.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.0	21.3	39.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.3	27%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	20.2	37.0	-3.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.8	19.5	36.3	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.8	21.0	37.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.7	39.5	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.4	39.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	20.2	19.5	39.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (26)	16.3	20.3	36.6	-4.1	27%	-
vs Weaker	no games

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obradoiro CAB

#14

43-32

+11

H29/01

ACB

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

37-33

H31/01

Liga A

Quilmes

#14

38-35

H03/02

Liga A

Fuenlabrada

#12

46-44

A04/02

ACB

La Union

#18

44-29

+15

H05/02

Liga A

Ferro

40-29

+11

A08/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#19

39-39

A10/02

Liga A

Real Betis

#16

43-43

A12/02

ACB

Libertad

47-34

+13

H14/02

Liga A

San Lorenzo

30-48

-18

H16/02

Liga A

77.3Avg total

40.7Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	37.7	77.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.0	36.8	77.8	+4.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.4	38.7	77.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	36.6	77.3	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	38.6	78.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.2	43.5	78.7	-8.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	42.4	35.4	77.8	+7.0	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	39.5	36.3	75.7	+3.2	55%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

35-38

-3

A12/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

40-43

-3

A14/01

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

28-37

-9

H18/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

35-29

H21/01

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

42-33

H25/01

Liga A

Atenas

#16

40-42

-2

A28/01

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

44-53

-9

A30/01

Liga A

Ferro

45-39

H02/02

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

42-33

H08/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

17-41

-24

H16/02

Liga A

75.6Avg total

36.8Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.3	37.7	73.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.7	36.8	72.5	-1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.0	38.6	73.6	-3.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	38.8	75.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	41.6	79.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	34.0	42.0	76.0	-8.0	25%	-
vs Similar (26)	35.5	37.0	72.6	-1.5	42%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.5	43.3	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	21.5	42.9	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	23.5	43.8	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.3	23.5	43.8	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.8	23.2	45.0	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.9	22.0	41.9	-2.1	36%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	19.9	36.0	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.4	36.5	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.0	34.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	21.2	21.2	42.5	+0.0	25%	-
vs Similar (26)	17.5	20.1	37.6	-2.6	31%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.3	42.0	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	19.1	42.5	+4.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.1	39.9	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	14.8	35.2	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.8	20.8	42.7	+1.0	67%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.5	20.9	42.4	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	22.2	19.1	41.3	+3.1	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.9	42.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	20.4	42.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	23.4	41.9	-4.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	24.5	46.0	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	24.8	43.4	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	18.5	25.8	44.2	-7.2	50%	-
vs Similar (26)	20.3	21.3	41.6	-1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	42.8	85.3	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.8	40.6	85.4	+4.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	45.0	85.3	-4.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	37.9	79.9	+4.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	33.8	70.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	42.2	44.3	86.5	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	43.2	44.2	87.4	-0.9	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	42.1	41.1	83.2	+1.0	45%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	42.1	80.2	-4.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	41.0	82.5	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.6	43.3	77.9	-8.7	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	42.9	82.5	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	41.8	78.0	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	39.8	47.0	86.8	-7.2	25%	-
vs Similar (26)	37.8	41.4	79.2	-3.6	31%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
17/12/16	Penarol v Estudiantes	93-101
06/02/16	Penarol v Estudiantes	81-86
20/01/16	Estudiantes v Penarol	85-81
31/03/15	Estudiantes v Penarol	75-65
04/01/15	Penarol v Estudiantes	85-58
22/03/14	Estudiantes v Penarol	93-90
18/01/14	Penarol v Estudiantes	80-62

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/02/17	H	San Lorenzo	69-80
14/02/17	H	Libertad	85-73
12/02/17	A	Real Betis	77-73
10/02/17	A	Boca Juniors	74-69
08/02/17	A	Ferro	76-67
05/02/17	H	La Union	94-65
04/02/17	A	Fuenlabrada	97-103
03/02/17	H	Quilmes	79-78
31/01/17	H	Atletico Echague Parana	95-64
29/01/17	H	Obradoiro CAB	81-73

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/02/17	H	Weber Bahia	58-80
08/02/17	H	Hispano Americano	76-81
02/02/17	H	Ferro	73-75
30/01/17	A	Instituto de Cordoba	85-96
28/01/17	A	Atenas	77-85
25/01/17	H	Instituto de Cordoba	88-82
21/01/17	H	Gimnasia	73-69
18/01/17	H	Quimsa	80-77
14/01/17	A	Obras Sanitarias	93-86
12/01/17	A	San Lorenzo	61-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	66%
Home	WWWWL	89%
Away	LLLWW	41%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	18	17
Win %	66%	89%	41%
Points / game	81.7	85.5	77.6
Allowed / game	77.0	73.9	80.2
Point differential	+4.7	+11.6	-2.6
Avg total	158.7	159.4	157.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	56%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	100% (1)	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Penarol

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	41%
Home	WWLLL	61%
Away	LLWLL	19%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	18	16
Win %	41%	61%	19%
Points / game	74.9	79.1	70.1
Allowed / game	78.7	76.4	81.2
Point differential	-3.8	+2.7	-11.1
Avg total	153.6	155.6	151.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	22%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (11)	60% (10)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	33	25	8	76%	84.6	72.3	+12.3
2	San Martin	33	24	9	73%	82.8	75.2	+7.5
3	Estudiantes	35	23	12	66%	81.7	77.0	+4.7
4	Ferro	32	21	11	66%	80.2	77.1	+3.1
5	Instituto de Cordoba	34	21	13	62%	81.1	80.3	+0.9
6	Weber Bahia	33	20	13	61%	77.3	76.1	+1.2
7	Regatas	30	18	12	60%	85.5	81.9	+3.7
8	Quimsa	33	19	14	58%	81.8	77.7	+4.1
9	Olimpico	32	17	15	53%	79.8	77.3	+2.5
10	Libertad	33	16	17	48%	80.6	79.8	+0.8
11	Obras Sanitarias	34	16	18	47%	81.8	80.7	+1.1
12	Gimnasia	34	16	18	47%	80.6	81.1	-0.5
13	La Union	34	16	18	47%	75.4	79.1	-3.7
14	Argentino	33	15	18	45%	73.4	75.7	-2.3
15	Quilmes	34	15	19	44%	77.8	79.4	-1.6
16	Penarol	34	14	20	41%	74.9	78.7	-3.8
17	Atenas	31	11	20	35%	78.9	81.0	-2.1
18	Hispano Americano	34	10	24	29%	77.5	84.5	-7.0
19	Boca Juniors	33	9	24	27%	74.3	81.0	-6.7
20	Atletico Echague Parana	33	5	28	15%	76.6	90.0	-13.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	21	23	27	18	89
Penarol	23	13	15	20	71

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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