Estudiantes vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Jan 2016

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 85-81

17-15 23-30 25-18 20-18

Position#11

Record12-13

FormLWLWL

Points / game74.1

Allowed / game82.3

Estudiantes 🏆

Penarol

Position#4

Record15-11

FormLLWLW

Points / game81.7

Allowed / game81.2

Liga A

Other2015-16

Meetings · Estudiantes v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

65-90

-25

A17/12

Liga A

Libertad

70-95

-25

A19/12

Liga A

Bilbao

91-85

A19/12

ACB

Fuenlabrada

71-85

-14

A22/12

ACB

Real Betis

#11

102-76

102

+26

H27/12

ACB

Barcelona

67-89

-22

A03/01

ACB

Gimnasia

82-70

+12

H10/01

Liga A

Gipuzkoa

#18

85-90

-5

H10/01

ACB

San Lorenzo

80-76

H12/01

Liga A

Murcia

70-83

-13

A17/01

ACB

12-17

7-20

25-23

21-30

11-21

18-18

18-28

23-28

16-19

24-23

18-24

33-19

20-26

29-19

11-20

20-17

31-13

29-19

22-27

18-28

15-18

14-23

20-20

25-14

29-23

12-25

16-8

15-18

20-27

26-20

24-25

23-19

21-17

19-20

17-20

11-13

25-22

16-22

18-26

162.2Avg total

78.3Scored

83.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	74.1	82.3	156.4	-8.2	48%
Season at home (13)	78.2	78.2	156.3	+0.0	69%
Season away (12)	69.7	86.8	156.4	-17.1	25%
Last 10 (10)	78.3	83.9	162.2	-5.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	81.6	158.4	-4.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	75.9	87.5	163.4	-11.5	29%
vs Similar (12)	76.4	79.6	156.0	-3.2	50%
vs Weaker (1)	85.0	90.0	175.0	-5.0	0%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro

#15

88-74

+14

H26/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

74-82

-8

H28/11

Liga A

Weber Bahia

67-63

H07/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

93-78

+15

H10/12

Liga A

Lanus

#13

81-89

-8

A13/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

79-96

-17

A14/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

75-100

100

-25

A17/12

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

89-66

+23

H13/01

Liga A

La Union

90-98

-8

H15/01

Liga A

Argentino

#16

95-74

+21

H17/01

Liga A

25-16

23-15

19-19

21-24

13-14

23-26

21-18

17-24

20-13

16-21

12-13

19-16

28-18

21-19

23-14

21-27

20-21

22-25

15-18

24-25

19-20

21-19

23-24

16-33

19-16

17-27

23-28

16-29

16-14

22-15

31-11

20-26

27-26

23-17

14-32

26-23

30-15

27-11

17-22

21-26

165.1Avg total

83.1Scored

82.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	81.7	81.2	162.9	+0.5	58%
Season at home (14)	85.1	78.3	163.4	+6.9	79%
Season away (12)	77.8	84.6	162.3	-6.8	33%
Last 10 (10)	83.1	82.0	165.1	+1.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	86.8	172.4	-1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	79.5	88.5	168.0	-9.0	0%
vs Similar (28)	80.5	80.2	160.8	+0.2	57%
vs Weaker ◀	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.6	37.4	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.1	38.2	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	20.1	36.6	-3.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	19.2	36.3	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.4	36.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.6	35%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.9	20.1	38.0	-2.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	18.0	33.0	-3.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.7	39.6	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	18.8	41.3	+3.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	18.6	37.6	+0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	17.3	39.0	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.2	40.4	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	24.0	44.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (28)	21.0	18.3	39.3	+2.7	61%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.9	37.1	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	18.0	34.7	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.0	41.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.4	43.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.1	20.9	39.1	-2.8	35%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.2	15.3	33.6	+2.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	27.0	47.0	-7.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.6	39.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	19.1	38.2	+0.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	22.3	40.9	-3.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	17.8	39.8	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.0	27.5	41.5	-13.5	0%	-
vs Similar (28)	19.2	20.1	39.3	-0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

19-37

-18

A17/12

Liga A

Libertad

29-39

-10

A19/12

Liga A

Bilbao

40-42

-2

A19/12

ACB

Fuenlabrada

49-45

A22/12

ACB

Real Betis

#11

51-30

+21

H27/12

ACB

Barcelona

33-46

-13

A03/01

ACB

Gimnasia

54-37

+17

H10/01

Liga A

Gipuzkoa

#18

35-45

-10

H10/01

ACB

San Lorenzo

44-36

H12/01

Liga A

Murcia

36-35

A17/01

ACB

78.2Avg total

39.0Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.0	38.5	74.5	-2.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	38.9	77.8	-0.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.1	38.1	71.3	-5.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	39.2	78.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	39.8	80.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	35.9	40.4	76.3	-4.4	41%	-
vs Similar (12)	36.2	35.4	71.6	+0.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	45.0	80.0	-10.0	0%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro

#15

48-31

+17

H26/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

36-40

-4

H28/11

Liga A

Weber Bahia

36-34

H07/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

49-37

+12

H10/12

Liga A

Lanus

#13

42-46

-4

A13/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

40-39

A14/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

36-43

-7

A17/12

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

38-29

H13/01

Liga A

La Union

50-43

H15/01

Liga A

Argentino

#16

57-26

+31

H17/01

Liga A

80.0Avg total

43.2Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	39.3	79.1	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.7	37.9	79.6	+3.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	40.9	78.5	-3.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	36.8	80.0	+6.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	36.0	80.2	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.0	51.5	85.5	-17.5	0%	-
vs Similar (28)	40.2	38.4	78.6	+1.8	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	22.8	41.0	-4.5	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	22.9	42.0	-3.9	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	22.6	40.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	22.4	41.2	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	22.0	39.4	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.1	22.8	39.9	-5.7	6%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	22.9	42.1	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	20.0	46.0	+6.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.3	37.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	17.1	37.7	+3.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.0	19.6	36.6	-2.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	23.4	45.0	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	15.0	31.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (28)	19.1	18.5	37.6	+0.6	39%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.3	41.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	20.3	41.5	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	22.4	42.3	-2.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	22.3	42.8	-1.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	21.3	22.4	43.6	-1.1	35%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	25.0	49.0	-1.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	22.8	43.9	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	22.9	43.1	-2.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	22.8	44.7	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	25.3	45.4	-5.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	27.4	47.2	-7.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	29.0	22.0	51.0	+7.0	50%	-
vs Similar (28)	20.5	22.9	43.4	-2.4	32%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	44.1	82.9	-5.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	43.2	83.5	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	45.0	82.3	-7.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	44.7	84.0	-5.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	41.8	78.2	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	38.4	45.2	83.6	-6.8	18%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.5	42.5	81.0	-4.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	50.0	45.0	95.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	41.1	81.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	40.0	80.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	42.4	81.3	-3.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	45.2	85.1	-5.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	50.8	92.2	-9.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	45.5	37.0	82.5	+8.5	100%	-
vs Similar (28)	39.5	41.4	80.9	-1.9	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
31/03/15	Estudiantes v Penarol	75-65
04/01/15	Penarol v Estudiantes	85-58
22/03/14	Estudiantes v Penarol	93-90
18/01/14	Penarol v Estudiantes	80-62

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/01/16	A	Murcia	70-83
12/01/16	H	San Lorenzo	80-76
10/01/16	H	Gipuzkoa	85-90
10/01/16	H	Gimnasia	82-70
03/01/16	A	Barcelona	67-89
27/12/15	H	Real Betis	102-76
22/12/15	A	Fuenlabrada	71-85
19/12/15	A	Bilbao	91-85
19/12/15	A	Libertad	70-95
17/12/15	A	Instituto de Cordoba	65-90

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/01/16	H	Argentino	95-74
15/01/16	H	La Union	90-98
13/01/16	H	Instituto de Cordoba	89-66
17/12/15	A	San Lorenzo	75-100
14/12/15	A	Boca Juniors	79-96
13/12/15	A	Lanus	81-89
10/12/15	H	San Lorenzo	93-78
07/12/15	H	Weber Bahia	67-63
28/11/15	H	Obras Sanitarias	74-82
26/11/15	H	Ferro	88-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	48%
Home	WWLWW	69%
Away	LLLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	48%	69%	25%
Points / game	74.1	78.2	69.7
Allowed / game	82.3	78.2	86.8
Point differential	-8.2	+0.0	-17.1
Avg total	156.4	156.3	156.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	23%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	80% (5)	100% (1)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Penarol

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	58%
Home	WWWLW	79%
Away	LLLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	14	12
Win %	58%	79%	33%
Points / game	81.7	85.1	77.8
Allowed / game	81.2	78.3	84.6
Point differential	+0.5	+6.9	-6.8
Avg total	162.9	163.4	162.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	43%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	8%	14%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpico	28	21	7	75%	82.7	76.9	+5.9
2	Obras Sanitarias	26	17	9	65%	86.3	83.6	+2.7
3	Regatas	24	15	9	62%	81.7	78.3	+3.4
4	Gimnasia	28	17	11	61%	82.8	76.5	+6.3
5	San Lorenzo	29	17	12	59%	85.9	80.7	+5.2
6	Penarol	26	15	11	58%	81.7	81.2	+0.5
7	Libertad	30	17	13	57%	81.6	78.4	+3.2
8	San Martin	25	14	11	56%	88.8	84.0	+4.8
9	La Union	29	16	13	55%	81.4	79.8	+1.6
10	Quimsa	27	14	13	52%	80.3	77.9	+2.4
11	Boca Juniors	26	13	13	50%	81.2	80.4	+0.8
12	Estudiantes	25	12	13	48%	74.1	82.3	-8.2
13	Lanus	27	12	15	44%	80.2	80.6	-0.3
14	Weber Bahia	27	12	15	44%	75.0	79.8	-4.8
15	Instituto de Cordoba	29	12	17	41%	76.0	76.5	-0.5
16	Ferro	27	11	16	41%	75.7	78.8	-3.1
17	Sionista	26	10	16	38%	77.8	82.0	-4.2
18	Argentino	27	9	18	33%	77.1	82.7	-5.5
19	Quilmes	28	9	19	32%	77.9	82.8	-4.9
20	Atenas	28	8	20	29%	75.4	81.3	-5.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	17	23	25	20	85
Penarol	15	30	18	18	81

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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