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Palencia vs Real Valladolid Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 90-75
24-10 14-25 30-19 22-21
Position#6
Record9-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#16
Record4-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game82.2
SpainPrimera FEBRound 14· Pabellon Municipal de Deportes
Other2024-25
Meetings · Palencia v Real Valladolid
28 Dec 2024
PAL90
REAL75
17 Jun 2023
PAL90
REAL60
07 Oct 2022
PAL75
REAL65
06 Mar 2022
PAL68
REAL64
08 Jan 2021
PAL72
REAL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Valladolid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
L
80-87
80
87
-7
70avg 78
H19/10
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
68-85
68
85
-17
54avg 78
A26/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
80-64
80
64
+16
80avg 78
H01/11
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
100-67
100
67
+33
96avg 78
A08/11
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
107-76
107
76
+31
102avg 78
H15/11
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
91-86
91
86
+5
81avg 78
A01/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
W
91-83
91
83
+8
81avg 78
H05/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
73-82
73
82
-9
64avg 78
A11/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
114-81
114
81
+33
113avg 78
H14/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
91-71
91
71
+20
90avg 78
A20/12
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-30
22-19
24-20
19-18
23-23
12-25
20-19
13-18
17-15
19-18
21-15
23-16
23-16
27-16
28-25
22-10
33-22
22-11
29-22
23-21
24-17
17-28
23-12
27-29
17-14
24-25
24-24
26-20
15-23
27-22
9-22
22-15
31-14
30-21
26-21
27-25
25-17
19-24
27-10
20-20
167.7Avg total
89.5Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.878.8166.5+9.069%
Season at home (6)91.776.7168.3+15.083%
Season away (7)84.480.6165.0+3.957%
Last 10 (10)89.578.2167.7+11.370%
Last 5 (5)92.080.6172.6+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)82.088.0170.0-6.020%
vs Similar (7)79.785.9165.6-6.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)94.074.9168.9+19.1100%
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real ValladolidSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValladolid
Date
Competition
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
85-94
85
94
-9
75avg 62
A18/10
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
72-76
72
76
-4
62avg 62
H25/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
73-68
73
68
+5
61avg 62
A02/11
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
L
78-82
78
82
-4
66avg 62
H09/11
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
67-65
67
65
+2
53avg 62
A16/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
66-79
66
79
-13
56avg 62
H30/11
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
80-76
80
76
+4
69avg 62
A07/12
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
73-104
73
104
-31
62avg 62
H11/12
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
59-89
59
89
-30
46avg 62
A15/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
73-87
73
87
-14
58avg 62
H21/12
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
23-27
19-20
26-19
23-20
14-15
18-15
17-26
18-22
11-13
22-12
22-21
30-24
12-21
15-11
21-26
13-13
10-21
15-13
29-18
18-20
16-16
17-24
15-19
32-21
19-19
16-19
13-17
9-32
22-23
23-27
19-22
16-25
9-24
16-19
18-21
21-29
12-22
16-19
24-17
154.6Avg total
72.6Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.582.2153.7-10.831%
Season at home (6)70.787.3158.0-16.70%
Season away (7)72.177.9150.0-5.757%
Last 10 (10)72.682.0154.6-9.430%
Last 5 (5)70.287.0157.2-16.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)69.785.1154.7-15.411%
vs Similar (11)74.978.3153.2-3.464%
vs Weaker (1)86.072.0158.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
PalenciaReal Valladolid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H19/10
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A26/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H01/11
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A08/11
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H15/11
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A01/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H05/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A11/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
61-35
61
35
+26
H14/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A20/12
Primera FEB
84.2Avg total
44.2Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.281.6+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.137.679.6+4.571%-
Last 30 away (16)40.842.483.2-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)44.240.084.2+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.086.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.540.581.1+0.053%-
vs Similar (7)37.644.381.9-6.729%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)46.435.982.2+10.588%-
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A18/10
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H25/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A02/11
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H09/11
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A16/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H30/11
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A07/12
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H11/12
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
25-49
25
49
-24
A15/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H21/12
Primera FEB
78.0Avg total
34.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.342.077.4-6.717%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.743.181.8-4.429%-
Last 30 away (16)32.441.173.5-8.86%-
Last 10 (10)34.543.578.0-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)34.846.281.0-11.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)33.544.377.8-10.86%-
vs Similar (11)37.038.975.9-1.927%-
vs Weaker (1)50.035.085.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.1
52.2%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
33.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.313.8
75.4%
73.6%13.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Valladolidtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Palencia wins
2
Real Valladolid wins
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24AOviedo91-71
14/12/24HOurense114-81
11/12/24AFuenlabrada73-82
05/12/24HObradoiro CAB91-83
01/12/24AMoron91-86
15/11/24HCastello107-76
08/11/24ACartagena100-67
01/11/24HAlicante80-64
26/10/24AReal Betis68-85
19/10/24HEstudiantes80-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HEstudiantes73-87
15/12/24AReal Betis59-89
11/12/24HSan Pablo Burgos73-104
07/12/24ACartagena80-76
30/11/24HGipuzkoa66-79
16/11/24AHestia Menorca67-65
09/11/24HOviedo78-82
02/11/24AEstela73-68
25/10/24HObradoiro CAB72-76
18/10/24ATizona Burgos85-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW69%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%83%57%
Points / game87.891.784.4
Allowed / game78.876.780.6
Point differential+9.0+15.0+3.9
Avg total166.5168.3165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Valladolid
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL31%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%0%57%
Points / game71.570.772.1
Allowed / game82.287.377.9
Point differential-10.8-16.7-5.7
Avg total153.7158.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos1312192%87.173.2+13.8
2 Fuenlabrada1312192%83.070.7+12.3
3 Estudiantes1312192%88.478.5+9.8
4 Real Betis139469%82.572.8+9.8
5 Palencia139469%87.878.8+9.0
6 Ourense138562%86.079.9+6.1
7 Obradoiro CAB137654%79.874.8+4.9
8 Tizona Burgos137654%92.590.9+1.5
9 Zamora136746%76.879.3-2.5
10 Castello136746%79.586.4-6.8
11 Gipuzkoa135838%73.777.2-3.5
12 Estela135838%73.781.5-7.8
13 Cartagena135838%75.584.4-8.9
14 Hestia Menorca134931%72.776.5-3.8
15 Oviedo134931%75.681.4-5.8
16 Real Valladolid134931%71.582.2-10.8
17 Alicante1321115%72.377.4-5.1
18 Moron130130%72.685.0-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia2414302290
Real Valladolid1025192175
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