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Evansville vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-81 (OT)
31-36 39-34 9-11
Position#338
Record6-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#173
Record4-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game72.7
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Evansville v Valparaiso
28 Feb 2026
EVAN80
VALP79
16 Feb 2025
EVAN79
VALP69
17 Jan 2024
EVAN78
VALP75
14 Jan 2023
EVAN69
VALP76
19 Feb 2022
EVAN56
VALP72
01 Feb 2021
EVAN58
VALP51
31 Jan 2021
EVAN70
VALP52
04 Jan 2020
EVAN79
VALP81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#276
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A23/11
NCAA
George Washington
#265
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H23/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#228
W
115-112 OT
115
112
+3
H24/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#344
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A01/12
NCAA
Western Illinois
#332
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H05/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#280
W
101-87
101
87
+14
H07/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#172
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A15/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
L
59-85
59
85
-26
A17/12
NCAA
Murray State
#47
W
78-76 OT
78
76
+2
H22/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
52-65
52
65
-13
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-30
42-55
30-45
40-33
38-39
47-46
27-37
43-27
39-43
51-43
45-47
56-40
44-29
28-33
23-47
36-38
41-27
28-42
31-23
21-42
157.5Avg total
77.5Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.580.0157.5-2.560%
Season at home (5)90.887.8178.6+3.080%
Season away (5)64.272.2136.4-8.040%
Last 10 (10)77.580.0157.5-2.560%
Last 5 (5)72.475.0147.4-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.381.8158.1-5.456%
vs Similar (5)75.673.8149.4+1.860%
vs Weaker (4)82.271.8154.0+10.5100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#239
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A22/11
NCAA
Nevada
#80
L
59-84
59
84
-25
A24/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#69
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
A25/11
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#450
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H28/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#246
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A04/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#282
W
77-55
77
55
+22
H08/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#161
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A17/12
NCAA
High Point
#294
W
87-72
87
72
+15
A19/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#134
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H22/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-40
38-34
31-49
28-35
34-30
36-40
48-34
50-37
32-42
47-43
34-22
43-33
30-35
27-32
39-42
48-30
34-32
34-40
28-35
35-31
147.0Avg total
74.3Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.372.7147.0+1.640%
Season at home (4)76.566.0142.5+10.550%
Season away (6)72.877.2150.0-4.333%
Last 10 (10)74.372.7147.0+1.640%
Last 5 (5)70.466.4136.8+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.775.3136.0-14.70%
vs Similar (5)70.472.8143.2-2.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)80.366.0146.3+14.383%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +3.1+3.1
EvansvilleValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#276
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A23/11
NCAA
George Washington
#265
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H23/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#228
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H24/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#344
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A01/12
NCAA
Western Illinois
#332
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H05/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#280
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H07/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#172
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A15/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A17/12
NCAA
Murray State
#47
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H22/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A31/12
NCAA
71.1Avg total
34.4Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)35.535.370.8+0.341%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.436.676.0+2.842%-
Last 30 away (10)30.933.764.6-2.840%-
Last 10 (10)34.436.771.1-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.834.671.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.635.469.0-1.933%-
vs Similar (5)33.037.870.8-4.820%-
vs Weaker (4)38.232.070.2+6.275%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#239
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A22/11
NCAA
Nevada
#80
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A24/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#69
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A25/11
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#450
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H28/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#246
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A04/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#282
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H08/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#161
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A17/12
NCAA
High Point
#294
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A19/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#134
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H22/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H31/12
NCAA
71.1Avg total
35.0Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)33.834.468.2-0.542%-
Last 30 at home (11)35.531.867.3+3.664%-
Last 30 away (8)31.637.969.5-6.212%-
Last 10 (10)35.036.171.1-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.266.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.038.768.7-8.70%-
vs Similar (5)36.433.469.8+3.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)36.833.370.2+3.550%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Evansville wins
0
Valparaiso wins
No previous meetings.
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/19AMissouri State52-65
22/12/19HMurray State78-76 OT
17/12/19AJacksonville State59-85
15/12/19AWisc. Green Bay72-62
07/12/19HMiami (Ohio)101-87
05/12/19HWestern Illinois90-86
01/12/19AIUPUI70-64
24/11/19HMorgan State115-112 OT
23/11/19HGeorge Washington70-78
23/11/19AEast Carolina68-85
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/19HLoyola Chicago63-66
22/12/19HArkansas68-72
19/12/19AHigh Point87-72
17/12/19ACharlotte57-67
08/12/19HCentral Michigan77-55
04/12/19AEastern Michigan79-85
28/11/19HTrinity (IL)98-71
25/11/19ACincinnati77-81 OT
24/11/19ANevada59-84
22/11/19AGrand Canyon78-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Evansville
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game77.590.864.2
Allowed / game80.087.872.2
Point differential-2.5+3.0-8.0
Avg total157.5178.6136.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %20%40%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game74.376.572.8
Allowed / game72.766.077.2
Point differential+1.6+10.5-4.3
Avg total147.0142.5150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State98189%75.666.4+9.1
2 Drake118373%69.568.0+1.5
3 Northern Iowa75271%80.367.6+12.7
4 Bradley107370%71.864.0+7.8
5 Evansville106460%77.580.0-2.5
6 Murray State95456%73.363.0+10.3
7 Southern Illinois95456%64.359.2+5.1
8 Belmont116555%77.269.2+8.0
9 Illinois (Chi.)125742%69.872.7-2.8
10 Valparaiso104640%74.372.7+1.6
11 Illinois State114736%66.870.5-3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Evansville3139979
Valparaiso36341181
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