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Missouri State vs Evansville Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 65-52
23-31 42-21
Position#196
Record4-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game68.0
vs
Position#338
Record6-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game81.7
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Missouri State v Evansville
12 Feb 2025
MISS71
EVAN54
29 Nov 2023
MISS90
EVAN78
04 Jan 2023
MISS85
EVAN62
29 Jan 2022
MISS72
EVAN58
31 Dec 2019
MISS65
EVAN52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A21/03
NIT
Murray State
#1
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H20/03
CIT
Saint Josephs Hawks
#351
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A22/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#102
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A24/11
NCAA
LSU
#65
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A30/11
NCAA
Murray State
#47
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H04/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#353
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H07/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#253
W
75-53
75
53
+22
H12/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#180
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A16/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#124
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A21/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-26
0-0
40-55
0-0
37-36
0-0
26-30
0-0
36-36
0-0
35-33
0-0
30-31
0-0
44-44
0-0
27-33
0-0
31-40
0-0
25-22
0-0
46-47
0-0
33-32
0-0
53-30
0-0
34-16
0-0
41-37
0-0
25-35
0-0
26-26
0-0
35-31
0-0
37-51
138.4Avg total
69.3Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)69.868.0137.8+1.850%
Season at home (3)77.361.3138.7+16.0100%
Season away (5)65.272.0137.2-6.820%
Last 10 (10)69.369.1138.4+0.240%
Last 5 (5)71.065.4136.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.074.7141.7-7.733%
vs Similar (3)65.772.3138.0-6.70%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)77.361.3138.7+16.0100%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#2
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H02/04
CIT
East Carolina
#276
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A23/11
NCAA
George Washington
#265
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H23/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#228
W
115-112 OT
115
112
+3
H24/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#344
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A01/12
NCAA
Western Illinois
#332
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H05/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#280
W
101-87
101
87
+14
H07/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#172
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A15/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
L
59-85
59
85
-26
A17/12
NCAA
Murray State
#47
W
78-76 OT
78
76
+2
H22/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
29-21
0-0
42-44
0-0
26-30
0-0
42-55
0-0
30-45
0-0
40-33
0-0
38-39
0-0
47-46
0-0
27-37
0-0
43-27
0-0
39-43
0-0
51-43
0-0
45-47
0-0
56-40
0-0
44-29
0-0
28-33
0-0
23-47
0-0
36-38
0-0
41-27
0-0
28-42
159.4Avg total
79.4Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.381.7162.0-1.367%
Season at home (5)90.887.8178.6+3.080%
Season away (4)67.274.0141.2-6.850%
Last 10 (10)79.480.0159.4-0.670%
Last 5 (5)80.079.2159.2+0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.483.9163.2-4.562%
vs Similar (5)75.673.8149.4+1.860%
vs Weaker (4)82.271.8154.0+10.5100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +1.2+1.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +1.2+1.2
Missouri StateEvansville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#6
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A21/03
NIT
Murray State
#1
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H20/03
CIT
Saint Josephs Hawks
#351
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A22/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#102
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A24/11
NCAA
LSU
#65
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A30/11
NCAA
Murray State
#47
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H04/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#353
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H07/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#253
W
34-16
34
16
+18
H12/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#180
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A16/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#124
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A21/12
NCAA
61.2Avg total
31.4Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)32.029.961.9+2.164%-
Last 30 at home (5)33.427.460.8+6.0100%-
Last 30 away (6)30.832.062.8-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)31.429.861.2+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)30.427.257.6+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.028.757.7+0.367%-
vs Similar (3)29.030.759.7-1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)34.328.062.3+6.367%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#2
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H02/04
CIT
East Carolina
#276
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A23/11
NCAA
George Washington
#265
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H23/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#228
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H24/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#344
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A01/12
NCAA
Western Illinois
#332
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H05/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#280
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H07/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#172
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A15/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A17/12
NCAA
Murray State
#47
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H22/12
NCAA
70.7Avg total
34.2Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)35.835.971.6-0.138%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.436.676.0+2.842%-
Last 30 away (9)30.934.965.8-4.033%-
Last 10 (10)34.236.570.7-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.677.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.937.070.9-3.125%-
vs Similar (5)33.037.870.8-4.820%-
vs Weaker (4)38.232.070.2+6.275%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Missouri State wins
0
Evansville wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/19AOral Roberts72-82
16/12/19AVCU Rams51-61
12/12/19HArkansas State75-53
07/12/19HMiss. Valley St.86-62
04/12/19HMurray State71-69
30/11/19ALSU58-73
24/11/19ABuffalo74-75
22/11/19ASaint Josephs Hawks71-69
20/03/14HMurray State63-66
21/03/11AMiami (FL)72-81
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/19HMurray State78-76 OT
17/12/19AJacksonville State59-85
15/12/19AWisc. Green Bay72-62
07/12/19HMiami (Ohio)101-87
05/12/19HWestern Illinois90-86
01/12/19AIUPUI70-64
24/11/19HMorgan State115-112 OT
23/11/19HGeorge Washington70-78
23/11/19AEast Carolina68-85
02/04/15HNorthern Arizona71-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%100%20%
Points / game69.877.365.2
Allowed / game68.061.372.0
Point differential+1.8+16.0-6.8
Avg total137.8138.7137.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Evansville
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game80.390.867.2
Allowed / game81.787.874.0
Point differential-1.3+3.0-6.8
Avg total162.0178.6141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %22%40%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty109190%73.153.8+19.3
2 Louisiana Tech97278%76.762.1+14.6
3 Sam Houston St.97278%82.671.2+11.3
4 New Mexico State117464%68.958.0+10.9
5 Delaware95456%74.071.1+2.9
6 UTEP95456%67.064.6+2.4
7 Missouri State84450%69.868.0+1.8
8 Jacksonville State94544%71.967.4+4.4
9 Western Kentucky83538%73.175.1-2.0
10 Middle Tenn. St.81712%65.674.0-8.4
11 Kennesaw State101910%56.176.6-20.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State880100%75.564.8+10.8
2 Drake97278%68.165.8+2.3
3 Northern Iowa75271%80.367.6+12.7
4 Bradley96367%70.963.1+7.8
5 Evansville96367%80.381.7-1.3
6 Belmont95456%77.069.7+7.3
7 Murray State84450%71.461.4+10.0
8 Southern Illinois84450%64.059.8+4.2
9 Illinois (Chi.)115645%69.771.5-1.8
10 Valparaiso104640%74.372.7+1.6
11 Illinois State104640%68.070.9-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State234265
Evansville312152
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