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Evansville vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 69-76
28-34 41-42
Position#365
Record4-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.1
Allowed / game73.9
Evansville
USA
vs
Valparaiso 🏆
USA
Position#306
Record6-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game73.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Evansville v Valparaiso
28 Feb 2026
EVAN80
VALP79
16 Feb 2025
EVAN79
VALP69
17 Jan 2024
EVAN78
VALP75
14 Jan 2023
EVAN69
VALP76
19 Feb 2022
EVAN56
VALP72
01 Feb 2021
EVAN58
VALP51
31 Jan 2021
EVAN70
VALP52
04 Jan 2020
EVAN79
VALP81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#61
L
53-80
53
80
-27
H01/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A03/12
NCAA
Campbell
#225
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H08/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A10/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H22/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
63-91
63
91
-28
A30/12
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
61-78
61
78
-17
H01/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A05/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H07/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
46-91
46
91
-45
A12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
21-41
32-39
20-38
35-34
31-28
41-38
28-42
41-46
30-39
43-22
22-39
41-52
21-41
40-37
25-40
37-45
31-34
30-35
30-46
16-45
139.6Avg total
61.5Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)61.173.9134.9-12.822%
Season at home (9)62.068.3130.3-6.333%
Season away (9)60.179.4139.6-19.311%
Last 10 (10)61.578.1139.6-16.620%
Last 5 (5)58.682.8141.4-24.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)60.273.9134.1-13.717%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#182
L
70-77 OT
70
77
-7
H04/12
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#529
W
96-60
96
60
+36
H07/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
61-98
61
98
-37
A10/12
NCAA
Elon
#349
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H18/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#245
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A30/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H01/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H05/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A07/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
59-74
59
74
-15
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-29
32-33
50-32
46-28
30-53
31-45
42-29
29-37
36-20
41-47
26-24
37-44
24-36
26-32
38-41
29-28
24-49
42-39
30-38
29-36
141.5Avg total
68.0Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)67.673.9141.6-6.333%
Season at home (11)70.068.2138.2+1.855%
Season away (7)63.983.0146.9-19.10%
Last 10 (10)68.073.5141.5-5.530%
Last 5 (5)61.073.4134.4-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)61.874.4136.1-12.66%
vs Similar (10)71.175.1146.2-4.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)80.861.0141.8+19.8100%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -12.9-12.91st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: -2.7-2.7
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -12.9-12.91st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: -2.7-2.7
EvansvilleValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#61
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H01/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A03/12
NCAA
Campbell
#225
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H08/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A10/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H22/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A30/12
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H01/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A05/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H07/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A12/01
NCAA
64.7Avg total
25.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)26.335.862.1-9.517%-
Last 30 at home (14)26.435.461.7-9.07%-
Last 30 away (16)26.236.262.5-10.025%-
Last 10 (10)25.938.864.7-12.910%-
Last 5 (5)25.840.065.8-14.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)26.335.862.1-9.517%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#182
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H04/12
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#529
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H07/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A10/12
NCAA
Elon
#349
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H18/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#245
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A30/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H01/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H05/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A07/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H11/01
NCAA
68.1Avg total
33.0Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.235.466.6-4.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.931.865.8+2.153%-
Last 30 away (13)27.740.167.8-12.423%-
Last 10 (10)33.035.168.1-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)28.437.666.0-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)27.537.164.6-9.612%-
vs Similar (10)32.935.268.1-2.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)42.029.271.2+12.8100%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Evansville wins
6
Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
04/03/22Valparaiso v Evansville81-59
22/02/22Valparaiso v Evansville74-69
19/02/22Evansville v Valparaiso56-72
02/02/21Evansville v Valparaiso58-51
31/01/21Evansville v Valparaiso70-52
06/03/20Valparaiso v Evansville58-55
26/01/20Valparaiso v Evansville67-65
05/01/20Evansville v Valparaiso79-81 OT
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/23ABradley46-91
07/01/23HIllinois State61-69
05/01/23AMissouri State62-85
01/01/23HMurray State61-78
30/12/22AIndiana State63-91
22/12/22HBellarmine73-61
10/12/22ABall State69-88
08/12/22HCampbell72-66
03/12/22ANorthern Iowa55-72
01/12/22HSouthern Illinois53-80
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23HBelmont59-74
07/01/23ABradley66-88
05/01/23HNorthern Iowa67-69
01/01/23HIndiana State50-68
30/12/22ADrake63-68
21/12/22HStonehill77-67
18/12/22HElon71-66
10/12/22AOle Miss61-98
07/12/22HTrinity (IL)96-60
04/12/22HMurray State70-77 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Evansville
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %22%33%11%
Points / game61.162.060.1
Allowed / game73.968.379.4
Point differential-12.8-6.3-19.3
Avg total134.9130.3139.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWLLL55%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %33%55%0%
Points / game67.670.063.9
Allowed / game73.968.283.0
Point differential-6.3+1.8-19.1
Avg total141.6138.2146.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %11%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1813572%79.769.3+10.4
2 Drake1813572%72.763.8+8.9
3 Southern Illinois1813572%66.760.4+6.3
4 Bradley1812667%70.958.9+12.0
5 Belmont1812667%74.270.2+4.1
6 Northern Iowa179853%69.965.6+4.3
7 Murray State179853%70.469.2+1.2
8 Illinois (Chi.)189950%66.969.2-2.3
9 Illinois State1881044%66.968.2-1.2
10 Valparaiso1861233%67.673.9-6.3
11 Evansville1841422%61.173.9-12.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Evansville284169
Valparaiso344276
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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