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Falcon W vs BMS Herlev W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 54-45
20-9 21-14 7-9 6-13
Position#1
Record13-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game60.5
Falcon W 🏆
Denmark
vs
BMS Herlev W
Denmark
Position#4
Record9-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game65.4
Allowed / game64.8
DenmarkDameligaen WKvindebasketligaen Women - Semi-finals· Bülowshallen
Women2025-26
Meetings · Falcon W v BMS Herlev W
18 Apr 2026
FALC48
BMS 60
28 Mar 2026
FALC54
BMS 45
15 Feb 2026
FALC49
BMS 47
18 Dec 2025
FALC71
BMS 60
23 Feb 2025
FALC96
BMS 65
26 Oct 2024
FALC58
BMS 48
04 Feb 2024
FALC76
BMS 73
08 Oct 2023
FALC98
BMS 59
26 Jan 2023
FALC70
BMS 62
22 Jan 2023
FALC62
BMS 70
28 Oct 2022
FALC72
BMS 77
29 Mar 2022
FALC70
BMS 57
18 Mar 2022
FALC82
BMS 68
29 Oct 2021
FALC75
BMS 62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Falcon W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BMS Herlev W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Falcon WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Amager W
#5
W
75-51
75
51
+24
60avg 66
A02/11
Dameligaen W
Horsholm W
#6
W
98-44
98
44
+54
98avg 66
H29/11
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
90-84
90
84
+6
85avg 66
A14/12
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#4
W
71-60
71
60
+11
53avg 66
H18/12
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
76-71 OT
76
71
+5
no box
H17/01
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
63-70
63
70
-7
56avg 66
A25/01
Dameligaen W
Horsholm W
#6
W
84-67
84
67
+17
80avg 66
A04/02
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#4
W
49-47
49
47
+2
34avg 66
H15/02
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
66-53
66
53
+13
63avg 66
A20/02
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
71-54
71
54
+17
59avg 66
H28/02
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-10
29-11
5-13
15-17
24-12
32-14
22-9
20-9
28-25
16-24
25-16
21-19
16-19
21-10
20-17
14-14
11-14
17-7
22-22
11-18
18-17
24-22
7-17
14-14
18-10
24-18
18-18
24-21
16-13
8-9
9-8
16-17
17-12
15-11
21-13
13-17
20-6
17-19
21-13
13-16
134.4Avg total
74.3Scored
60.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.860.5134.3+13.387%
Season at home (8)71.257.4128.6+13.988%
Season away (7)76.764.0140.7+12.786%
Last 10 (10)74.360.1134.4+14.290%
Last 5 (5)66.658.2124.8+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)70.466.1136.6+4.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)79.062.7141.7+16.490%
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS Herlev WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sisu W
#3
W
74-70
74
70
+4
65avg 56
A14/12
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
60-71
60
71
-11
55avg 56
A18/12
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
87-64
87
64
+23
no box
H17/01
Dameligaen W
Horsholm W
#6
W
79-57
79
57
+22
76avg 56
A21/01
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
77-53
77
53
+24
69avg 56
H06/02
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
47-49
47
49
-2
38avg 56
A15/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
52-70
52
70
-18
41avg 56
A21/02
Dameligaen W
Horsholm W
#6
W
79-52
79
52
+27
75avg 56
H27/02
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
62-54
62
54
+8
53avg 56
H07/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
71-62
71
62
+9
62avg 56
A21/03
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
20-14
17-18
23-18
19-16
10-21
17-20
14-14
20-5
29-20
23-23
15-16
19-13
17-19
25-14
18-11
13-24
24-12
21-7
19-10
13-16
9-8
8-9
17-16
8-14
5-20
12-22
27-14
14-7
24-10
20-15
21-20
17-11
13-16
21-16
11-11
20-11
19-15
18-17
14-19
129.0Avg total
68.8Scored
60.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)65.464.8130.1+0.653%
Season at home (9)66.866.0132.8+0.856%
Season away (8)63.863.4127.1+0.450%
Last 10 (10)68.860.2129.0+8.670%
Last 5 (5)62.257.4119.6+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)57.973.7131.7-15.811%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (11)72.660.3132.9+12.473%
This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.0+3.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.0+3.0
Falcon WBMS Herlev W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Falcon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager W
#5
W
55-21
55
21
+34
A02/11
Dameligaen W
Horsholm W
#6
W
56-26
56
26
+30
H29/11
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A14/12
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#4
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H18/12
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H17/01
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A25/01
Dameligaen W
Horsholm W
#6
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A04/02
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#4
W
24-22
24
22
+2
H15/02
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A20/02
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H28/02
Dameligaen W
68.0Avg total
39.7Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.031.171.0+8.977%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.828.767.4+10.188%-
Last 30 away (14)41.433.875.1+7.664%-
Last 10 (10)39.728.368.0+11.490%-
Last 5 (5)35.427.462.8+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)37.133.470.6+3.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.230.071.2+11.181%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS Herlev WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu W
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A14/12
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A18/12
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H17/01
Dameligaen W
Horsholm W
#6
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A21/01
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H06/02
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A15/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
13-34
13
34
-21
A21/02
Dameligaen W
Horsholm W
#6
W
38-17
38
17
+21
H27/02
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H07/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A21/03
Dameligaen W
61.9Avg total
32.7Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.435.366.7-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.534.368.8+0.257%-
Last 30 away (16)28.636.264.8-7.619%-
Last 10 (10)32.729.261.9+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)28.425.654.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)29.338.768.1-9.422%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (11)35.329.364.5+6.064%-
This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Falcon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Falcon W: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.6 points a game
54%
25%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.519.7
43.3%
40.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.9
31.2%
24.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.513.7
63.7%
64.7%13.7
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BMS Herlev Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev W: 67.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.6 points a game
54%
25%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.318.1
40.0%
40.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.55.3
27.2%
24.9%15.9
🏀 Free throws24.815.0
60.5%
64.7%15.0
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Falcon W
WWWWLWWWWW
BMS Herlev W
WWWLLWWWLW
#1
League position
#4
+16.8
Net rating
+7.8
83.6
Offensive rating
74.5
66.8
Defensive rating
66.7
44.5%
Effective FG%
40.2%
34.4%
Opp. effective FG%
36.0%
20.8%
Turnover %
22.8%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
41.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
31.2%
3-point %
27.2%
65.4%
Assist %
59.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence83.6 · 74.5Defence66.8 · 66.7Shooting44.5% · 40.2%3-point %31.2% · 27.2%Ball care20.8% · 22.8%Off. rebounds34.9% · 41.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Falcon W   ■ BMS Herlev W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Falcon W wins
1
BMS Herlev W wins
DateGameScore
15/02/26Falcon W v BMS Herlev W49-47
18/12/25Falcon W v BMS Herlev W71-60
25/10/25BMS Herlev W v Falcon W62-77
23/02/25Falcon W v BMS Herlev W96-65
21/12/24BMS Herlev W v Falcon W67-91
26/10/24Falcon W v BMS Herlev W58-48
21/09/24BMS Herlev W v Falcon W81-86
23/03/24BMS Herlev W v Falcon W68-57
04/02/24Falcon W v BMS Herlev W76-73
22/10/23BMS Herlev W v Falcon W55-106
Falcon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HAmager W71-54
20/02/26ASisu W66-53
15/02/26HBMS Herlev W49-47
04/02/26AHorsholm W84-67
25/01/26ASisu W63-70
17/01/26HAabyhoj W76-71 OT
18/12/25HBMS Herlev W71-60
14/12/25AAabyhoj W90-84
29/11/25HHorsholm W98-44
02/11/25AAmager W75-51
BMS Herlev Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26AAmager W71-62
07/03/26HAmager W62-54
27/02/26HHorsholm W79-52
21/02/26AAabyhoj W52-70
15/02/26AFalcon W47-49
06/02/26HAmager W77-53
21/01/26AHorsholm W79-57
17/01/26HAmager W87-64
18/12/25AFalcon W60-71
14/12/25ASisu W74-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Falcon W
Dameligaen W 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWLWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %87%88%86%
Points / game73.871.276.7
Allowed / game60.557.464.0
Point differential+13.3+13.9+12.7
Avg total134.3128.6140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %7%12%0%
BMS Herlev W
Dameligaen W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW53%
HomeWWWWW56%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %53%56%50%
Points / game65.466.863.8
Allowed / game64.866.063.4
Point differential+0.6+0.8+0.4
Avg total130.1132.8127.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Falcon W1513287%73.860.5+13.3
2 Aabyhoj W1511473%72.665.3+7.3
3 Sisu W1710759%74.664.9+9.7
4 BMS Herlev W179853%65.464.8+0.6
5 Amager W1731418%59.771.2-11.5
6 Horsholm W1731418%63.880.7-16.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Falcon W20217654
BMS Herlev W91491345
← all games of the day
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