PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Falcon W vs BMS Herlev W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 58-48
13-14 13-12 17-10 15-12
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game74.3
Falcon W 🏆
Denmark
vs
BMS Herlev W
Denmark
Position#5
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game60.2
Allowed / game73.8
DenmarkDameligaen W· Bülowshallen
Women2024-25
Meetings · Falcon W v BMS Herlev W
18 Apr 2026
FALC48
BMS 60
28 Mar 2026
FALC54
BMS 45
15 Feb 2026
FALC49
BMS 47
18 Dec 2025
FALC71
BMS 60
23 Feb 2025
FALC96
BMS 65
26 Oct 2024
FALC58
BMS 48
04 Feb 2024
FALC76
BMS 73
08 Oct 2023
FALC98
BMS 59
26 Jan 2023
FALC70
BMS 62
22 Jan 2023
FALC62
BMS 70
28 Oct 2022
FALC72
BMS 77
29 Mar 2022
FALC70
BMS 57
18 Mar 2022
FALC82
BMS 68
29 Oct 2021
FALC75
BMS 62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Falcon W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BMS Herlev W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Falcon WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
62-55
62
55
+7
56avg 64
H16/03
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#3
L
57-68
57
68
-11
49avg 64
A23/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
67-64
67
64
+3
55avg 64
H06/04
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
74-64
74
64
+10
69avg 64
A10/04
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
78-69
78
69
+9
70avg 64
H18/04
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
80-64
80
64
+16
70avg 64
A24/04
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
59-56
59
56
+3
41avg 64
H26/04
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#5
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
A21/09
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
73-57
73
57
+16
69avg 64
H29/09
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
98-85
98
85
+13
92avg 64
A05/10
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
4-10
16-14
18-14
18-12
8-14
16-24
15-18
19-19
14-16
21-16
13-13
18-17
23-21
16-15
17-11
23-11
12-19
24-19
19-20
19-20
14-18
20-11
27-15
13-23
11-12
16-13
19-8
14-18
21-19
26-23
25-21
13-13
17-15
24-12
19-17
25-20
20-31
23-12
30-22
139.7Avg total
73.4Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.774.3160.0+11.3100%
Season at home (1)73.057.0130.0+16.0100%
Season away (2)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.466.3139.7+7.190%
Last 5 (5)79.268.6147.8+10.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)73.057.0130.0+16.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)77.164.9142.0+12.290%
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS Herlev WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sisu W
#5
W
65-64
65
64
+1
no box
A15/03
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
W
68-57
68
57
+11
65avg 59
H23/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
56-61
56
61
-5
58avg 59
H07/04
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
59-70
59
70
-11
50avg 59
A10/04
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
61-63
61
63
-2
63avg 59
H16/04
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
81-86
81
86
-5
no box
H21/09
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
54-56
54
56
-2
45avg 59
H28/09
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
69-61
69
61
+8
63avg 59
A04/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
46-82
46
82
-36
38avg 59
H12/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
51-84
51
84
-33
44avg 59
H19/10
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
12-18
14-8
24-16
18-15
15-10
15-19
16-20
10-12
12-12
16-21
15-18
16-19
13-18
19-13
18-16
11-16
18-14
19-21
23-26
21-25
12-13
14-11
20-17
8-15
20-9
18-10
17-15
14-27
20-19
10-26
8-13
8-24
15-22
15-24
10-20
11-18
129.4Avg total
61.0Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)60.273.8134.0-13.620%
Season at home (4)58.077.0135.0-19.00%
Season away (1)69.061.0130.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)61.068.4129.4-7.430%
Last 5 (5)60.273.8134.0-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)64.079.2143.2-15.222%
vs Similar (13)66.569.1135.6-2.538%
vs Weaker (7)65.060.6125.6+4.471%
This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -6.0-6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -6.0-6.0
Falcon WBMS Herlev W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Falcon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H16/03
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#3
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A23/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H06/04
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A10/04
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H18/04
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A24/04
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H26/04
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A21/09
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H29/09
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A05/10
Dameligaen W
67.5Avg total
33.0Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.033.671.6+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.131.567.7+4.673%-
Last 30 away (15)39.935.675.5+4.360%-
Last 10 (10)33.034.567.5-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)33.437.871.2-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)30.028.058.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)38.333.872.1+4.666%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS Herlev WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Falcon W
#1
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H23/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H07/04
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A10/04
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H16/04
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H21/09
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H28/09
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
38-19
38
19
+19
A04/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H12/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H19/10
Dameligaen W
62.8Avg total
30.8Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)33.534.067.5-0.554%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.733.366.0-0.560%-
Last 30 away (13)34.534.869.3-0.446%-
Last 10 (9)30.832.062.8-1.256%-
Last 5 (5)32.233.866.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.739.373.0-5.744%-
vs Similar (13)31.333.865.1-2.546%-
vs Weaker (5)34.223.657.8+10.680%-
This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Falcon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Falcon W: 64.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.9 points a game
55%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.216.7
41.5%
41.3%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.96.5
26.1%
26.2%19.5
🏀 Free throws17.311.7
67.6%
68.0%11.7
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BMS Herlev Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev W: 53.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.9 points a game
55%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.614.2
41.0%
41.3%28.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.44.4
22.7%
26.2%13.2
🏀 Free throws16.711.4
68.3%
68.0%11.4
They take 54.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Falcon W
WWWWWWWWLW
BMS Herlev W
LLWLLLLLWW
#1
League position
#5
+8.3
Net rating
-9.7
89.4
Offensive rating
74.6
81.1
Defensive rating
84.3
40.6%
Effective FG%
38.5%
39.5%
Opp. effective FG%
38.1%
18.0%
Turnover %
30.0%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
26.1%
3-point %
22.7%
68.1%
Assist %
67.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence89.4 · 74.6Defence81.1 · 84.3Shooting40.6% · 38.5%3-point %26.1% · 22.7%Ball care18.0% · 30.0%Off. rebounds33.8% · 30.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Falcon W   ■ BMS Herlev W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Falcon W wins
4
BMS Herlev W wins
DateGameScore
21/09/24BMS Herlev W v Falcon W81-86
23/03/24BMS Herlev W v Falcon W68-57
04/02/24Falcon W v BMS Herlev W76-73
22/10/23BMS Herlev W v Falcon W55-106
08/10/23Falcon W v BMS Herlev W98-59
04/03/23BMS Herlev W v Falcon W89-68
26/01/23Falcon W v BMS Herlev W70-62
22/01/23Falcon W v BMS Herlev W62-70
03/12/22BMS Herlev W v Falcon W57-64
28/10/22Falcon W v BMS Herlev W72-77
Falcon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24ASisu W98-85
29/09/24HAabyhoj W73-57
21/09/24ABMS Herlev W86-81
26/04/24HAabyhoj W59-56
24/04/24AAabyhoj W80-64
18/04/24HAabyhoj W78-69
10/04/24AAmager W74-64
06/04/24HAmager W67-64
23/03/24ABMS Herlev W57-68
16/03/24HAabyhoj W62-55
BMS Herlev Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24HAabyhoj W51-84
12/10/24HAabyhoj W46-82
04/10/24AAmager W69-61
28/09/24HSisu W54-56
21/09/24HFalcon W81-86
16/04/24HAmager W61-63
10/04/24AAabyhoj W59-70
07/04/24HAabyhoj W56-61
23/03/24HFalcon W68-57
15/03/24ASisu W65-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Falcon W
Dameligaen W 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.773.092.0
Allowed / game74.357.083.0
Point differential+11.3+16.0+9.0
Avg total160.0130.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BMS Herlev W
Dameligaen W 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %20%0%100%
Points / game60.258.069.0
Allowed / game73.877.061.0
Point differential-13.6-19.0+8.0
Avg total134.0135.0130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Falcon W330100%85.774.3+11.3
2 Aabyhoj W43175%72.551.5+21.0
3 Sisu W43175%69.569.0+0.5
4 BMS Herlev W51420%60.273.8-13.6
5 Amager W4040%55.268.2-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Falcon W1313171558
BMS Herlev W1412101248
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.