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FC Porto vs Bahcesehir Kol. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 90-80
23-15 19-17 20-25 28-23
Position#12
Record9-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#4
Record11-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game76.7
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Quarter-finals· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bahcesehir Kol. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
W
74-72
74
72
+2
62avg 77
H17/01
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
81-73
81
73
+8
68avg 77
A20/01
LPB
Balkan
#35
W
92-80
92
80
+12
82avg 77
H23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Portimonense
#11
W
79-56
79
56
+23
75avg 77
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Bilbao
#3
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
68avg 77
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#3
L
86-90
86
90
-4
71avg 77
A03/02
LPB
Gottingen
#8
W
82-64
82
64
+18
72avg 77
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
L
78-84
78
84
-6
71avg 77
A10/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
71-81
71
81
-10
54avg 77
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#9
W
104-45
104
45
+59
109avg 77
A02/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
19-14
16-16
17-17
8-22
21-20
21-11
31-20
23-19
30-21
27-13
12-27
28-21
25-10
10-12
16-13
23-21
16-17
23-12
15-27
25-23
22-30
19-15
20-22
27-18
13-20
20-14
22-12
13-18
18-27
23-12
24-27
17-23
19-28
23-12
12-18
24-9
32-7
21-17
27-12
156.8Avg total
83.3Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.177.5161.6+6.664%
Season at home (7)86.173.1159.3+13.086%
Season away (7)82.181.9164.0+0.343%
Last 10 (10)83.373.5156.8+9.860%
Last 5 (5)84.272.8157.0+11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)78.783.0161.7-4.30%
vs Similar (6)78.275.2153.3+3.050%
vs Weaker (20)89.173.7162.8+15.490%
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bahcesehir Kol.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKol.
Date
Competition
Manisa
#6
L
78-81
78
81
-3
67avg 85
H15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#7
L
61-76
61
76
-15
50avg 85
A20/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Legia
#6
W
77-66
77
66
+11
78avg 85
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Fenerbahce
#1
L
105-110 OT
105
110
-5
no box
H27/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Sporting CP
#29
W
99-87
99
87
+12
106avg 85
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
82-91
82
91
-9
83avg 85
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Jonava
#33
W
119-79
119
79
+40
127avg 85
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Turk Telekom
#9
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
no box
H10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#4
L
81-96
81
96
-15
78avg 85
A14/02
Turkish Cup
Darussafaka
#13
W
75-68
75
68
+7
71avg 85
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
30-23
15-17
18-18
17-23
20-19
13-15
11-19
14-12
19-12
31-18
13-24
19-21
14-28
31-23
32-24
25-20
31-18
14-27
29-22
20-22
28-17
14-27
20-25
31-18
25-23
37-17
26-21
20-17
26-14
19-25
16-25
20-28
20-14
21-25
20-29
14-25
19-11
21-19
21-13
171.3Avg total
86.7Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)92.976.7169.6+16.292%
Season at home (6)101.382.2183.5+19.283%
Season away (6)84.571.2155.7+13.3100%
Last 10 (10)86.784.6171.3+2.140%
Last 5 (5)89.485.2174.6+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)89.295.2184.4-6.00%
vs Similar (8)86.488.6175.0-2.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)90.875.9166.6+14.994%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
FC PortoBahcesehir Kol.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H17/01
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A20/01
LPB
Balkan
#35
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Portimonense
#11
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Bilbao
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#3
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A03/02
LPB
Gottingen
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A10/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#9
W
56-16
56
16
+40
A02/03
LPB
81.8Avg total
42.5Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.837.180.9+6.773%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.935.080.9+10.994%-
Last 30 away (13)41.039.880.8+1.246%-
Last 10 (10)42.539.381.8+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.682.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.738.776.3-1.067%-
vs Similar (6)33.342.275.5-8.833%-
vs Weaker (20)47.635.783.3+11.985%-
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bahcesehir Kol.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manisa
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#7
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A20/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Legia
#6
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Fenerbahce
#1
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H27/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Sporting CP
#29
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Jonava
#33
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Turk Telekom
#9
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A14/02
Turkish Cup
Darussafaka
#13
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.5Avg total
42.7Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.241.386.5+3.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.841.689.4+6.164%-
Last 30 away (16)42.941.183.9+1.844%-
Last 10 (10)42.738.881.5+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)44.637.882.4+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.245.689.8-1.440%-
vs Similar (8)45.545.691.1-0.125%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.637.883.4+7.875%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.5
56.3%
52.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.6
32.1%
33.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.013.6
61.8%
73.0%13.6
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bahcesehir Kol.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bahcesehir Kol.: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.5
53.5%
52.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.211.2
42.7%
33.8%33.6
🏀 Free throws16.313.3
81.6%
73.0%13.3
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WLLWLLWWWW
Bahcesehir Kol.
WLLWLWLWLL
#12
League position
#4
+12.9
Net rating
+7.8
109.9
Offensive rating
118.4
96.9
Defensive rating
110.6
52.9%
Effective FG%
58.1%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
15.1%
Turnover %
19.9%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.1%
3-point %
42.7%
54.2%
Assist %
71.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 118.4Defence96.9 · 110.6Shooting52.9% · 58.1%3-point %32.1% · 42.7%Ball care15.1% · 19.9%Off. rebounds28.3% · 36.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ FC Porto   ■ Bahcesehir Kol.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FC Porto wins
0
Bahcesehir Kol. wins
No previous meetings.
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AEsgueira104-45
14/02/24ASporting CP71-81
10/02/24ABenfica78-84
06/02/24HGottingen82-64
03/02/24AOliveirense86-90
31/01/24ABilbao86-90 OT
27/01/24HPortimonense79-56
23/01/24HBalkan92-80
20/01/24APortimonense81-73
17/01/24HOliveirense74-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/24ADarussafaka75-68
14/02/24ABesiktas81-96
10/02/24HTurk Telekom90-92 OT
07/02/24HJonava119-79
04/02/24AAnadolu Efes82-91
31/01/24HSporting CP99-87
27/01/24HFenerbahce105-110 OT
24/01/24ALegia77-66
20/01/24APetkim Spor61-76
15/01/24HManisa78-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW64%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%86%43%
Points / game84.186.182.1
Allowed / game77.573.181.9
Point differential+6.6+13.0+0.3
Avg total161.6159.3164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%86%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %21%0%43%
Bahcesehir Kol.
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%83%100%
Points / game92.9101.384.5
Allowed / game76.782.271.2
Point differential+16.2+19.2+13.3
Avg total169.6183.5155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%83%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
2 Chemnitz1312192%91.571.8+19.7
3 Bahcesehir Kol.1211192%92.976.7+16.2
4 Bilbao1311285%82.570.8+11.8
5 Legia1310377%87.878.4+9.4
6 Rostock86275%87.277.4+9.9
7 Nymburk139469%81.372.8+8.5
8 Varese139469%92.186.2+5.8
9 Basket Zaragoza139469%80.277.3+2.8
10 Gottingen128467%86.380.2+6.1
11 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
12 FC Porto149564%84.177.5+6.6
13 Manisa148657%75.475.2+0.2
14 Leiden116555%67.269.7-2.5
15 Anwil Wloclawek63350%78.268.2+10.0
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque105550%73.670.8+2.8
17 CSM Oradea126650%88.686.7+1.9
18 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
19 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
20 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%73.875.2-1.5
21 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
22 AEK Larnaca63350%78.882.0-3.2
23 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
24 Spojnia Stargard63350%79.384.2-4.8
25 Trepca63350%68.275.2-7.0
26 Caledonia Gladiators63350%71.879.2-7.3
27 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
28 Sabah Baku94544%77.783.6-5.9
29 Sporting CP104640%86.388.0-1.7
30 Bakken Bears62433%84.285.3-1.2
31 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
32 Levice62433%74.880.0-5.2
33 Jonava124833%83.893.3-9.5
34 Peja62433%82.593.3-10.8
35 Balkan103730%73.985.8-11.9
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Brindisi41325%77.881.8-4.0
38 Keravnos82625%79.484.9-5.5
39 Kataja82625%78.285.0-6.8
40 Den Bosch61517%79.086.7-7.7
41 TSU61517%78.786.5-7.8
42 Karhu Basket61517%82.390.7-8.3
43 Norrkoping61517%70.281.7-11.5
44 Mornar Bar61517%71.885.3-13.5
45 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
46 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu6060%63.283.5-20.3
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2319202890
Bahcesehir Kol.1517252380
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