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FC Porto vs Oliveirense Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 74-72
22-25 19-14 16-16 17-17
Position#2
Record10-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game73.7
FC Porto 🏆
Portugal
vs
Oliveirense
Portugal
Position#3
Record7-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game75.1
PortugalLPBRound 3· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · FC Porto v Oliveirense
19 Dec 2026
POR v OLIV
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
POR85
OLIV62
09 Nov 2024
POR98
OLIV95
26 Oct 2024
POR v OLIV
upcoming
17 Jan 2024
POR74
OLIV72
06 May 2023
POR84
OLIV85
15 Oct 2022
POR91
OLIV63
06 May 2022
POR87
OLIV60
03 Apr 2022
POR91
OLIV64
26 Mar 2022
POR76
OLIV75
11 Dec 2020
POR97
OLIV72
08 Mar 2020
POR78
OLIV90
04 Apr 2019
POR81
OLIV79
17 Mar 2019
POR83
OLIV80
11 Nov 2018
POR82
OLIV96
15 Jun 2018
POR69
OLIV93
23 Mar 2018
POR89
OLIV92
15 Oct 2017
POR78
OLIV93
06 Apr 2017
POR84
OLIV74
04 Dec 2016
POR68
OLIV66
08 Apr 2016
POR80
OLIV69
31 Jan 2016
POR72
OLIV81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oliveirense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
W
79-72
79
72
+7
69avg 79
H01/12
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
88-75
88
75
+13
83avg 79
H03/12
LPB
Balkan
#35
W
88-63
88
63
+25
83avg 79
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#14
W
86-72
86
72
+14
82avg 79
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Bilbao
#3
L
72-75
72
75
-3
64avg 79
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
64avg 79
A17/12
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
86-73
86
73
+13
76avg 79
H22/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
97-81
97
81
+16
85avg 79
H05/01
LPB
Gottingen
#8
W
87-81 OT
87
81
+6
80avg 79
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#5
W
81-79
81
79
+2
70avg 79
H14/01
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
19-20
20-14
17-16
21-19
18-15
34-15
15-26
34-12
18-22
13-11
23-18
32-15
16-15
16-16
22-26
23-17
20-16
12-27
17-15
9-18
22-23
24-17
24-25
18-23
27-17
21-16
20-17
27-20
25-17
22-22
23-22
15-17
16-23
24-17
21-19
19-24
28-14
21-18
13-23
159.7Avg total
84.3Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)88.573.7162.2+14.791%
Season at home (8)90.273.0163.2+17.2100%
Season away (3)83.775.7159.3+8.067%
Last 10 (10)84.375.4159.7+8.980%
Last 5 (5)86.079.4165.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.568.5144.0+7.050%
vs Similar (8)77.982.6160.5-4.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)91.676.3167.8+15.395%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Imortal
#8
W
79-63
79
63
+16
75avg 76
A21/10
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
76-69
76
69
+7
78avg 76
H28/10
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
78-79
78
79
-1
74avg 76
A04/11
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
111-60
111
60
+51
113avg 76
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
W
90-85
90
85
+5
86avg 76
H18/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
104-75
104
75
+29
106avg 76
H01/12
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
47-71
47
71
-24
no box
A08/12
Taca de Portugal
Portimonense
#11
W
69-68
69
68
+1
64avg 76
A16/12
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
80-100
80
100
-20
65avg 76
H23/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
55-77
55
77
-22
42avg 76
H07/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
26-11
19-14
18-18
30-15
23-15
16-16
7-23
22-24
12-22
25-14
19-19
32-22
16-14
22-10
41-14
21-25
29-23
16-13
24-24
21-15
33-15
23-32
27-13
12-12
15-17
5-20
15-22
13-19
22-16
19-17
15-16
13-24
26-22
18-19
23-35
17-17
9-22
16-22
13-16
153.6Avg total
78.9Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.975.1153.0+2.870%
Season at home (5)81.081.2162.2-0.260%
Season away (5)74.869.0143.8+5.880%
Last 10 (10)78.974.7153.6+4.260%
Last 5 (5)71.078.2149.2-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.384.6160.9-8.244%
vs Similar (5)75.079.6154.6-4.640%
vs Weaker (15)76.367.8144.1+8.580%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
FC PortoOliveirense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H01/12
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H03/12
LPB
Balkan
#35
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#14
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Bilbao
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#4
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A17/12
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H22/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H05/01
LPB
Gottingen
#8
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H14/01
Taca de Portugal
79.9Avg total
43.0Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.537.380.8+6.273%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.035.179.1+8.983%-
Last 30 away (12)42.840.683.3+2.258%-
Last 10 (10)43.036.979.9+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.280.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.528.568.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar (8)32.143.275.4-11.112%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)48.536.184.5+12.495%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#8
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A21/10
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H28/10
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A04/11
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H18/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H01/12
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A08/12
Taca de Portugal
Portimonense
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A16/12
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H23/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H07/01
LPB
77.8Avg total
40.8Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.537.274.8+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.036.976.9+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)35.137.672.7-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)40.837.077.8+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.235.872.0+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.945.183.0-7.233%-
vs Similar (5)35.039.274.2-4.240%-
vs Weaker (15)38.932.471.3+6.567%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.721.1
56.0%
51.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.5
32.3%
33.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.913.4
67.3%
69.3%13.4
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.3
49.6%
51.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.110.0
39.8%
33.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.715.1
72.9%
69.3%15.1
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWWWLLWWWW
Oliveirense
LLWLWWWLWW
#2
League position
#3
+13.5
Net rating
+10.8
112.8
Offensive rating
107.4
99.3
Defensive rating
96.7
52.7%
Effective FG%
53.7%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
16.9%
Turnover %
21.3%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.3%
3-point %
39.8%
52.0%
Assist %
62.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 107.4Defence99.3 · 96.7Shooting52.7% · 53.7%3-point %32.3% · 39.8%Ball care16.9% · 21.3%Off. rebounds35.7% · 31.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ FC Porto   ■ Oliveirense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
FC Porto wins
3
Oliveirense wins
DateGameScore
06/05/23FC Porto v Oliveirense84-85
25/03/23Oliveirense v FC Porto83-95
04/01/23Oliveirense v FC Porto71-83
15/10/22FC Porto v Oliveirense91-63
06/05/22FC Porto v Oliveirense87-60
17/04/22Oliveirense v FC Porto66-84
03/04/22FC Porto v Oliveirense91-64
26/03/22FC Porto v Oliveirense76-75
12/12/21Oliveirense v FC Porto20-0
13/03/21Oliveirense v FC Porto85-82 OT
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HSporting CP81-79
10/01/24AGottingen87-81 OT
05/01/24HCD Povoa97-81
22/12/23HLusitania86-73
17/12/23ASporting CP79-83
12/12/23HBilbao72-75
10/12/23HBraga86-72
06/12/23ABalkan88-63
03/12/23HPortimonense88-75
01/12/23HOvarense79-72
Oliveirenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24HBenfica55-77
23/12/23HVitoria80-100
16/12/23APortimonense69-68
08/12/23ABenfica47-71
01/12/23HCD Povoa104-75
18/11/23HSporting CP90-85
11/11/23HOvarense111-60
04/11/23AOvarense78-79
28/10/23HGalomar76-69
21/10/23AImortal79-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %91%100%67%
Points / game88.590.283.7
Allowed / game73.773.075.7
Point differential+14.7+17.2+8.0
Avg total162.2163.2159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+82%88%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oliveirense
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL70%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%60%80%
Points / game77.981.074.8
Allowed / game75.181.269.0
Point differential+2.8-0.2+5.8
Avg total153.0162.2143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto1110191%88.573.7+14.7
2 Sporting CP1210283%93.982.2+11.8
3 Benfica129375%88.265.9+22.3
4 Oliveirense107370%77.975.1+2.8
5 Ovarense127558%76.978.8-1.8
6 Vitoria126650%80.880.1+0.7
7 CD Povoa125742%80.885.8-5.0
8 Imortal125742%76.982.1-5.2
9 Portimonense125742%71.878.2-6.5
10 Galomar123925%73.680.0-6.4
11 Esgueira1221017%73.785.9-12.2
12 Lusitania111109%73.688.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2219161774
Oliveirense2514161772
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