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FC Porto vs Balkan Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 92-80
23-19 30-21 27-13 12-27
Position#12
Record7-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#35
Record3-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game82.1
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Balkan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Balkan
#35
W
88-63
88
63
+25
83avg 78
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#14
W
86-72
86
72
+14
82avg 78
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Bilbao
#3
L
72-75
72
75
-3
64avg 78
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
64avg 78
A17/12
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
86-73
86
73
+13
76avg 78
H22/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
97-81
97
81
+16
85avg 78
H05/01
LPB
Gottingen
#8
W
87-81 OT
87
81
+6
80avg 78
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#5
W
81-79
81
79
+2
70avg 78
H14/01
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
W
74-72
74
72
+2
62avg 78
H17/01
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
81-73
81
73
+8
68avg 78
A20/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-12
18-22
13-11
23-18
32-15
16-15
16-16
22-26
23-17
20-16
12-27
17-15
9-18
22-23
24-17
24-25
18-23
27-17
21-16
20-17
27-20
25-17
22-22
23-22
15-17
16-23
24-17
21-19
19-24
28-14
21-18
13-23
22-25
19-14
16-16
17-17
8-22
21-20
21-11
31-20
158.3Avg total
83.1Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.577.4160.8+6.164%
Season at home (5)85.873.6159.4+12.280%
Season away (6)81.580.5162.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)83.175.2158.3+7.980%
Last 5 (5)84.077.2161.2+6.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.568.5144.0+7.050%
vs Similar (7)77.681.9159.4-4.329%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.274.7163.8+14.595%
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
73-75
73
75
-2
68avg 69
A09/12
NBL
Gottingen
#8
L
70-76
70
76
-6
64avg 69
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Shumen
#6
W
96-90 OT
96
90
+6
no box
A17/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
79-75
79
75
+4
73avg 69
H22/12
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
81-89
81
89
-8
66avg 69
A29/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
64-69
64
69
-5
55avg 69
A07/01
NBL
Bilbao
#3
L
62-94
62
94
-32
56avg 69
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
64avg 69
A13/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
88avg 69
A17/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
85-77
85
77
+8
63avg 69
H20/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
30-17
20-16
8-22
17-22
14-20
22-17
17-17
17-22
28-23
23-24
18-17
22-21
23-20
23-20
11-14
15-19
17-17
22-27
27-26
10-20
17-19
10-15
27-15
15-20
17-23
15-32
15-19
23-20
17-29
19-22
19-17
22-19
23-15
24-10
16-23
19-23
24-13
19-16
23-25
157.3Avg total
77.3Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.482.1156.6-7.743%
Season at home (4)72.882.8155.5-10.050%
Season away (3)76.781.3158.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)77.380.0157.3-2.740%
Last 5 (5)74.879.0153.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.680.1155.7-4.545%
vs Similar (5)87.488.2175.6-0.860%
vs Weaker (13)81.374.4155.7+6.969%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
FC PortoBalkan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#35
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#14
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Bilbao
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#4
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A17/12
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H22/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H05/01
LPB
Gottingen
#8
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H14/01
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H17/01
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A20/01
LPB
79.3Avg total
41.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.536.979.4+5.673%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.534.779.2+9.889%-
Last 30 away (12)39.540.279.7-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)41.937.479.3+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.279.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.528.568.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar (7)32.143.075.1-10.914%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.136.082.1+10.290%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A09/12
NBL
Gottingen
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Shumen
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A17/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H22/12
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A29/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A07/01
NBL
Bilbao
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A13/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A17/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H20/01
NBL
78.7Avg total
38.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.780.0+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.837.879.6+3.969%-
Last 30 away (14)38.641.880.4-3.143%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.278.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.277.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.841.079.8-2.245%-
vs Similar (5)42.642.685.2+0.060%-
vs Weaker (13)41.838.580.3+3.469%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.521.0
57.5%
52.2%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.0
30.9%
33.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.513.7
63.7%
73.0%13.7
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.5
53.9%
52.2%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.88.0
26.8%
33.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.69.9
63.5%
73.0%9.9
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWWWWWLLWW
Balkan
WWLLLLWWLL
#12
League position
#35
+11.8
Net rating
-8.8
112.1
Offensive rating
98.3
100.3
Defensive rating
107.1
52.6%
Effective FG%
47.7%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
16.2%
Turnover %
18.6%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.9%
3-point %
26.8%
52.0%
Assist %
62.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 98.3Defence100.3 · 107.1Shooting52.6% · 47.7%3-point %30.9% · 26.8%Ball care16.2% · 18.6%Off. rebounds33.9% · 31.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ FC Porto   ■ Balkan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
FC Porto wins
0
Balkan wins
DateGameScore
06/12/23Balkan v FC Porto63-88
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24APortimonense81-73
17/01/24HOliveirense74-72
14/01/24HSporting CP81-79
10/01/24AGottingen87-81 OT
05/01/24HCD Povoa97-81
22/12/23HLusitania86-73
17/12/23ASporting CP79-83
12/12/23HBilbao72-75
10/12/23HBraga86-72
06/12/23ABalkan88-63
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HChernomorets85-77
17/01/24AMinyor85-67
13/01/24ASpartak Pleven78-88
10/01/24HBilbao62-94
07/01/24ARilski Sportist64-69
29/12/23ACherno More81-89
22/12/23HLevski79-75
17/12/23AShumen96-90 OT
13/12/23AGottingen70-76
09/12/23AAcademic Plovdiv73-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW64%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game83.585.881.5
Allowed / game77.473.680.5
Point differential+6.1+12.2+1.0
Avg total160.8159.4162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%80%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %18%0%33%
Balkan
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game74.472.876.7
Allowed / game82.182.881.3
Point differential-7.7-10.0-4.7
Avg total156.6155.5158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz10100100%93.672.3+21.3
2 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
3 Bilbao990100%83.267.3+15.9
4 Bahcesehir Kol.98189%91.176.4+14.7
5 Nymburk97278%86.974.8+12.1
6 Legia97278%88.079.4+8.6
7 Basket Zaragoza97278%80.675.1+5.4
8 Rostock86275%87.277.4+9.9
9 Gottingen96367%87.780.7+7.0
10 Varese96367%94.189.0+5.1
11 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
12 FC Porto117464%83.577.4+6.1
13 Manisa117464%77.374.8+2.5
14 Leiden85362%65.565.2+0.2
15 Gravelines-Dunkerque74357%71.365.1+6.1
16 Anwil Wloclawek63350%78.268.2+10.0
17 CSM Oradea105550%87.786.0+1.7
18 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
19 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
20 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%73.875.2-1.5
21 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
22 AEK Larnaca63350%78.882.0-3.2
23 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
24 Spojnia Stargard63350%79.384.2-4.8
25 Trepca63350%68.275.2-7.0
26 Caledonia Gladiators63350%71.879.2-7.3
27 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
28 Jonava94544%84.788.6-3.9
29 Sabah Baku94544%77.783.6-5.9
30 Sporting CP73443%83.984.9-1.0
31 Balkan73443%74.482.1-7.7
32 Bakken Bears62433%84.285.3-1.2
33 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
34 Levice62433%74.880.0-5.2
35 Peja62433%82.593.3-10.8
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Brindisi41325%77.881.8-4.0
38 Keravnos82625%79.484.9-5.5
39 Kataja82625%78.285.0-6.8
40 Den Bosch61517%79.086.7-7.7
41 TSU61517%78.786.5-7.8
42 Karhu Basket61517%82.390.7-8.3
43 Norrkoping61517%70.281.7-11.5
44 Mornar Bar61517%71.885.3-13.5
45 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
46 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu6060%63.283.5-20.3
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2330271292
Balkan1921132780
← all games of the day
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