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FC Porto vs Portimonense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 79-56
28-21 25-10 10-12 16-13
Position#4
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game96.5
Allowed / game65.0
FC Porto 🏆
Portugal
vs
Portimonense
Portugal
Position#11
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game91.5
PortugalTaca da Liga· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2024
Meetings · FC Porto v Portimonense
17 Apr 2027
POR v PORT
upcoming
27 Jan 2024
POR79
PORT56
03 Dec 2023
POR88
PORT75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portimonense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Braga
#14
W
86-72
86
72
+14
82avg 78
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Bilbao
#3
L
72-75
72
75
-3
64avg 78
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
64avg 78
A17/12
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
86-73
86
73
+13
76avg 78
H22/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
97-81
97
81
+16
85avg 78
H05/01
LPB
Gottingen
#8
W
87-81 OT
87
81
+6
80avg 78
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#5
W
81-79
81
79
+2
70avg 78
H14/01
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
W
74-72
74
72
+2
62avg 78
H17/01
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
81-73
81
73
+8
68avg 78
A20/01
LPB
Balkan
#35
W
92-80
92
80
+12
82avg 78
H23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-15
16-15
16-16
22-26
23-17
20-16
12-27
17-15
9-18
22-23
24-17
24-25
18-23
27-17
21-16
20-17
27-20
25-17
22-22
23-22
15-17
16-23
24-17
21-19
19-24
28-14
21-18
13-23
22-25
19-14
16-16
17-17
8-22
21-20
21-11
31-20
23-19
30-21
27-13
12-27
160.4Avg total
83.5Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)96.565.0161.5+31.5100%
Season at home (1)92.060.0152.0+32.0100%
Season away (1)101.070.0171.0+31.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.576.9160.4+6.680%
Last 5 (5)83.077.0160.0+6.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.568.5144.0+7.050%
vs Similar (6)75.380.0155.3-4.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.374.9164.2+14.495%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortimonense
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#12
W
67-64
67
64
+3
64avg 66
H18/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
74-81 OT
74
81
-7
no box
A25/11
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
64-72
64
72
-8
52avg 66
A01/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
68avg 66
A03/12
LPB
Inedsport
#16
W
104-63
104
63
+41
90avg 66
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
L
68-69
68
69
-1
61avg 66
H16/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
67-100
67
100
-33
55avg 66
A30/12
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
68-85
68
85
-17
56avg 66
A06/01
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
53-85
53
85
-32
40avg 66
A13/01
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#2
L
73-81
73
81
-8
68avg 66
H20/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
16-16
9-15
23-14
17-19
16-15
17-11
19-24
11-25
15-14
24-18
14-15
19-21
15-18
15-34
26-15
32-17
17-12
28-24
27-10
19-13
16-22
17-19
16-15
19-22
16-28
16-35
16-15
15-26
16-28
20-16
17-15
12-16
17-24
6-29
18-16
22-8
20-21
11-21
20-31
150.1Avg total
71.3Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.091.5164.5-18.50%
Season at home (1)79.082.0161.0-3.00%
Season away (1)67.0101.0168.0-34.00%
Last 10 (10)71.378.8150.1-7.520%
Last 5 (5)65.884.0149.8-18.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)70.082.0152.1-12.025%
vs Similar (8)80.274.8155.0+5.588%
vs Weaker (1)67.064.0131.0+3.0100%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
FC PortoPortimonense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Braga
#14
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Bilbao
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#4
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A17/12
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H22/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H05/01
LPB
Gottingen
#8
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H14/01
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H17/01
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A20/01
LPB
Balkan
#35
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
80.0Avg total
42.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.936.679.5+6.477%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.234.279.4+11.194%-
Last 30 away (12)39.540.279.7-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)42.038.080.0+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.880.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.528.568.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar (6)30.841.872.7-11.017%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.536.182.6+10.390%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H18/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A25/11
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A01/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/12
LPB
Inedsport
#16
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H16/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A30/12
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A06/01
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A13/01
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#2
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H20/01
LPB
73.3Avg total
34.9Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.538.274.6-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.436.874.2+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)35.639.475.0-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)34.938.473.3-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)34.441.676.0-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)34.040.074.1-6.020%-
vs Similar (8)41.135.076.1+6.188%-
vs Weaker (1)35.035.070.0+0.00%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.422.0
58.8%
51.1%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.6
29.9%
32.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.913.3
63.6%
69.0%13.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.0
51.8%
51.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.5
26.6%
32.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws17.411.9
68.4%
69.0%11.9
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWWWWWWLLW
Portimonense
LLLLLWLLLW
#4
League position
#11
+10.3
Net rating
-8.8
112.2
Offensive rating
93.6
101.9
Defensive rating
102.3
52.7%
Effective FG%
47.2%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
15.3%
Turnover %
22.2%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.9%
3-point %
26.6%
53.3%
Assist %
63.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 93.6Defence101.9 · 102.3Shooting52.7% · 47.2%3-point %29.9% · 26.6%Ball care15.3% · 22.2%Off. rebounds32.3% · 29.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ FC Porto   ■ Portimonense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
FC Porto wins
0
Portimonense wins
DateGameScore
20/01/24Portimonense v FC Porto73-81
03/12/23FC Porto v Portimonense88-75
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/24HBalkan92-80
20/01/24APortimonense81-73
17/01/24HOliveirense74-72
14/01/24HSporting CP81-79
10/01/24AGottingen87-81 OT
05/01/24HCD Povoa97-81
22/12/23HLusitania86-73
17/12/23ASporting CP79-83
12/12/23HBilbao72-75
10/12/23HBraga86-72
Portimonenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HFC Porto73-81
13/01/24ABenfica53-85
06/01/24AEsgueira68-85
30/12/23ABenfica67-100
16/12/23HOliveirense68-69
10/12/23AInedsport104-63
03/12/23AFC Porto75-88
01/12/23AVitoria64-72
25/11/23ACD Povoa74-81 OT
18/11/23HLusitania67-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
Taca da Liga 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game96.592.0101.0
Allowed / game65.060.070.0
Point differential+31.5+32.0+31.0
Avg total161.5152.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Portimonense
Taca da Liga 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.079.067.0
Allowed / game91.582.0101.0
Point differential-18.5-3.0-34.0
Avg total164.5161.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto220100%96.565.0+31.5
2 Oliveirense220100%94.565.5+29.0
3 Sporting CP220100%96.575.0+21.5
4 Vitoria220100%86.080.5+5.5
5 Benfica21150%83.076.0+7.0
6 CD Povoa21150%85.081.5+3.5
7 Esgueira21150%79.076.5+2.5
8 Ovarense21150%76.0101.0-25.0
9 Galomar2020%74.091.0-17.0
10 Portimonense2020%73.091.5-18.5
11 Lusitania2020%76.095.5-19.5
12 Imortal2020%71.592.0-20.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2825101679
Portimonense2110121356
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