PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

FC Porto vs Braga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 86-72
32-15 16-15 16-16 22-26
Position#1
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
FC Porto 🏆
Portugal
vs
Braga
Portugal
Position#14
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalTaca de Portugal· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2024
Meetings · FC Porto v Braga
08 Nov 2026
POR v BRAG
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
POR98
BRAG79
10 Dec 2023
POR86
BRAG72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Braga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#7
W
94-72
94
72
+22
88avg 80
H04/11
LPB
Norrkoping
#43
W
84-64
84
64
+20
79avg 80
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lusitania
#12
W
101-70
101
70
+31
101avg 80
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Bakken Bears
#30
L
99-113 OT
99
113
-14
88avg 80
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#8
W
93-67
93
67
+26
88avg 80
H17/11
LPB
Manisa
#13
L
66-75
66
75
-9
54avg 80
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galomar
#10
W
81-68
81
68
+13
72avg 80
A25/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
79-72
79
72
+7
69avg 80
H01/12
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
88-75
88
75
+13
83avg 80
H03/12
LPB
Balkan
#35
W
88-63
88
63
+25
83avg 80
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-13
25-15
24-23
17-21
21-19
21-8
22-25
20-12
29-21
30-17
28-15
14-17
27-16
23-26
13-17
21-25
25-17
21-16
23-12
24-22
12-26
13-22
19-11
22-16
24-18
23-12
18-21
16-17
23-22
19-20
20-14
17-16
21-19
18-15
34-15
15-26
34-12
18-22
13-11
23-18
161.2Avg total
87.3Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.373.9161.2+13.480%
Last 5 (5)80.470.6151.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.575.5161.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (7)81.086.1167.1-5.129%
vs Weaker (21)93.478.5171.9+14.986%
BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
56-108
56
108
-52
no box
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Sangalhos
#6
W
67-56
67
56
+11
66avg 73
H14/10
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
80-82
80
82
-2
67avg 73
A21/10
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
92-65
92
65
+27
83avg 73
H28/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
95-86
95
86
+9
88avg 73
H04/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
90-87
90
87
+3
79avg 73
A18/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
97-84
97
84
+13
93avg 73
H25/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
63-74
63
74
-11
55avg 73
A03/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
W
67-63
67
63
+4
55avg 73
A08/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-31
10-23
14-24
16-30
15-12
7-10
26-18
19-16
14-17
25-19
20-16
21-30
29-8
12-22
27-23
24-12
25-26
20-25
28-19
22-16
26-14
21-20
24-26
19-27
24-26
25-24
25-13
23-21
15-20
21-16
19-20
8-18
16-16
19-21
10-15
22-11
156.9Avg total
78.6Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (9)78.678.3156.9+0.267%
Last 5 (5)82.478.8161.2+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)76.872.8149.6+4.080%
vs Weaker (3)89.077.7166.7+11.367%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
FC PortoBraga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#7
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H04/11
LPB
Norrkoping
#43
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lusitania
#12
W
59-38
59
38
+21
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Bakken Bears
#30
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#8
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H17/11
LPB
Manisa
#13
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galomar
#10
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A25/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H01/12
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H03/12
LPB
Balkan
#35
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
81.1Avg total
45.5Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.838.883.7+6.073%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.536.880.2+6.875%-
Last 30 away (14)46.441.287.6+5.171%-
Last 10 (10)45.535.681.1+9.980%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.678.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.041.081.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (7)35.444.079.4-8.629%-
vs Weaker (21)48.436.985.3+11.590%-
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
26-54
26
54
-28
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Sangalhos
#6
D
22-22
22
22
+0
H14/10
Proliga
Maia
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A21/10
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H28/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H04/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A18/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H25/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A03/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A08/12
Proliga
76.7Avg total
37.8Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)37.838.976.7-1.133%-
Last 30 at home (5)36.641.478.0-4.820%-
Last 30 away (4)39.235.875.0+3.550%-
Last 10 (9)37.838.976.7-1.133%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.684.0+0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)37.835.873.6+2.020%-
vs Weaker (3)41.739.080.7+2.767%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.5
51.9%
53.3%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.5
36.7%
34.1%34.5
🏀 Free throws20.013.2
66.0%
69.5%13.2
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.118.6
46.4%
53.3%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.0
36.0%
34.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.613.1
66.9%
69.5%13.1
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWWWLWLWWW
Braga
WLWWWWLWL
#1
League position
#14
+17.2
Net rating
+8.2
112.4
Offensive rating
101.8
95.2
Defensive rating
93.5
53.3%
Effective FG%
49.5%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
44.3%
17.1%
Turnover %
20.9%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.7%
3-point %
36.0%
56.5%
Assist %
51.5%
80%
Form (last 10/9)
67%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 101.8Defence95.2 · 93.5Shooting53.3% · 49.5%3-point %36.7% · 36.0%Ball care17.1% · 20.9%Off. rebounds35.1% · 33.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/9)80% · 67%
■ FC Porto   ■ Braga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FC Porto wins
0
Braga wins
No previous meetings.
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23ABalkan88-63
03/12/23HPortimonense88-75
01/12/23HOvarense79-72
25/11/23AGalomar81-68
22/11/23AManisa66-75
17/11/23HImortal93-67
15/11/23ABakken Bears99-113 OT
11/11/23ALusitania101-70
08/11/23HNorrkoping84-64
04/11/23HVitoria94-72
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/23ASangalhos67-63
03/12/23AIlliabum63-74
25/11/23HVasco Da Gama97-84
18/11/23AGalitos Aveiro90-87
04/11/23HSampaense95-86
28/10/23HAcademica92-65
21/10/23AMaia80-82
14/10/23HSangalhos67-56
10/12/22HSporting CP56-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
Taca de Portugal 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Braga
Taca de Portugal 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica110100%71.047.0+24.0
2 Esgueira110100%78.066.0+12.0
3 Sporting CP110100%91.079.0+12.0
4 Maia110100%82.076.0+6.0
5 Lusitania1010%76.082.0-6.0
6 Ovarense1010%79.091.0-12.0
7 Vitoria1010%66.078.0-12.0
8 Oliveirense1010%47.071.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto3216162286
Braga1515162672
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.