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FC Porto vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 74-62
15-23 28-11 14-17 17-11
Position#2
Record6-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game88.8
vs
Position#4
Record7-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game77.8
PortugalLPBRound 8· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · FC Porto v Ovarense
13 Feb 2027
POR v OVAR
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
POR74
OVAR62
18 Mar 2025
POR75
OVAR77
09 Feb 2025
POR88
OVAR77
23 May 2024
POR77
OVAR60
21 May 2024
POR70
OVAR73
03 May 2024
POR82
OVAR67
01 Dec 2023
POR79
OVAR72
04 Mar 2023
POR96
OVAR74
03 Dec 2022
POR91
OVAR63
02 Jan 2022
POR80
OVAR62
03 Nov 2020
POR95
OVAR55
12 Oct 2019
POR89
OVAR87
25 Apr 2019
POR99
OVAR73
05 Jan 2019
POR104
OVAR84
01 Mar 2018
POR97
OVAR93
07 May 2017
POR92
OVAR63
05 May 2017
POR95
OVAR72
12 Feb 2017
POR89
OVAR73
08 May 2016
POR83
OVAR68
06 May 2016
POR87
OVAR73
06 Mar 2016
POR87
OVAR74
11 Oct 2015
POR64
OVAR59
12 Nov 2011
POR77
OVAR70
12 Dec 2010
POR94
OVAR69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ovarense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Imortal
#6
W
93-92
93
92
+1
90avg 81
A01/11
LPB
Antwerp Giants
#14
L
72-81
72
81
-9
63avg 81
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#10
W
105-85
105
85
+20
102avg 81
H08/11
LPB
Tartu Ulikool
#31
L
71-90
71
90
-19
58avg 81
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
L
80-109
80
109
-29
74avg 81
A15/11
LPB
Rostock
#10
L
68-96
68
96
-28
no box
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
CA Queluz
#9
W
103-97
103
97
+6
99avg 81
A06/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
65-91
65
91
-26
47avg 81
A21/12
Super Cup
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
103-78
103
78
+25
107avg 81
A27/12
LPB
Braga
#7
W
98-79
98
79
+19
94avg 81
H03/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
23-13
22-27
19-28
16-22
22-17
20-17
14-25
29-26
27-16
14-16
35-27
15-21
18-25
29-22
9-22
19-32
13-36
22-25
26-16
14-23
23-26
20-20
11-27
32-18
23-26
23-26
25-27
18-31
18-15
12-22
17-23
31-16
26-22
18-18
28-22
25-21
30-17
26-18
17-23
175.6Avg total
85.8Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)94.088.8182.8+5.267%
Season at home (4)93.579.8173.2+13.875%
Season away (5)94.496.0190.4-1.660%
Last 10 (10)85.889.8175.6-4.050%
Last 5 (5)87.488.2175.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.489.2168.6-9.830%
vs Similar (8)82.482.9165.2-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)97.283.3180.5+13.990%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
68avg 71
H29/05
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
81-75
81
75
+6
85avg 71
H04/10
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
57avg 71
H11/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
87-82
87
82
+5
83avg 71
H18/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
64-78
64
78
-14
42avg 71
A01/11
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
72-71
72
71
+1
62avg 71
H08/11
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
94-77
94
77
+17
89avg 71
A15/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
70-96
70
96
-26
67avg 71
H06/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 71
A27/12
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
88-64
88
64
+24
79avg 71
H03/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-22
20-25
35-14
17-28
21-19
24-20
18-25
18-11
16-21
21-18
23-11
23-25
20-19
27-23
25-20
15-20
13-28
21-15
14-18
16-17
21-25
12-20
21-13
18-13
25-16
18-24
25-20
26-17
16-22
23-24
11-29
20-21
23-15
16-26
26-24
19-17
19-15
25-23
25-16
19-10
159.2Avg total
80.3Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.377.8158.1+2.678%
Season at home (6)80.277.2157.3+3.083%
Season away (3)80.779.0159.7+1.767%
Last 10 (10)80.378.9159.2+1.470%
Last 5 (5)81.678.0159.6+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)75.588.5164.0-13.021%
vs Similar (7)80.677.6158.1+3.071%
vs Weaker (9)83.671.4155.0+12.1100%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
FC PortoOvarense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#6
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A01/11
LPB
Antwerp Giants
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#10
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H08/11
LPB
Tartu Ulikool
#31
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
L
32-68
32
68
-36
A15/11
LPB
Rostock
#10
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
CA Queluz
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A06/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A21/12
Super Cup
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A27/12
LPB
Braga
#7
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H03/01
LPB
89.8Avg total
45.1Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.784.8-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.937.979.8+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)42.246.989.2-4.738%-
Last 10 (10)45.144.789.8+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)48.043.091.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.344.482.7-6.120%-
vs Similar (8)38.243.081.2-4.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)50.440.090.4+10.490%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H29/05
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H04/10
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H11/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H18/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A01/11
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H08/11
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A15/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H06/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A27/12
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H03/01
LPB
80.9Avg total
38.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.479.4-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.440.177.4-2.736%-
Last 30 away (16)40.440.881.2-0.338%-
Last 10 (10)38.942.080.9-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.081.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.441.578.9-4.129%-
vs Similar (7)41.738.380.0+3.457%-
vs Weaker (9)39.440.479.9-1.033%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.6
55.0%
52.7%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.5
34.0%
32.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.216.4
73.9%
70.4%16.4
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.5
55.4%
52.7%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.3
31.4%
32.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws16.911.4
67.5%
70.4%11.4
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWLWLLLWLW
Ovarense
WWLWWLWWWL
#2
League position
#4
-4.7
Net rating
+3.8
108.8
Offensive rating
106.4
113.5
Defensive rating
102.6
53.3%
Effective FG%
51.6%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
18.0%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.0%
3-point %
31.4%
62.7%
Assist %
62.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 106.4Defence113.5 · 102.6Shooting53.3% · 51.6%3-point %34.0% · 31.4%Ball care17.0% · 18.0%Off. rebounds25.9% · 31.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ FC Porto   ■ Ovarense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
FC Porto wins
3
Ovarense wins
DateGameScore
19/04/25Ovarense v FC Porto66-94
18/03/25FC Porto v Ovarense75-77
09/02/25FC Porto v Ovarense88-77
28/05/24Ovarense v FC Porto74-77
26/05/24Ovarense v FC Porto83-86
23/05/24FC Porto v Ovarense77-60
21/05/24FC Porto v Ovarense70-73
03/05/24FC Porto v Ovarense82-67
13/04/24Ovarense v FC Porto88-84
01/12/23FC Porto v Ovarense79-72
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HBraga98-79
27/12/25AGalitos Barreiro103-78
21/12/25ABenfica65-91
06/12/25ACA Queluz103-97
19/11/25ARostock68-96
15/11/25ABenfica80-109
12/11/25HTartu Ulikool71-90
08/11/25HVitoria105-85
05/11/25AAntwerp Giants72-81
01/11/25AImortal93-92
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HGalitos Barreiro88-64
27/12/25ACA Queluz84-82
06/12/25HBenfica70-96
15/11/25AVitoria94-77
08/11/25HImortal72-71
01/11/25ASporting CP64-78
18/10/25HOliveirense87-82
11/10/25HVasco Da Gama83-75
04/10/25HEsgueira81-75
29/05/25HBenfica80-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game94.093.594.4
Allowed / game88.879.896.0
Point differential+5.2+13.8-1.6
Avg total182.8173.2190.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%75%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ovarense
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %78%83%67%
Points / game80.380.280.7
Allowed / game77.877.279.0
Point differential+2.6+3.0+1.7
Avg total158.1157.3159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica990100%94.671.1+23.4
2 Sporting CP108280%89.177.9+11.2
3 Ovarense97278%80.377.8+2.6
4 FC Porto96367%94.088.8+5.2
5 Oliveirense106460%86.681.7+4.9
6 Imortal104640%87.184.8+2.3
7 CA Queluz104640%82.183.9-1.8
8 Esgueira104640%88.792.9-4.2
9 Braga104640%76.083.4-7.4
10 Vitoria103730%82.588.4-5.9
11 Vasco Da Gama102820%81.792.6-10.9
12 Galitos Barreiro91811%83.9102.0-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto1528141774
Ovarense2311171162
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