FC Porto vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Jan 2023

Tip-off: 20:00

Final 94-73

17-24 24-13 30-14 23-22

Position#3

Record16-1

FormWWLWW

Points / game89.3

Allowed / game74.8

FC Porto 🏆

Esgueira

Position#7

Record7-11

FormWLLLL

Points / game76.4

Allowed / game82.1

LPBRound 19

Other2022-23

Meetings · FC Porto v Esgueira

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Esgueira winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC Porto

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

SCM Craiova

#25

83-73

+10

A14/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Chemnitz

94-87

A20/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Benfica

87-86

A23/12

LPB

Imortal

89-69

+20

H28/12

LPB

Oliveirense

83-71

+12

A04/01

LPB

CD Povoa

99-69

+30

H07/01

LPB

Cholet

99-78

+21

H10/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Sporting CP

84-97

-13

H14/01

Taca da Liga

Vitoria

85-83

A21/01

LPB

SCM Craiova

#25

90-64

+26

H24/01

FIBA Europe Cup

18-26

21-17

21-12

23-18

24-18

27-27

14-28

29-14

23-25

24-22

17-12

23-27

24-21

26-21

21-20

18-7

21-19

24-18

19-15

19-19

24-10

22-24

31-12

22-23

31-23

19-11

25-27

24-17

16-21

19-26

21-20

28-30

24-21

14-27

12-14

35-21

18-18

26-16

23-21

23-9

167.0Avg total

89.3Scored

77.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	89.3	74.8	164.1	+14.5	94%
Season at home (9)	93.7	74.9	168.6	+18.8	89%
Season away (8)	84.4	74.8	159.1	+9.6	100%
Last 10 (10)	89.3	77.7	167.0	+11.6	90%
Last 5 (5)	91.4	78.2	169.6	+13.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	89.6	90.8	180.4	-1.2	60%
vs Similar (5)	77.2	78.0	155.2	-0.8	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	87.7	71.2	158.8	+16.5	94%

This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Esgueira

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

82-95

-13

A30/11

LPB

FC Porto

83-87

-4

H04/12

LPB

Imortal

55-74

-19

A08/12

LPB

Oliveirense

77-73

H17/12

LPB

CD Povoa

52-63

-11

A22/12

LPB

Vitoria

88-77

+11

H28/12

LPB

Ovarense

70-87

-17

H04/01

LPB

Sporting CP

42-89

-47

A07/01

LPB

Lusitania

73-85

-12

A14/01

Taca de Portugal

Lusitania

#10

84-92

-8

H21/01

LPB

18-19

18-23

24-32

22-21

21-23

20-23

18-14

24-27

21-23

10-17

14-17

24-27

12-14

23-16

18-16

21-19

9-13

6-17

16-14

29-22

19-24

19-18

21-13

20-24

18-25

14-25

18-13

11-26

12-22

9-14

10-27

17-31

16-30

20-6

20-18

20-24

19-27

27-22

18-19

152.8Avg total

70.6Scored

82.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	76.4	82.1	158.6	-5.7	39%
Season at home (9)	79.3	79.2	158.6	+0.1	56%
Season away (9)	73.6	85.0	158.6	-11.4	22%
Last 10 (10)	70.6	82.2	152.8	-11.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	71.4	86.0	157.4	-14.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	71.2	90.8	162.0	-19.5	0%
vs Similar (13)	78.2	81.1	159.3	-2.8	46%
vs Weaker (12)	76.3	66.8	143.1	+9.6	92%

This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FC PortoEsgueira

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.4	42.2	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	20.1	43.1	+2.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	20.2	42.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.6	41.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.2	22.4	44.6	-0.2	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	23.0	19.3	42.3	+3.7	78%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.2	40.7	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	19.9	41.7	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	18.5	39.6	+2.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	23.8	44.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	25.4	44.8	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.8	22.5	42.2	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	23.4	20.6	44.0	+2.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.3	15.6	35.9	+4.7	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	17.9	39.3	+3.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	16.8	37.5	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.3	19.1	41.4	+3.1	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.9	43.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.8	20.6	42.4	+1.2	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.0	14.4	33.4	+4.6	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.8	17.7	39.5	+4.1	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	20.8	38.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.3	21.8	37.1	-6.5	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	25.6	42.4	-8.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.8	23.5	41.2	-5.8	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	16.4	20.6	37.0	-4.2	8%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.5	17.8	37.3	+1.7	58%	-

FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

SCM Craiova

#25

39-43

-4

A14/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Chemnitz

51-45

A20/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Benfica

47-47

A23/12

LPB

Imortal

50-42

H28/12

LPB

Oliveirense

45-37

A04/01

LPB

CD Povoa

46-34

+12

H07/01

LPB

Cholet

50-34

+16

H10/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Sporting CP

35-47

-12

H14/01

Taca da Liga

Vitoria

38-48

-10

A21/01

LPB

SCM Craiova

#25

44-34

+10

H24/01

FIBA Europe Cup

85.6Avg total

44.5Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	38.3	81.5	+4.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.6	36.9	80.6	+6.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.8	39.9	82.6	+2.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	41.1	85.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	39.4	82.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	44.0	43.0	87.0	+1.0	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.2	35.2	72.4	+2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	44.8	37.0	81.8	+7.8	83%	-

This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

36-42

-6

A30/11

LPB

FC Porto

41-46

-5

H04/12

LPB

Imortal

31-40

-9

A08/12

LPB

Oliveirense

36-41

-5

H17/12

LPB

CD Povoa

30-32

-2

A22/12

LPB

Vitoria

48-46

H28/12

LPB

Ovarense

38-49

-11

H04/01

LPB

Sporting CP

23-48

-25

A07/01

LPB

Lusitania

33-61

-28

A14/01

Taca de Portugal

Lusitania

#10

39-51

-12

H21/01

LPB

81.1Avg total

35.5Scored

45.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	39.4	78.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	39.5	79.5	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	39.3	77.8	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	45.6	81.1	-10.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	51.0	87.2	-14.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	37.5	46.0	83.5	-8.5	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.8	41.2	81.0	-1.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (12)	39.8	33.4	73.2	+6.4	75%	-

This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	17.7	38.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	18.4	41.5	+4.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	17.0	34.9	+0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.1	38.5	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.8	41.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.8	21.2	39.0	-3.4	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.7	15.7	37.4	+5.9	72%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.7	18.5	35.2	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.5	17.2	33.7	-0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	19.9	36.7	-3.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	18.1	35.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.0	34.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	15.8	21.8	37.5	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.3	21.5	38.8	-4.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (12)	16.0	15.3	31.3	+0.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.3	42.0	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	19.0	40.1	+2.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.3	21.9	44.1	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	18.5	42.9	+5.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	20.0	46.4	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	24.6	22.0	46.6	+2.6	60%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.2	18.4	39.7	+2.8	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.5	38.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	15.9	35.4	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	21.1	41.5	-0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.5	36.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.0	35.4	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.7	17.8	38.5	+2.8	69%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.1	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	38.1	80.4	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.2	37.4	81.6	+6.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.2	38.9	79.1	+1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	36.6	81.4	+8.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.8	38.8	87.6	+10.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	42.4	43.2	85.6	-0.8	80%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.8	41.8	80.6	-3.0	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	42.9	34.2	77.1	+8.7	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	37.0	73.7	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.0	33.1	69.1	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	41.0	78.3	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	36.6	71.7	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	35.0	70.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	33.8	44.8	78.5	-11.0	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.0	39.3	77.3	-1.3	46%	-
vs Weaker (12)	35.8	33.1	68.9	+2.8	58%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

FC Porto wins

Esgueira wins

Date	Game	Score
04/12/22	Esgueira v FC Porto	83-87
27/03/21	Esgueira v FC Porto	64-96
05/03/21	Esgueira v FC Porto	72-73
13/11/20	FC Porto v Esgueira	91-78
08/02/20	Esgueira v FC Porto	73-76
10/11/19	FC Porto v Esgueira	76-70
05/03/19	FC Porto v Esgueira	98-64
08/12/18	Esgueira v FC Porto	82-93

FC Portolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/01/23	H	SCM Craiova	90-64
21/01/23	A	Vitoria	85-83
14/01/23	H	Sporting CP	84-97
10/01/23	H	Cholet	99-78
07/01/23	H	CD Povoa	99-69
04/01/23	A	Oliveirense	83-71
28/12/22	H	Imortal	89-69
23/12/22	A	Benfica	87-86
20/12/22	A	Chemnitz	94-87
14/12/22	A	SCM Craiova	83-73

Esgueiralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/01/23	H	Lusitania	84-92
14/01/23	A	Lusitania	73-85
07/01/23	A	Sporting CP	42-89
04/01/23	H	Ovarense	70-87
28/12/22	H	Vitoria	88-77
22/12/22	A	CD Povoa	52-63
17/12/22	H	Oliveirense	77-73
08/12/22	A	Imortal	55-74
04/12/22	H	FC Porto	83-87
30/11/22	A	Benfica	82-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	94%
Home	WWWWW	89%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	94%	89%	100%
Points / game	89.3	93.7	84.4
Allowed / game	74.8	74.9	74.8
Point differential	+14.5	+18.8	+9.6
Avg total	164.1	168.6	159.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	59%	78%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (4)	100% (1)	100% (3)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

Esgueira

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	39%
Home	LWWLL	56%
Away	WLLLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	39%	56%	22%
Points / game	76.4	79.3	73.6
Allowed / game	82.1	79.2	85.0
Point differential	-5.7	+0.1	-11.4
Avg total	158.6	158.6	158.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	67% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	FC Porto	17	16	1	94%	89.3	74.8	+14.5
2	Benfica	17	15	2	88%	94.4	78.2	+16.1
3	Sporting CP	18	14	4	78%	91.7	78.8	+12.9
4	Oliveirense	17	10	7	59%	79.5	77.9	+1.6
5	Ovarense	18	10	8	56%	80.3	81.7	-1.4
6	Lusitania	17	7	10	41%	79.2	84.8	-5.6
7	CD Povoa	18	7	11	39%	71.2	73.5	-2.3
8	Vitoria	18	7	11	39%	85.7	89.1	-3.3
9	Imortal	18	7	11	39%	75.7	79.3	-3.6
10	Esgueira	18	7	11	39%	76.4	82.1	-5.7
11	CAB Madeira	18	4	14	22%	78.0	84.7	-6.7
12	Sangalhos	16	1	15	6%	67.9	84.8	-16.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
FC Porto	17	24	30	23	94
Esgueira	24	13	14	22	73

← all games of the day

FC Porto vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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