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FC Porto vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 106-82
23-15 28-21 27-15 28-31
Position#2
Record2-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game69.0
FC Porto 🏆
Portugal
vs
Esgueira
Portugal
Position#9
Record0-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game91.2
PortugalLPBRound 5· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · FC Porto v Esgueira
23 Jan 2027
POR v ESGU
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
POR85
ESGU86
14 Dec 2024
POR94
ESGU83
27 Oct 2023
POR106
ESGU82
27 Jan 2023
POR94
ESGU73
13 Nov 2020
POR91
ESGU78
10 Nov 2019
POR76
ESGU70
05 Mar 2019
POR98
ESGU64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
no box
H21/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
91-93
91
93
-2
no box
H23/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
66-94
66
94
-28
no box
A26/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
89avg 76
A23/09
LPB
Nevezis
#48
W
100-84
100
84
+16
89avg 76
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manisa
#13
L
70-80
70
80
-10
54avg 76
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#5
W
92-60
92
60
+32
85avg 76
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Norrkoping
#43
W
79-71
79
71
+8
60avg 76
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
W
79-62
79
62
+17
70avg 76
H21/10
LPB
Bakken Bears
#30
W
89-78
89
78
+11
83avg 76
H24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
14-29
26-17
22-26
20-27
20-23
17-22
34-21
21-24
8-20
18-30
19-20
28-19
20-24
19-14
24-19
25-23
13-12
32-24
30-25
14-23
18-20
17-22
21-15
26-12
27-18
23-16
16-14
17-19
24-18
19-20
19-14
20-14
16-10
14-16
29-22
26-16
22-18
23-19
18-25
162.3Avg total
83.7Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.069.0154.0+16.0100%
Season at home (1)79.062.0141.0+17.0100%
Season away (1)91.076.0167.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.778.6162.3+5.160%
Last 5 (5)81.870.2152.0+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.383.9162.1-5.629%
vs Similar (7)80.487.4167.9-7.029%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)92.179.9172.0+12.275%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#12
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
A01/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#11
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H08/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
L
60-75
60
75
-15
no box
A16/04
LPB
Imortal
#9
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
H22/04
LPB
Vitoria
#6
L
99-101
99
101
-2
no box
A06/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 64
A23/09
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
62-74
62
74
-12
56avg 64
H30/09
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
70-110
70
110
-40
62avg 64
A07/10
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
87-74
87
74
+13
83avg 64
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
L
66-96
66
96
-30
49avg 64
H21/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
24-23
17-19
28-17
31-16
22-27
18-13
16-20
23-32
15-6
10-18
12-19
28-25
22-19
21-23
16-15
13-22
27-27
38-28
21-24
16-20
17-22
14-15
31-28
17-15
13-19
13-20
19-20
15-29
25-13
10-38
20-30
22-22
24-14
16-23
25-15
17-17
13-23
22-30
14-26
163.3Avg total
77.9Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.091.2160.2-22.20%
Season at home (2)64.085.0149.0-21.00%
Season away (2)74.097.5171.5-23.50%
Last 10 (10)77.985.4163.3-7.540%
Last 5 (5)72.687.8160.4-15.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)67.492.2159.6-24.90%
vs Similar (17)77.680.6158.2-3.141%
vs Weaker (4)81.074.0155.0+7.0100%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
FC PortoEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H21/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H23/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A26/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A23/09
LPB
Nevezis
#48
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manisa
#13
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#5
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Norrkoping
#43
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H21/10
LPB
Bakken Bears
#30
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
78.2Avg total
39.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.684.1+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.539.282.7+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)41.444.085.4-2.640%-
Last 10 (10)39.738.578.2+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.033.675.6+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.045.183.1-7.129%-
vs Similar (7)36.042.478.4-6.414%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.239.786.9+7.681%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A01/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#11
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H08/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A16/04
LPB
Imortal
#9
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H22/04
LPB
Vitoria
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A06/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A23/09
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H30/09
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A07/10
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H21/10
LPB
81.1Avg total
39.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.642.781.3-4.123%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.842.384.1-0.544%-
Last 30 away (14)34.943.178.0-8.10%-
Last 10 (10)39.841.381.1-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.874.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.842.876.5-9.00%-
vs Similar (17)39.842.181.9-2.429%-
vs Weaker (4)44.840.285.0+4.550%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.9 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.123.4
48.7%
51.0%46.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.1
32.8%
33.5%24.4
🏀 Free throws20.412.9
62.9%
69.3%12.9
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.421.2
58.2%
51.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.66.0
23.4%
33.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws18.611.8
63.4%
69.3%11.8
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/5 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWWWLWWLLL
Esgueira
LWLLLLWLWW
#2
League position
#9
+15.9
Net rating
-19.9
113.0
Offensive rating
97.1
97.1
Defensive rating
117.0
48.8%
Effective FG%
48.7%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
11.9%
Turnover %
19.1%
36.9%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.8%
3-point %
23.4%
51.1%
Assist %
54.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 97.1Defence97.1 · 117.0Shooting48.8% · 48.7%3-point %32.8% · 23.4%Ball care11.9% · 19.1%Off. rebounds36.9% · 26.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ FC Porto   ■ Esgueira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
FC Porto wins
0
Esgueira wins
DateGameScore
27/01/23FC Porto v Esgueira94-73
04/12/22Esgueira v FC Porto83-87
27/03/21Esgueira v FC Porto64-96
05/03/21Esgueira v FC Porto72-73
13/11/20FC Porto v Esgueira91-78
08/02/20Esgueira v FC Porto73-76
10/11/19FC Porto v Esgueira76-70
05/03/19FC Porto v Esgueira98-64
08/12/18Esgueira v FC Porto82-93
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/23HBakken Bears89-78
21/10/23HBenfica79-62
17/10/23ANorrkoping79-71
14/10/23HImortal92-60
05/10/23AManisa70-80
03/10/23HNevezis100-84
23/09/23ACD Povoa91-76
26/05/23ASporting CP66-94
23/05/23HSporting CP91-93
21/05/23HSporting CP80-88
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HVitoria66-96
14/10/23HGalomar87-74
07/10/23ABenfica70-110
30/09/23HOliveirense62-74
23/09/23APortimonense78-85
06/05/23AVitoria99-101
22/04/23HImortal87-82
16/04/23ACD Povoa60-75
08/04/23HCAB Madeira87-76
01/04/23ASangalhos83-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.079.091.0
Allowed / game69.062.076.0
Point differential+16.0+17.0+15.0
Avg total154.0141.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esgueira
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.064.074.0
Allowed / game91.285.097.5
Point differential-22.2-21.0-23.5
Avg total160.2149.0171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto220100%85.069.0+16.0
2 Sporting CP440100%94.583.2+11.2
3 Oliveirense330100%75.766.0+9.7
4 Portimonense330100%81.076.0+5.0
5 Benfica42250%88.072.2+15.8
6 Galomar42250%82.281.5+0.8
7 Ovarense42250%84.284.8-0.5
8 Vitoria42250%82.585.2-2.8
9 Imortal41325%75.078.2-3.2
10 CD Povoa41325%82.887.0-4.2
11 Lusitania4040%77.891.5-13.8
12 Esgueira4040%69.091.2-22.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto23282728106
Esgueira1521153182
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