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Leiden vs Limburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 66-86
23-24 16-19 14-23 13-20
Position#12
Record2-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Limburg 🏆
Position#4
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game62.3
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcomplex
Other2024-25
Meetings · Leiden v Limburg
23 Jan 2027
LEI v LIMB
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
LEI75
LIMB77
05 Oct 2024
LEI66
LIMB86
23 Mar 2024
LEI75
LIMB61
15 Apr 2023
LEI59
LIMB55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Limburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#2
W
96-89
96
89
+7
97avg 69
A28/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
W
83-65
83
65
+18
84avg 69
H30/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
63avg 69
A01/06
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
W
92-81
92
81
+11
87avg 69
H04/06
DBL
Oostende
#1
L
58-85
58
85
-27
50avg 69
A10/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
66-79
66
79
-13
61avg 69
H12/06
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
W
87-58
87
58
+29
no box
H11/09
Supercup
Kortrijk
#1
L
84-86
84
86
-2
84avg 69
H14/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
66avg 69
A21/09
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
78-77
78
77
+1
72avg 69
H28/09
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
20-16
24-15
25-34
20-20
23-13
19-12
21-20
9-10
16-23
23-15
17-31
26-16
22-29
22-17
22-19
21-27
11-13
15-28
11-17
18-27
15-20
18-15
15-17
22-10
29-6
14-25
22-17
19-29
18-15
22-19
25-23
13-18
8-20
24-7
16-16
13-19
29-16
16-18
20-24
156.7Avg total
78.9Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.780.7161.3+0.067%
Season at home (2)81.081.5162.5-0.550%
Season away (1)80.079.0159.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.977.8156.7+1.160%
Last 5 (5)79.075.8154.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)68.583.1151.6-14.620%
vs Similar (10)77.672.3149.9+5.380%
vs Weaker (9)77.969.7147.6+8.289%
This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LimburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLimburg
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#5
L
70-75
70
75
-5
57avg 70
A10/05
Pro Basketball League
Mechelen
#5
W
81-69
81
69
+12
79avg 70
H12/05
Pro Basketball League
Antwerp Giants
#2
W
81-76
81
76
+5
74avg 70
A15/05
Pro Basketball League
Antwerp Giants
#2
L
66-77
66
77
-11
57avg 70
H17/05
Pro Basketball League
Antwerp Giants
#2
L
68-90
68
90
-22
58avg 70
A19/05
Pro Basketball League
Antwerp Giants
#2
W
71-70
71
70
+1
62avg 70
H22/05
Pro Basketball League
Antwerp Giants
#2
L
64-76
64
76
-12
58avg 70
A24/05
Pro Basketball League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
83-78
83
78
+5
76avg 70
A14/09
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
74-65
74
65
+9
69avg 70
H20/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
84-44
84
44
+40
76avg 70
H27/09
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
12-21
20-7
22-25
17-22
21-14
25-18
18-15
15-18
24-17
19-16
23-25
18-26
20-19
11-18
17-14
12-26
22-21
21-26
13-17
17-18
21-8
18-25
15-19
15-18
17-17
13-26
19-15
23-23
17-20
21-18
22-17
20-20
19-10
23-20
12-15
15-11
22-8
25-7
22-18
146.2Avg total
74.2Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.362.3142.7+18.0100%
Season at home (2)79.054.5133.5+24.5100%
Season away (1)83.078.0161.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.272.0146.2+2.260%
Last 5 (5)75.266.6141.8+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.680.4150.0-10.929%
vs Similar (13)76.072.6148.6+3.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)80.866.0146.8+14.8100%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
LeidenLimburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#2
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A28/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H30/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A01/06
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H04/06
DBL
Oostende
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A10/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H12/06
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
W
51-16
51
16
+35
H11/09
Supercup
Kortrijk
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H14/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A21/09
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H28/09
BNXT League
75.0Avg total
37.9Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.537.274.7+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.635.875.4+3.871%-
Last 30 away (13)34.739.273.8-4.523%-
Last 10 (10)37.937.175.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.072.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.742.579.2-5.830%-
vs Similar (10)37.735.172.8+2.660%-
vs Weaker (9)36.636.172.7+0.456%-
This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LimburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#5
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A10/05
Pro Basketball League
Mechelen
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H12/05
Pro Basketball League
Antwerp Giants
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A15/05
Pro Basketball League
Antwerp Giants
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H17/05
Pro Basketball League
Antwerp Giants
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A19/05
Pro Basketball League
Antwerp Giants
#2
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H22/05
Pro Basketball League
Antwerp Giants
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A24/05
Pro Basketball League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/09
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H20/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
37-19
37
19
+18
H27/09
BNXT League
72.2Avg total
36.3Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.836.974.7+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.235.973.1+1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)38.537.976.3+0.647%-
Last 10 (10)36.335.972.2+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.230.667.8+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.639.774.3-5.129%-
vs Similar (13)37.837.274.9+0.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.234.674.8+5.670%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.5
50.5%
52.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.57.5
36.6%
34.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws13.610.7
78.7%
71.9%10.7
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Limburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limburg: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.6
50.9%
52.6%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.1
33.5%
34.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
71.9%14.0
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
WWLWLLWLWW
Limburg
WWWLWLLWWL
#12
League position
#4
-2.1
Net rating
+2.9
107.6
Offensive rating
102.5
109.8
Defensive rating
99.6
52.1%
Effective FG%
50.6%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
17.4%
Turnover %
17.7%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.6%
3-point %
33.5%
71.9%
Assist %
60.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 102.5Defence109.8 · 99.6Shooting52.1% · 50.6%3-point %36.6% · 33.5%Ball care17.4% · 17.7%Off. rebounds30.8% · 23.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Leiden   ■ Limburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Leiden wins
0
Limburg wins
DateGameScore
12/04/24Limburg v Leiden66-75
23/03/24Leiden v Limburg75-61
15/04/23Leiden v Limburg59-55
24/03/23Limburg v Leiden70-73
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/24HLeuven Bears78-77
21/09/24ADen Helder80-79 OT
14/09/24HKortrijk84-86
11/09/24HDen Bosch87-58
12/06/24HOostende66-79
10/06/24AOostende58-85
04/06/24HDen Bosch92-81
01/06/24ADen Bosch65-79
30/05/24HDen Bosch83-65
28/05/24ADen Bosch96-89
Limburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/24HDen Helder84-44
20/09/24HMechelen74-65
14/09/24ABelfius Mons83-78
24/05/24AAntwerp Giants64-76
22/05/24HAntwerp Giants71-70
19/05/24AAntwerp Giants68-90
17/05/24HAntwerp Giants66-77
15/05/24AAntwerp Giants81-76
12/05/24HMechelen81-69
10/05/24AMechelen70-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game80.781.080.0
Allowed / game80.781.579.0
Point differential+0.0-0.5+1.0
Avg total161.3162.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%100%
Limburg
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game80.379.083.0
Allowed / game62.354.578.0
Point differential+18.0+24.5+5.0
Avg total142.7133.5161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk440100%96.877.2+19.5
2 Limburg330100%80.362.3+18.0
3 Zwolle330100%87.781.0+6.7
4 Oostende43175%85.570.8+14.8
5 Belfius Mons43175%82.575.5+7.0
6 Leuven Bears32167%74.769.0+5.7
7 Leiden32167%80.780.7+0.0
8 Circus Brussels42250%75.276.8-1.5
9 Mechelen21150%72.074.5-2.5
10 LWD Basket21150%81.585.0-3.5
11 Spirou Charleroi31233%85.077.3+7.7
12 Den Helder31233%66.076.0-10.0
13 Donar Groningen31233%74.085.0-11.0
14 BAL Weert31233%81.394.0-12.7
15 QSTA Utd31233%71.386.7-15.3
16 Antwerp Giants41325%72.275.2-3.0
17 Den Bosch3030%84.389.0-4.7
18 Okapi Aalst3030%67.376.7-9.3
19 Feyenoord3030%69.089.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden2316141366
Limburg2419232086
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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