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FC Porto vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 88-80
24-17 18-19 23-16 23-28
Position#2
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
FC Porto 🏆
Portugal
vs
Vitoria
Portugal
Position#9
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalLPBRound 3· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · FC Porto v Vitoria
20 Mar 2027
POR v VITO
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
POR105
VITO85
19 Oct 2024
POR88
VITO80
29 Mar 2024
POR91
VITO84
04 Nov 2023
POR94
VITO72
10 May 2023
POR119
VITO82
28 Oct 2022
POR96
VITO83
12 Feb 2022
POR109
VITO75
17 Oct 2020
POR76
VITO71
15 Feb 2020
POR99
VITO86
15 Dec 2018
POR94
VITO86
05 May 2018
POR102
VITO100
29 Dec 2017
POR100
VITO64
21 May 2017
POR83
VITO78
20 May 2017
POR80
VITO69
23 Apr 2017
POR101
VITO96
10 Feb 2017
POR92
VITO71
24 Apr 2016
POR88
VITO81
22 Apr 2016
POR90
VITO80
18 Oct 2015
POR69
VITO62
15 Apr 2012
POR78
VITO70
13 Apr 2012
POR77
VITO59
17 Mar 2012
POR75
VITO63
01 May 2011
POR72
VITO48
29 Apr 2011
POR82
VITO78
16 Oct 2010
POR70
VITO59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vitoria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
L
70-73
70
73
-3
58avg 75
H21/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
77-60
77
60
+17
72avg 75
H23/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
86-83
86
83
+3
81avg 75
A26/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
77-74
77
74
+3
63avg 75
A28/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
66-89
66
89
-23
52avg 75
H05/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
62-73
62
73
-11
60avg 75
H07/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 75
A10/06
LPB
Benfica
#2
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
no box
A28/09
Super Cup
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
77-68
77
68
+9
69avg 75
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#9
L
70-89
70
89
-19
58avg 75
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
17-23
10-15
16-19
20-15
14-13
21-16
22-16
10-16
29-18
25-23
22-26
14-17
21-24
17-11
25-22
16-22
19-19
10-23
21-25
16-13
21-15
13-23
12-22
25-20
10-21
24-15
17-27
23-22
23-22
21-19
18-22
20-16
18-10
19-23
20-19
18-26
21-20
24-22
7-21
154.3Avg total
75.8Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.878.5154.3-2.750%
Last 5 (5)76.481.2157.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.182.1154.3-10.029%
vs Similar (6)74.373.3147.7+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.972.8159.6+14.188%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#12
W
102-68
102
68
+34
98avg 69
A02/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
83-88
83
88
-5
68avg 69
H09/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
73-75
73
75
-2
61avg 69
A23/03
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
70avg 69
A29/03
Taca da Liga
Imortal
#8
W
80-74
80
74
+6
78avg 69
H07/04
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
81-72
81
72
+9
78avg 69
A13/04
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
95-70
95
70
+25
90avg 69
A20/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
77-94
77
94
-17
64avg 69
H27/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
53-81
53
81
-28
33avg 69
A11/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
62avg 69
H14/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-15
16-21
23-19
33-13
13-23
20-18
20-31
30-16
16-13
12-19
21-15
24-28
20-21
32-19
15-31
17-20
22-17
26-24
15-24
17-9
22-21
27-16
18-20
14-15
20-19
24-16
26-18
25-17
14-30
17-21
18-26
28-17
9-18
19-20
13-27
12-16
15-30
17-24
23-16
16-23
160.5Avg total
79.9Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.980.6160.5-0.740%
Last 5 (5)75.482.0157.4-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.790.3166.0-14.610%
vs Similar (7)80.782.7163.4-2.029%
vs Weaker (12)82.471.8154.2+10.783%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +4.2+4.2
FC PortoVitoria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H21/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H23/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A26/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A28/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H05/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H07/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A10/06
LPB
Benfica
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A28/09
Super Cup
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
75.0Avg total
38.2Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.378.9+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.836.976.8+2.962%-
Last 30 away (17)41.239.480.5+1.859%-
Last 10 (10)38.236.875.0+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.076.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.739.476.1-2.743%-
vs Similar (6)37.239.076.2-1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.237.280.4+6.169%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#12
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A02/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H09/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A23/03
LPB
FC Porto
#4
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A29/03
Taca da Liga
Imortal
#8
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H07/04
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A13/04
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A20/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H27/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A11/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H14/05
LPB
79.6Avg total
39.1Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.078.6-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.739.576.3-2.840%-
Last 30 away (15)40.540.480.9+0.160%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.579.6-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.843.079.8-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.745.382.0-8.620%-
vs Similar (7)37.040.977.9-3.943%-
vs Weaker (12)41.434.676.0+6.883%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.8
53.1%
51.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.0
29.3%
32.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws17.311.8
68.2%
69.2%11.8
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.0
48.5%
51.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.99.8
31.7%
32.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.111.5
71.4%
69.2%11.5
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
LWWLLLWWWL
Vitoria
LLLWWWLLLW
#2
League position
#9
-2.7
Net rating
-1.1
105.0
Offensive rating
99.4
107.6
Defensive rating
100.5
49.4%
Effective FG%
48.1%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
16.5%
Turnover %
19.7%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
29.3%
3-point %
31.7%
55.0%
Assist %
54.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 99.4Defence107.6 · 100.5Shooting49.4% · 48.1%3-point %29.3% · 31.7%Ball care16.5% · 19.7%Off. rebounds30.4% · 31.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ FC Porto   ■ Vitoria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
FC Porto wins
0
Vitoria wins
DateGameScore
29/03/24FC Porto v Vitoria91-84
09/03/24Vitoria v FC Porto83-88
04/11/23FC Porto v Vitoria94-72
14/05/23Vitoria v FC Porto101-112
10/05/23FC Porto v Vitoria119-82
21/01/23Vitoria v FC Porto83-85
28/10/22FC Porto v Vitoria96-83
12/02/22FC Porto v Vitoria109-75
22/12/21Vitoria v FC Porto66-99
17/01/21Vitoria v FC Porto62-74
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/24APAOK70-89
09/10/24HSzolnoki Olaj77-68
28/09/24ABenfica97-93 OT
10/06/24ABenfica76-83
07/06/24HBenfica62-73
05/06/24HBenfica66-89
28/05/24AOvarense77-74
26/05/24AOvarense86-83
23/05/24HOvarense77-60
21/05/24HOvarense70-73
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/24HBenfica71-93
11/05/24ABenfica53-81
27/04/24HOliveirense77-94
20/04/24AGalomar95-70
13/04/24APortimonense81-72
07/04/24HImortal80-74
29/03/24AFC Porto84-91
23/03/24ACD Povoa73-75
09/03/24HFC Porto83-88
02/03/24ALusitania102-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Vitoria
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2418232388
Vitoria1719162880
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