FC Porto vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Nov 2022

Tip-off: 20:00

Final 93-64

30-18 14-14 28-13 21-19

Position#3

Record7-1

FormWWLWW

Points / game88.2

Allowed / game75.5

FC Porto 🏆

Lusitania

Position#10

Record3-5

FormWWLLL

Points / game79.4

Allowed / game84.4

LPBRound 10

Other2022-23

Meetings · FC Porto v Lusitania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC Porto

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Parnu

#32

83-95

-12

A12/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Oliveirense

91-63

+28

H15/10

LPB

Fribourg Olympic

#18

87-73

+14

H18/10

FIBA Europe Cup

CD Povoa

75-66

A22/10

LPB

Den Bosch

#26

68-71

-3

H25/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Vitoria

96-83

+13

H28/10

LPB

Parnu

#32

87-64

+23

H02/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Benfica

105-112 OT

105

112

-7

H05/11

LPB

Sporting CP

91-89

H19/11

LPB

Fribourg Olympic

#18

76-75 OT

A23/11

FIBA Europe Cup

13-28

26-21

16-17

28-29

27-15

21-18

26-20

17-10

18-20

23-6

24-24

22-23

25-23

19-15

20-26

11-2

19-25

19-13

18-11

12-22

25-22

24-21

25-22

22-18

25-24

22-11

26-12

14-17

17-23

22-26

19-15

31-25

25-29

20-18

21-23

25-19

17-14

20-15

15-25

18-16

165.0Avg total

85.9Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	88.2	75.5	163.8	+12.8	88%
Season at home (5)	94.2	81.8	176.0	+12.4	80%
Season away (3)	78.3	65.0	143.3	+13.3	100%
Last 10 (10)	85.9	79.1	165.0	+6.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	91.0	84.6	175.6	+6.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	66.7	74.9	141.6	-8.1	29%
vs Similar (9)	80.4	73.8	154.2	+6.7	78%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	83.6	66.2	149.8	+17.4	86%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sporting CP

66-82

-16

A13/05

LPB

Sporting CP

78-90

-12

H15/05

LPB

Benfica

85-111

111

-26

A01/10

LPB

Imortal

62-57 OT

H05/10

LPB

Oliveirense

78-96

-18

A08/10

LPB

CD Povoa

73-67

H15/10

LPB

Vitoria

89-82

A22/10

LPB

Esgueira

84-88

-4

H29/10

LPB

Sporting CP

83-90

-7

A05/11

LPB

Ovarense

81-84

-3

A19/11

LPB

18-14

19-29

18-22

11-17

13-23

27-29

22-16

16-22

23-34

22-26

20-20

20-31

19-16

9-19

13-11

10-5

18-31

16-24

22-21

22-20

17-29

16-13

17-9

23-16

29-30

16-16

20-22

24-14

13-25

18-17

23-22

30-24

19-32

18-17

30-21

16-20

10-27

26-13

25-14

20-30

162.6Avg total

77.9Scored

84.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	79.4	84.4	163.8	-5.0	38%
Season at home (3)	73.0	70.7	143.7	+2.3	67%
Season away (5)	83.2	92.6	175.8	-9.4	20%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	84.7	162.6	-6.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	82.2	164.2	-0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	73.5	89.0	162.5	-15.5	18%
vs Similar (10)	79.1	76.4	155.5	+2.7	40%
vs Weaker (2)	97.5	84.0	181.5	+13.5	100%

This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FC PortoLusitania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.8	19.9	40.8	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.4	18.5	36.9	-0.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	22.3	43.4	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.4	44.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	15.9	18.6	34.4	-2.7	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.3	20.8	40.1	-1.4	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	79%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	22.4	40.3	-4.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.0	24.8	41.8	-7.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	26.1	44.0	-8.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	28.6	46.2	-11.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	16.8	23.2	40.0	-6.4	24%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.3	20.3	38.6	-2.0	30%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.0	26.5	51.5	-1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	15.8	34.3	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.3	14.5	32.8	+3.8	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.9	17.5	36.4	+1.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	16.4	38.0	+5.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.2	39.8	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	14.6	17.3	31.9	-2.7	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.4	14.7	34.1	+4.8	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.0	15.7	35.7	+4.3	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	21.2	39.6	-2.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.6	19.9	37.4	-2.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	22.3	41.6	-3.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	15.2	34.0	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.5	24.0	41.5	-6.5	12%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.7	17.2	36.9	+2.5	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	18.5	41.0	+4.0	50%	-

FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Parnu

#32

39-49

-10

A12/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Oliveirense

48-33

+15

H15/10

LPB

Fribourg Olympic

#18

41-26

+15

H18/10

FIBA Europe Cup

CD Povoa

44-38

A22/10

LPB

Den Bosch

#26

38-38

H25/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Vitoria

49-43

H28/10

LPB

Parnu

#32

47-35

+12

H02/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Benfica

39-49

-10

H05/11

LPB

Sporting CP

45-47

-2

H19/11

LPB

Fribourg Olympic

#18

37-29

A23/11

FIBA Europe Cup

81.4Avg total

42.7Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	35.1	73.4	+3.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.1	34.4	73.5	+4.7	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.3	36.0	73.3	+1.3	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	38.7	81.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	40.6	84.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	30.4	35.9	66.3	-5.4	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.8	35.4	74.2	+3.3	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	42.0	34.5	76.5	+7.5	79%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sporting CP

37-43

-6

A13/05

LPB

Sporting CP

40-52

-12

H15/05

LPB

Benfica

45-60

-15

A01/10

LPB

Imortal

28-35

-7

H05/10

LPB

Oliveirense

34-55

-21

A08/10

LPB

CD Povoa

33-42

-9

H15/10

LPB

Vitoria

45-46

-1

A22/10

LPB

Esgueira

31-42

-11

H29/10

LPB

Sporting CP

37-49

-12

A05/11

LPB

Ovarense

36-40

-4

A19/11

LPB

83.0Avg total

36.6Scored

46.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	43.6	80.0	-7.2	17%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.6	39.6	76.1	-3.0	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.2	47.1	83.3	-10.8	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	46.4	83.0	-9.8	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	43.8	80.2	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	34.4	47.2	81.5	-12.8	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.0	37.5	75.5	+0.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.5	45.0	92.5	+2.5	50%	-

This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	16.7	36.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.9	17.1	39.0	+4.9	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.8	16.2	33.0	+0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	14.6	17.3	31.9	-2.7	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.4	15.1	36.5	+6.4	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	17.0	37.1	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	20.8	41.5	+0.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	17.6	40.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.1	20.8	39.9	-1.7	47%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.9	15.0	36.9	+6.9	80%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	25.5	49.5	-1.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	17.8	37.7	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	17.5	37.9	+3.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.1	38.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.4	18.4	37.9	+1.0	57%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.1	16.6	36.8	+3.5	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.3	41.1	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.3	22.9	42.2	-3.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.9	39.1	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.8	43.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.4	20.6	40.1	-1.2	41%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.2	23.9	43.1	-4.7	10%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.0	13.5	39.5	+12.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	34.5	74.1	+5.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.4	34.5	76.9	+7.9	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.0	34.4	70.4	+1.6	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	37.6	78.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	38.4	81.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	34.0	35.7	69.7	-1.7	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.0	37.8	78.8	+3.2	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	41.6	31.7	73.3	+9.9	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	40.3	80.5	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.4	36.4	76.8	+3.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	43.7	83.8	-3.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	37.7	77.9	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	38.4	84.0	+7.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	38.5	41.5	80.0	-2.9	41%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.1	38.9	80.0	+2.2	70%	-
vs Weaker (2)	50.0	39.0	89.0	+11.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

FC Porto wins

Lusitania wins

Date	Game	Score
17/02/22	Lusitania v FC Porto	71-81
12/11/21	FC Porto v Lusitania	80-56
14/02/21	FC Porto v Lusitania	86-82
17/12/20	Lusitania v FC Porto	73-82
01/02/20	FC Porto v Lusitania	85-64
02/11/19	Lusitania v FC Porto	75-96
20/04/19	Lusitania v FC Porto	79-85 OT
24/03/19	FC Porto v Lusitania	103-70
16/03/19	Lusitania v FC Porto	71-88
19/01/19	FC Porto v Lusitania	90-85

FC Portolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/11/22	A	Fribourg Olympic	76-75 OT
19/11/22	H	Sporting CP	91-89
05/11/22	H	Benfica	105-112 OT
02/11/22	H	Parnu	87-64
28/10/22	H	Vitoria	96-83
25/10/22	H	Den Bosch	68-71
22/10/22	A	CD Povoa	75-66
18/10/22	H	Fribourg Olympic	87-73
15/10/22	H	Oliveirense	91-63
12/10/22	A	Parnu	83-95

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/11/22	A	Ovarense	81-84
05/11/22	A	Sporting CP	83-90
29/10/22	H	Esgueira	84-88
22/10/22	A	Vitoria	89-82
15/10/22	H	CD Povoa	73-67
08/10/22	A	Oliveirense	78-96
05/10/22	H	Imortal	62-57 OT
01/10/22	A	Benfica	85-111
15/05/22	H	Sporting CP	78-90
13/05/22	A	Sporting CP	66-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	88%
Home	WWWLW	80%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	5	3
Win %	88%	80%	100%
Points / game	88.2	94.2	78.3
Allowed / game	75.5	81.8	65.0
Point differential	+12.8	+12.4	+13.3
Avg total	163.8	176.0	143.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	60%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	12%	20%	0%

Lusitania

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	38%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	LLWLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	3	5
Win %	38%	67%	20%
Points / game	79.4	73.0	83.2
Allowed / game	84.4	70.7	92.6
Point differential	-5.0	+2.3	-9.4
Avg total	163.8	143.7	175.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	12%	33%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	9	9	0	100%	93.6	74.0	+19.6
2	Sporting CP	9	8	1	89%	94.1	77.8	+16.3
3	FC Porto	8	7	1	88%	88.2	75.5	+12.8
4	Ovarense	10	8	2	80%	82.1	80.4	+1.7
5	Oliveirense	10	6	4	60%	81.8	80.0	+1.8
6	Esgueira	9	5	4	56%	82.6	82.3	+0.2
7	Vitoria	10	4	6	40%	87.3	93.4	-6.1
8	Lusitania	8	3	5	38%	79.4	84.4	-5.0
9	CD Povoa	10	3	7	30%	71.7	74.0	-2.3
10	Imortal	10	2	8	20%	71.0	78.9	-7.9
11	CAB Madeira	10	1	9	10%	74.1	83.2	-9.1
12	Sangalhos	9	0	9	0%	64.3	83.0	-18.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
FC Porto	30	14	28	21	93
Lusitania	18	14	13	19	64

← all games of the day

FC Porto vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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