FC Porto vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Feb 2016

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 75-65

17-9 12-24 25-17 21-15

Position#1

Record16-3

FormWWLWW

Points / game75.8

Allowed / game64.1

FC Porto 🏆

Lusitania

Position#7

Record9-10

FormWLLWW

Points / game73.3

Allowed / game76.4

LPBRound 22

Other2015-16

Meetings · FC Porto v Lusitania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC Porto

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

96-67

+29

A05/12

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

91-66

+25

H12/12

LPB

Ovarense

49-75

-26

A19/12

LPB

Benfica

81-62

+19

H03/01

LPB

Vitoria

81-66

+15

A09/01

LPB

Maia

#11

78-50

+28

H11/01

LPB

Barcelos

66-63

A23/01

LPB

Oliveirense

72-81

-9

H31/01

LPB

Galitos

69-65

A06/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

82-74

H20/02

LPB

22-15

22-21

25-21

27-10

29-20

26-9

18-28

18-9

13-19

11-17

10-19

15-20

18-12

17-18

19-21

27-11

24-12

12-15

24-22

21-17

16-13

17-16

21-9

24-12

18-12

17-13

14-23

17-15

16-21

15-17

19-25

22-18

18-16

11-22

20-17

20-10

19-13

24-22

19-20

20-19

143.4Avg total

76.5Scored

66.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	75.8	64.1	139.9	+11.7	84%
Season at home (9)	76.4	64.7	141.1	+11.8	89%
Season away (10)	75.3	63.6	138.9	+11.7	80%
Last 10 (10)	76.5	66.9	143.4	+9.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	66.6	140.0	+6.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	69.5	78.0	147.5	-8.5	0%
vs Similar (9)	70.8	70.2	141.0	+0.6	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	76.1	63.0	139.1	+13.1	89%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

67-96

-29

H05/12

LPB

Barcelos

72-65

H12/12

LPB

Oliveirense

84-76

H19/12

LPB

Galitos

64-82

-18

H02/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

97-69

+28

A09/01

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

83-82

A16/01

LPB

Ovarense

78-94

-16

H23/01

LPB

Benfica

65-83

-18

A30/01

LPB

Vitoria

91-74

+17

H06/02

LPB

Maia

#11

79-72

A20/02

LPB

15-22

21-22

21-25

10-27

13-19

26-14

18-17

15-15

21-15

19-15

18-21

26-25

12-21

13-25

16-18

23-18

25-18

22-20

19-22

31-9

22-12

26-22

17-26

18-22

–

14-22

12-20

21-21

18-20

27-16

21-26

20-13

23-19

13-19

27-17

13-16

26-20

157.3Avg total

78.0Scored

79.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	73.3	76.4	149.7	-3.1	47%
Season at home (10)	73.2	77.1	150.3	-3.9	40%
Season away (9)	73.4	75.6	149.0	-2.1	56%
Last 10 (10)	78.0	79.3	157.3	-1.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	81.0	160.2	-1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	70.2	79.9	150.1	-9.7	29%
vs Similar (9)	72.7	70.4	143.1	+2.2	56%
vs Weaker (7)	78.1	72.4	150.6	+5.7	86%

This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FC PortoLusitania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	18.2	16.3	34.5	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.8	17.6	36.5	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	15.0	32.6	+2.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	15.3	34.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	15.0	32.4	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	13.0	22.5	35.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.7	17.2	35.8	+1.5	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	18.6	15.3	33.9	+3.3	74%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.2	18.0	35.2	-0.8	46%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.9	18.6	35.5	-1.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	17.5	35.0	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.2	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	15.6	19.7	35.3	-4.1	31%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.1	17.0	35.1	+1.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.5	15.8	35.3	+3.7	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	18.1	16.3	34.4	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.8	17.3	35.2	+0.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	15.3	33.7	+3.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	17.0	34.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.0	34.8	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.7	19.3	37.0	-1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	18.1	15.1	33.2	+2.9	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.5	19.5	38.1	-1.0	39%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.1	20.3	39.4	-1.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	18.9	36.9	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.7	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	16.9	21.5	38.4	-4.5	15%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.6	16.1	33.7	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.5	20.5	44.0	+3.0	67%	-

FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

44-36

A05/12

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

55-29

+26

H12/12

LPB

Ovarense

24-36

-12

A19/12

LPB

Benfica

35-30

H03/01

LPB

Vitoria

36-27

A09/01

LPB

Maia

#11

33-29

H11/01

LPB

Barcelos

35-25

+10

A23/01

LPB

Oliveirense

31-38

-7

H31/01

LPB

Galitos

29-38

-9

A06/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

43-35

H20/02

LPB

68.8Avg total

36.5Scored

32.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	36.4	32.5	68.9	+3.9	56%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.7	34.9	71.6	+1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.1	30.3	66.4	+5.8	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	32.3	68.8	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	33.0	67.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	33.5	40.5	74.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	36.3	36.5	72.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	36.7	30.4	67.1	+6.3	63%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

36-44

-8

H05/12

LPB

Barcelos

39-33

H12/12

LPB

Oliveirense

40-30

+10

H19/12

LPB

Galitos

25-46

-21

H02/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

47-38

A09/01

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

48-34

+14

A16/01

LPB

Benfica

26-42

-16

A30/01

LPB

Vitoria

48-42

H06/02

LPB

Maia

#11

40-36

A20/02

LPB

77.1Avg total

38.8Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	35.8	37.5	73.3	-1.8	39%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.0	38.9	74.9	-2.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.6	36.3	71.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.8	38.3	77.1	+0.4	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	38.4	80.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	32.5	41.2	73.7	-8.6	15%	-
vs Similar (9)	35.7	33.1	68.8	+2.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.0	36.3	79.3	+6.7	67%	-

This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.0	18.5	37.6	+0.5	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	17.5	36.7	+1.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	19.5	38.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.5	39.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	23.0	41.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.5	17.9	37.4	+1.6	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.9	18.9	37.8	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	17.0	36.2	+2.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.6	39.1	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.1	19.9	38.0	-1.8	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.6	37.6	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.6	19.5	38.2	-0.9	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.3	14.9	34.2	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.3	13.5	32.8	+5.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	16.1	35.4	+3.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	14.1	35.2	+7.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	14.8	35.4	+5.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	14.5	32.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.0	15.5	33.5	+2.5	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.9	14.7	34.6	+5.3	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	17.7	35.5	+0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.1	19.4	40.6	+1.7	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.0	41.2	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.5	18.2	36.6	+0.3	54%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.9	19.4	37.3	-1.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.2	18.7	35.8	-1.5	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	38.4	33.4	71.7	+5.0	59%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.5	31.0	69.5	+7.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.2	35.6	73.8	+2.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	34.6	74.6	+5.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	33.6	72.8	+5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	36.0	37.5	73.5	-1.5	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.8	34.5	70.3	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	39.4	32.6	72.0	+6.8	63%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	36.9	37.6	74.5	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.5	36.8	74.2	+0.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.3	38.3	74.7	-2.0	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.2	39.3	78.6	-0.1	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	37.6	78.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	37.1	37.7	74.8	-0.6	46%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.0	37.3	74.3	-0.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	36.2	37.8	74.0	-1.7	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

FC Porto wins

Lusitania wins

Date	Game	Score
05/12/15	Lusitania v FC Porto	67-96
28/01/12	FC Porto v Lusitania	72-51
29/11/11	Lusitania v FC Porto	60-105
29/01/11	FC Porto v Lusitania	97-87
23/10/10	Lusitania v FC Porto	57-90

FC Portolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/02/16	H	CAB Madeira	82-74
06/02/16	A	Galitos	69-65
31/01/16	H	Oliveirense	72-81
23/01/16	A	Barcelos	66-63
11/01/16	H	Maia	78-50
09/01/16	A	Vitoria	81-66
03/01/16	H	Benfica	81-62
19/12/15	A	Ovarense	49-75
12/12/15	H	Electrico FC	91-66
05/12/15	A	Lusitania	96-67

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/02/16	A	Maia	79-72
06/02/16	H	Vitoria	91-74
30/01/16	A	Benfica	65-83
23/01/16	H	Ovarense	78-94
16/01/16	A	Electrico FC	83-82
09/01/16	A	CAB Madeira	97-69
02/01/16	H	Galitos	64-82
19/12/15	H	Oliveirense	84-76
12/12/15	H	Barcelos	72-65
05/12/15	H	FC Porto	67-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto

LPB 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	84%
Home	WWWLW	89%
Away	WLWWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	84%	89%	80%
Points / game	75.8	76.4	75.3
Allowed / game	64.1	64.7	63.6
Point differential	+11.7	+11.8	+11.7
Avg total	139.9	141.1	138.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	44%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Lusitania

LPB 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	47%
Home	WWLLW	40%
Away	WWWLW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	47%	40%	56%
Points / game	73.3	73.2	73.4
Allowed / game	76.4	77.1	75.6
Point differential	-3.1	-3.9	-2.1
Avg total	149.7	150.3	149.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	20%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	0% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	20	19	1	95%	80.3	64.8	+15.6
2	FC Porto	19	16	3	84%	75.8	64.1	+11.7
3	Ovarense	19	11	8	58%	77.3	72.6	+4.7
4	Galitos	19	11	8	58%	73.8	70.7	+3.1
5	Oliveirense	19	10	9	53%	72.3	70.8	+1.5
6	Barcelos	19	10	9	53%	67.5	66.8	+0.7
7	Lusitania	19	9	10	47%	73.3	76.4	-3.1
8	Vitoria	19	8	11	42%	74.7	73.7	+1.0
9	CAB Madeira	19	5	14	26%	69.8	77.3	-7.5
10	Electrico FC	19	3	16	16%	69.1	82.8	-13.7
11	Maia	19	3	16	16%	64.5	79.4	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
FC Porto	17	12	25	21	75
Lusitania	9	24	17	15	65

← all games of the day

FC Porto vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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