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FC Porto vs Oliveirense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#4
Record4-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game90.0
PortugalLPBRound 11· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · FC Porto v Oliveirense
19 Dec 2026
POR v OLIV
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
POR85
OLIV62
09 Nov 2024
POR98
OLIV95
26 Oct 2024
POR v OLIV
upcoming
17 Jan 2024
POR74
OLIV72
06 May 2023
POR84
OLIV85
15 Oct 2022
POR91
OLIV63
06 May 2022
POR87
OLIV60
03 Apr 2022
POR91
OLIV64
26 Mar 2022
POR76
OLIV75
11 Dec 2020
POR97
OLIV72
08 Mar 2020
POR78
OLIV90
04 Apr 2019
POR81
OLIV79
17 Mar 2019
POR83
OLIV80
11 Nov 2018
POR82
OLIV96
15 Jun 2018
POR69
OLIV93
23 Mar 2018
POR89
OLIV92
15 Oct 2017
POR78
OLIV93
06 Apr 2017
POR84
OLIV74
04 Dec 2016
POR68
OLIV66
08 Apr 2016
POR80
OLIV69
31 Jan 2016
POR72
OLIV81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oliveirense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#8
W
110-93
110
93
+17
107avg 80
A02/10
LPB
Bonn
#14
L
74-78
74
78
-4
65avg 80
A07/10
Champions League
Benfica
#1
W
93-86
93
86
+7
80avg 80
H11/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
95-91
95
91
+4
91avg 80
A16/10
LPB
Bnei Herzliya
#47
W
86-74
86
74
+12
81avg 80
A21/10
Champions League
CAB Madeira
#10
W
93-82
93
82
+11
90avg 80
H25/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
66avg 80
A31/10
LPB
Joventut Badalona
#2
L
64-81
64
81
-17
no box
H03/11
Champions League
Braga
#6
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
H08/11
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
93-65
93
65
+28
no box
A13/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
28-23
29-28
27-22
16-25
16-18
16-19
26-16
16-26
24-19
32-27
21-14
25-27
24-19
22-14
24-31
22-16
25-13
16-27
23-18
26-15
22-20
18-21
27-26
12-23
24-15
20-17
20-23
17-14
6-26
16-11
25-30
20-21
29-29
15-13
17-13
23-16
26-10
23-17
21-22
166.9Avg total
86.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.681.6173.1+10.086%
Season at home (3)89.081.3170.3+7.7100%
Season away (4)93.581.8175.2+11.875%
Last 10 (10)86.580.4166.9+6.170%
Last 5 (5)81.476.4157.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.079.8161.8+2.262%
vs Similar (7)81.978.6160.4+3.371%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.678.3169.9+13.387%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
69-65
69
65
+4
64avg 77
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
68avg 77
A21/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
61-86
61
86
-25
52avg 77
A23/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
75avg 77
H28/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
91-82
91
82
+9
82avg 77
A03/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
67-92
67
92
-25
49avg 77
A17/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
104-80
104
80
+24
105avg 77
H24/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
113-109 OT
113
109
+4
103avg 77
A31/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
87-93
87
93
-6
no box
H07/11
LPB
Braga
#6
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-16
17-18
18-18
24-13
17-24
10-29
20-25
29-20
18-17
14-24
16-19
13-26
23-15
23-23
16-25
16-23
34-20
19-19
16-16
22-27
13-21
19-24
18-26
17-21
23-24
32-8
24-20
25-28
21-20
24-25
24-25
21-20
26-16
31-34
19-26
11-17
21-18
20-20
24-25
26-21
171.2Avg total
83.7Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.290.0182.2+2.267%
Season at home (2)95.586.5182.0+9.050%
Season away (4)90.591.8182.2-1.275%
Last 10 (10)83.787.5171.2-3.850%
Last 5 (5)92.491.6184.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.287.9165.1-10.720%
vs Similar (8)83.482.1165.5+1.262%
vs Weaker (12)90.882.4173.2+8.475%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
FC PortoOliveirense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#8
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A02/10
LPB
Bonn
#14
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A07/10
Champions League
Benfica
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H11/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A16/10
LPB
Bnei Herzliya
#47
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A21/10
Champions League
CAB Madeira
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H25/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A31/10
LPB
Joventut Badalona
#2
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H03/11
Champions League
Braga
#6
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H08/11
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
49-26
49
26
+23
A13/11
LPB
82.2Avg total
42.7Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.640.685.2+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.939.484.3+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)44.341.886.1+2.553%-
Last 10 (10)42.739.582.2+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.878.8+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.942.179.0-5.225%-
vs Similar (7)45.444.990.3+0.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)48.337.886.1+10.593%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A21/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A23/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H28/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A03/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H24/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A31/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H07/11
LPB
Braga
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A14/11
LPB
83.0Avg total
41.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.484.8+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.841.990.7+6.885%-
Last 30 away (17)39.241.180.2-1.941%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.583.0+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.042.088.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.642.882.4-3.250%-
vs Similar (8)43.642.285.9+1.462%-
vs Weaker (12)46.239.886.0+6.567%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.4
49.6%
51.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.5
36.5%
31.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws20.014.8
74.0%
71.1%14.8
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.8
54.6%
51.1%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.6
27.8%
31.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.816.2
74.3%
71.1%16.2
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWLLWWWWLW
Oliveirense
WLWWLWLLLW
#2
League position
#4
+6.5
Net rating
-0.9
95.9
Offensive rating
89.7
89.5
Defensive rating
90.6
52.0%
Effective FG%
49.4%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
14.8%
Turnover %
17.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.5%
3-point %
27.8%
60.2%
Assist %
60.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.9 · 89.7Defence89.5 · 90.6Shooting52.0% · 49.4%3-point %36.5% · 27.8%Ball care14.8% · 17.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ FC Porto   ■ Oliveirense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
FC Porto wins
4
Oliveirense wins
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AVitoria93-65
08/11/26HBraga81-76
03/11/26HJoventut Badalona64-81
31/10/26AOvarense76-78
25/10/26HCAB Madeira93-82
21/10/26ABnei Herzliya86-74
16/10/26AEsgueira95-91
11/10/26HBenfica93-86
07/10/26ABonn74-78
02/10/26ACA Queluz110-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABraga91-84
07/11/26HOvarense87-93
31/10/26ACAB Madeira113-109 OT
24/10/26HEsgueira104-80
17/10/26ABenfica67-92
03/10/26APortimonense91-82
28/05/26HBenfica78-86
23/05/26ABenfica61-86
21/05/26ABenfica76-98
16/05/26AOvarense69-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game91.689.093.5
Allowed / game81.681.381.8
Point differential+10.0+7.7+11.8
Avg total173.1170.3175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oliveirense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%50%75%
Points / game92.295.590.5
Allowed / game90.086.591.8
Point differential+2.2+9.0-1.2
Avg total182.2182.0182.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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