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FC Porto vs Oliveirense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Postponed
Position#1
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#2
Record-
FormLLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalTaca da Liga· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2025
Meetings · FC Porto v Oliveirense
19 Dec 2026
POR v OLIV
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
POR85
OLIV62
09 Nov 2024
POR98
OLIV95
26 Oct 2024
POR v OLIV
upcoming
17 Jan 2024
POR74
OLIV72
06 May 2023
POR84
OLIV85
15 Oct 2022
POR91
OLIV63
06 May 2022
POR87
OLIV60
03 Apr 2022
POR91
OLIV64
26 Mar 2022
POR76
OLIV75
11 Dec 2020
POR97
OLIV72
08 Mar 2020
POR78
OLIV90
04 Apr 2019
POR81
OLIV79
17 Mar 2019
POR83
OLIV80
11 Nov 2018
POR82
OLIV96
15 Jun 2018
POR69
OLIV93
23 Mar 2018
POR89
OLIV92
15 Oct 2017
POR78
OLIV93
06 Apr 2017
POR84
OLIV74
04 Dec 2016
POR68
OLIV66
08 Apr 2016
POR80
OLIV69
31 Jan 2016
POR72
OLIV81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oliveirense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
W
77-74
77
74
+3
63avg 75
A28/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
66-89
66
89
-23
52avg 75
H05/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
62-73
62
73
-11
60avg 75
H07/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 75
A10/06
LPB
Benfica
#2
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
no box
A28/09
Super Cup
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
77-68
77
68
+9
69avg 75
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#9
L
70-89
70
89
-19
58avg 75
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
88-80
88
80
+8
85avg 75
H19/10
LPB
Limburg
#26
W
80-61
80
61
+19
70avg 75
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#10
W
76-64
76
64
+12
65avg 75
H26/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
21-24
17-11
25-22
16-22
19-19
10-23
21-25
16-13
21-15
13-23
12-22
25-20
10-21
24-15
17-27
23-22
23-22
21-19
18-22
20-16
18-10
19-23
20-19
18-26
21-20
24-22
7-21
24-17
18-19
23-16
23-28
12-11
23-16
20-19
25-15
15-18
17-19
20-13
24-14
154.3Avg total
76.9Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.977.4154.3-0.560%
Last 5 (5)78.272.4150.6+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.281.8153.0-10.733%
vs Similar ◀ (4)73.273.8147.0-0.550%
vs Weaker (19)86.072.1158.1+13.989%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#7
W
94-77
94
77
+17
92avg 75
A27/04
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
62-71
62
71
-9
48avg 75
H04/05
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#6
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 75
H11/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
69avg 75
A14/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
78-69
78
69
+9
80avg 75
H17/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
55-100
55
100
-45
43avg 75
A22/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
69-91
69
91
-22
61avg 75
A24/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
64-77
64
77
-13
57avg 75
H27/05
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
95-61
95
61
+34
84avg 75
A19/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
93-76
93
76
+17
88avg 75
H25/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-14
21-17
26-18
17-28
13-12
12-20
25-15
12-24
22-21
21-10
21-12
14-22
11-22
26-25
25-23
22-15
15-15
26-19
16-21
21-14
16-24
5-28
23-21
11-27
18-22
16-24
18-21
17-24
14-20
17-15
16-26
17-16
23-15
23-20
25-12
24-14
27-22
21-18
22-24
23-12
154.4Avg total
77.2Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.277.2154.4+0.050%
Last 5 (5)75.281.0156.2-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.582.9155.4-10.438%
vs Similar ◀ (4)77.281.0158.2-3.825%
vs Weaker (17)84.972.1157.1+12.888%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
FC PortoOliveirense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A28/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H05/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H07/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A10/06
LPB
Benfica
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A28/09
Super Cup
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H19/10
LPB
Limburg
#26
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H26/10
LPB
74.1Avg total
37.4Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.737.277.8+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.136.175.3+3.060%-
Last 30 away (15)42.238.280.4+4.067%-
Last 10 (10)37.436.774.1+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.234.471.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.738.576.2-0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)36.836.273.0+0.550%-
vs Weaker (19)42.236.678.7+5.668%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#7
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A27/04
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H04/05
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#6
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H11/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A14/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H17/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
21-52
21
52
-31
A22/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A24/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H27/05
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A19/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H25/10
LPB
76.0Avg total
37.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.977.2+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.238.278.5+2.050%-
Last 30 away (14)38.437.475.8+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)37.738.376.0-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.677.6-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.243.680.9-6.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)36.837.574.2-0.825%-
vs Weaker (17)41.735.877.5+5.959%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.9
52.4%
51.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.1
28.5%
34.2%21.3
🏀 Free throws17.912.4
69.3%
68.1%12.4
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.0
50.1%
51.0%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.6
32.7%
34.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.114.4
71.6%
68.1%14.4
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWWLWWLLLW
Oliveirense
WWLLLWLWLW
#1
League position
#2
+0.7
Net rating
+0.0
106.4
Offensive rating
100.0
105.6
Defensive rating
100.0
48.4%
Effective FG%
49.7%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
17.3%
Turnover %
22.1%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.5%
3-point %
32.7%
55.0%
Assist %
61.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 100.0Defence105.6 · 100.0Shooting48.4% · 49.7%3-point %28.5% · 32.7%Ball care17.3% · 22.1%Off. rebounds35.3% · 29.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ FC Porto   ■ Oliveirense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
FC Porto wins
2
Oliveirense wins
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24HCD Povoa76-64
23/10/24HLimburg80-61
19/10/24HVitoria88-80
16/10/24APAOK70-89
09/10/24HSzolnoki Olaj77-68
28/09/24ABenfica97-93 OT
10/06/24ABenfica76-83
07/06/24HBenfica62-73
05/06/24HBenfica66-89
28/05/24AOvarense77-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/24HVitoria93-76
19/10/24AGalomar95-61
27/05/24HBenfica64-77
24/05/24ABenfica69-91
22/05/24ABenfica55-100
17/05/24HCD Povoa78-69
14/05/24ACD Povoa84-85
11/05/24HCD Povoa78-65
04/05/24HFC Porto62-71
27/04/24AVitoria94-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
Taca da Liga 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Oliveirense
Taca da Liga 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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