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FC Porto vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 87-75
22-20 19-21 28-19 18-15
Position#32
Record1-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game86.5
vs
Position#10
Record2-0
FormWWLWL
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game81.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 3· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
81-89
81
89
-8
73avg 81
A10/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 81
H13/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
52avg 81
H15/06
LPB
Szombathely
#42
W
83-79
83
79
+4
74avg 81
A20/09
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
79-100
79
100
-21
66avg 81
H22/09
Champions League
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
95-73
95
73
+22
92avg 81
H04/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
93-104
93
104
-11
no box
A11/10
LPB
Antwerp Giants
#14
W
80-79
80
79
+1
76avg 81
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#3
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 81
H18/10
LPB
Tartu Ulikool
#31
L
78-94
78
94
-16
56avg 81
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
20-23
19-26
25-16
21-6
19-19
23-22
19-28
19-21
9-28
23-20
20-24
16-24
17-24
24-17
26-14
18-21
27-30
18-29
16-20
25-17
27-10
20-21
23-25
23-34
16-22
31-20
23-28
18-9
19-17
20-32
23-21
17-24
7-18
22-19
30-21
14-23
21-34
27-18
16-19
168.6Avg total
81.8Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.086.5165.5-7.550%
Season at home (1)80.079.0159.0+1.0100%
Season away (1)78.094.0172.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)81.886.8168.6-5.040%
Last 5 (5)84.486.4170.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)81.288.5169.7-7.333%
vs Similar (9)85.381.7167.0+3.767%
vs Weaker (14)90.278.1168.4+12.186%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#17
L
85-88
85
88
-3
77avg 73
A11/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
83-95
83
95
-12
66avg 73
A13/05
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#19
W
101-82
101
82
+19
102avg 73
A23/09
German Cup
Trier
#12
L
78-88
78
88
-10
66avg 73
A28/09
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
80-87
80
87
-7
68avg 73
A04/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
90-79
90
79
+11
75avg 73
H12/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#31
W
100-82
100
82
+18
98avg 73
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Jena
#7
L
79-80
79
80
-1
74avg 73
H19/10
German Cup
Antwerp Giants
#14
W
95-80
95
80
+15
87avg 73
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
L
71-92
71
92
-21
64avg 73
A26/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
19-23
14-8
26-27
27-21
18-24
13-23
25-27
27-18
26-20
24-25
24-19
24-25
6-17
28-20
20-26
10-18
23-18
28-21
19-30
21-20
19-20
18-20
32-19
28-19
20-19
22-26
30-18
16-25
14-12
28-20
21-23
23-22
27-16
20-26
25-16
17-26
20-18
13-27
21-21
171.5Avg total
86.2Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)97.581.0178.5+16.5100%
Season at home (2)97.581.0178.5+16.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.285.3171.5+0.940%
Last 5 (5)87.082.6169.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.080.6158.6-2.640%
vs Similar (17)87.285.4172.5+1.859%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.983.0165.9-0.143%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
FC PortoRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A10/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H13/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H15/06
LPB
Szombathely
#42
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A20/09
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H22/09
Champions League
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H04/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A11/10
LPB
Antwerp Giants
#14
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#3
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H18/10
LPB
Tartu Ulikool
#31
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
79.8Avg total
37.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.482.5+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.637.279.7+5.467%-
Last 30 away (12)41.445.286.6-3.842%-
Last 10 (10)37.042.879.8-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.679.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)39.241.280.3-2.033%-
vs Similar (9)40.941.482.3-0.656%-
vs Weaker (14)44.838.883.6+6.071%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#17
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A11/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A13/05
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#19
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A23/09
German Cup
Trier
#12
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A28/09
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A04/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H12/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#31
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Jena
#7
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H19/10
German Cup
Antwerp Giants
#14
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A26/10
BBL
82.2Avg total
41.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.481.3+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.636.880.4+6.971%-
Last 30 away (16)38.443.682.0-5.119%-
Last 10 (10)41.141.182.2+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.480.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.641.678.2-5.040%-
vs Similar (17)43.140.083.1+3.153%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)36.740.977.6-4.114%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.1
51.8%
52.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.06.9
28.7%
34.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws23.316.9
72.5%
73.4%16.9
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.9
50.4%
52.0%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.2
37.6%
34.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws22.515.4
68.4%
73.4%15.4
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
LLWLWLWLWL
Rostock
LWLWWLLWLL
#32
League position
#10
-5.5
Net rating
+0.4
106.2
Offensive rating
110.3
111.7
Defensive rating
109.9
48.4%
Effective FG%
53.1%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.1%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.34
28.7%
3-point %
37.6%
50.0%
Assist %
61.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 110.3Defence111.7 · 109.9Shooting48.4% · 53.1%3-point %28.7% · 37.6%Ball care16.7% · 16.1%Off. rebounds32.2% · 29.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ FC Porto   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FC Porto wins
0
Rostock wins
No previous meetings.
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/25ATartu Ulikool78-94
18/10/25HSporting CP76-82
14/10/25HAntwerp Giants80-79
11/10/25AOliveirense93-104
04/10/25HVasco Da Gama95-73
22/09/25HChalon/Saone79-100
20/09/25ASzombathely83-79
15/06/25HBenfica71-93
13/06/25HBenfica82-75
10/06/25ABenfica81-89
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25ABasketball Braunschweig71-92
21/10/25HAntwerp Giants95-80
19/10/25HJena79-80
14/10/25HTartu Ulikool100-82
12/10/25HHeidelberg90-79
04/10/25AUlm80-87
28/09/25ATrier78-88
23/09/25APhoenix Hagen101-82
13/05/25AOldenburg83-95
11/05/25AGottingen85-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game79.080.078.0
Allowed / game86.579.094.0
Point differential-7.5+1.0-16.0
Avg total165.5159.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rostock
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game97.597.5-
Allowed / game81.081.0-
Point differential+16.5+16.5-
Avg total178.5178.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Basket Zaragoza220100%104.574.5+30.0
2 Reggiana220100%98.076.5+21.5
3 Cedevita Junior220100%99.579.0+20.5
4 Peristeri220100%93.074.0+19.0
5 Rostock220100%97.581.0+16.5
6 Trefl Sopot220100%95.579.5+16.0
7 Vechta440100%88.574.0+14.5
8 CSM Oradea220100%89.580.0+9.5
9 Basketball Braunschweig220100%91.083.5+7.5
10 PAOK220100%89.583.5+6.0
11 Cibona43175%88.584.0+4.5
12 Brno43175%74.878.8-4.0
13 Bilbao21150%93.067.5+25.5
14 Sassari21150%85.576.5+9.0
15 KK Bosna42250%82.875.2+7.5
16 Corona Brasov42250%84.277.0+7.2
17 Lublin21150%91.087.5+3.5
18 Petkim Spor21150%81.579.0+2.5
19 BC Prievidza42250%87.285.8+1.5
20 Murcia21150%74.575.0-0.5
21 Tartu Ulikool21150%88.089.0-1.0
22 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%88.590.0-1.5
23 AEK Larnaca21150%79.583.5-4.0
24 Szombathely21150%82.586.5-4.0
25 Pelister21150%83.088.5-5.5
26 Rilski Sportist21150%79.084.5-5.5
27 Sporting CP21150%81.087.5-6.5
28 FC Porto21150%79.086.5-7.5
29 Anorthosis42250%79.888.8-9.0
30 Neftchi IK21150%79.088.0-9.0
31 Anwil Wloclawek41325%89.585.8+3.8
32 Absheron Lions41325%82.585.5-3.0
33 Bashkimi41325%73.890.2-16.5
34 Dijon2020%80.586.0-5.5
35 Bakken Bears2020%85.092.5-7.5
36 Antwerp Giants2020%79.587.5-8.0
37 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
38 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
39 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
40 Trepca2020%72.084.5-12.5
41 Keravnos2020%75.093.5-18.5
42 Valcea2020%72.592.5-20.0
43 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
44 Kutaisi2020%66.593.0-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2219281887
Rostock2021191575
← all games of the day
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