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FC Porto vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 76-82
17-24 7-18 22-19 30-21
Position#2
Record1-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Position#3
Record1-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game85.5
PortugalLPBRound 3· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · FC Porto v Sporting CP
03 Apr 2027
POR v SCP
upcoming
31 May 2026
POR94
SCP86
29 May 2026
POR86
SCP76
18 Oct 2025
POR76
SCP82
25 May 2025
POR83
SCP64
23 May 2025
POR91
SCP81
09 Apr 2025
POR82
SCP72
23 Mar 2025
POR94
SCP73
25 Jan 2025
POR83
SCP78
20 Apr 2024
POR86
SCP72
14 Jan 2024
POR81
SCP79
23 May 2023
POR91
SCP93
21 May 2023
POR80
SCP88
19 Mar 2023
POR72
SCP71
14 Jan 2023
POR84
SCP97
19 Nov 2022
POR91
SCP89
24 May 2022
POR74
SCP71
22 May 2022
POR87
SCP68
30 Apr 2022
POR70
SCP71
28 Dec 2021
POR66
SCP59
30 May 2021
POR76
SCP80
28 May 2021
POR87
SCP73
07 Mar 2021
POR81
SCP78
08 Oct 2020
POR78
SCP87
08 Dec 2019
POR78
SCP89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sporting CP winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
W
78-74
78
74
+4
72avg 81
A30/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
94-95
94
95
-1
84avg 81
A08/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
81-89
81
89
-8
73avg 81
A10/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 81
H13/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
52avg 81
H15/06
LPB
Szombathely
#42
W
83-79
83
79
+4
74avg 81
A20/09
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
79-100
79
100
-21
66avg 81
H22/09
Champions League
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
95-73
95
73
+22
92avg 81
H04/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
93-104
93
104
-11
no box
A11/10
LPB
Antwerp Giants
#14
W
80-79
80
79
+1
76avg 81
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
21-21
13-27
25-11
27-26
21-23
18-25
28-21
17-24
20-23
19-26
25-16
21-6
19-19
23-22
19-28
19-21
9-28
23-20
20-24
16-24
17-24
24-17
26-14
18-21
27-30
18-29
16-20
25-17
27-10
20-21
23-25
23-34
16-22
31-20
23-28
18-9
19-17
20-32
23-21
169.7Avg total
83.6Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)94.088.5182.5+5.550%
Season at home (1)95.073.0168.0+22.0100%
Season away (1)93.0104.0197.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)83.686.1169.7-2.550%
Last 5 (5)86.087.0173.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)84.388.6172.9-4.343%
vs Similar ◀ (7)87.779.9167.6+7.986%
vs Weaker (15)90.578.5169.0+11.987%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
W
86-75
86
75
+11
85avg 74
A26/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
L
64-92
64
92
-28
51avg 74
A01/05
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
89avg 74
H10/05
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 74
A15/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
81-91
81
91
-10
71avg 74
A23/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
64-83
64
83
-19
50avg 74
A25/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
74-78
74
78
-4
61avg 74
H30/05
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
97-68
97
68
+29
93avg 74
A05/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
66-103
66
103
-37
51avg 74
H12/10
LPB
Sassari
#23
W
80-77
80
77
+3
74avg 74
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
25-19
16-21
15-16
17-26
11-15
17-29
19-22
32-12
18-23
25-21
15-23
30-26
18-13
21-16
19-28
25-17
20-19
20-26
16-29
13-25
15-24
14-15
22-19
15-19
21-21
27-13
11-25
20-8
21-27
27-14
29-19
17-25
16-29
14-18
19-31
21-20
26-14
6-30
27-13
161.9Avg total
79.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.585.5167.0-4.050%
Season at home (1)66.0103.0169.0-37.00%
Season away (1)97.068.0165.0+29.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.082.9161.9-3.950%
Last 5 (5)76.281.8158.0-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.087.0159.0-15.014%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.580.4160.9+0.150%
vs Weaker (14)90.678.9169.5+11.886%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -3.3-3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -3.3-3.3
FC PortoSporting CP
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A30/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A08/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A10/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H13/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H15/06
LPB
Szombathely
#42
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A20/09
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H22/09
Champions League
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H04/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A11/10
LPB
Antwerp Giants
#14
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
81.3Avg total
39.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.483.6+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.937.581.4+6.467%-
Last 30 away (12)42.244.887.0-2.742%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.481.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.682.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.442.182.6-1.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)44.139.183.3+5.071%-
vs Weaker (15)44.739.784.5+5.067%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A26/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A01/05
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H10/05
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A15/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A23/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A25/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H30/05
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A05/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H12/10
LPB
Sassari
#23
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
81.2Avg total
41.1Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.080.9+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.839.180.8+2.754%-
Last 30 away (17)41.938.980.9+3.059%-
Last 10 (10)41.140.181.2+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.042.479.4-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.141.776.9-6.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.640.583.1+2.150%-
vs Weaker (14)44.337.581.8+6.879%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.3
51.7%
52.7%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.2
29.8%
32.4%21.6
🏀 Free throws24.419.0
77.9%
70.4%19.0
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.9
53.8%
52.7%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.3
30.0%
32.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws26.515.5
58.5%
70.4%15.5
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WLWLWLWLLW
Sporting CP
WLWLLLWWLW
#2
League position
#3
-2.8
Net rating
-5.1
108.2
Offensive rating
102.4
111.0
Defensive rating
107.5
48.8%
Effective FG%
49.9%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.9%
Turnover %
19.8%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.42
29.8%
3-point %
30.0%
52.5%
Assist %
61.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 102.4Defence111.0 · 107.5Shooting48.8% · 49.9%3-point %29.8% · 30.0%Ball care16.9% · 19.8%Off. rebounds32.2% · 33.2%Free throws0.41 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ FC Porto   ■ Sporting CP
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
FC Porto wins
1
Sporting CP wins
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/25HAntwerp Giants80-79
11/10/25AOliveirense93-104
04/10/25HVasco Da Gama95-73
22/09/25HChalon/Saone79-100
20/09/25ASzombathely83-79
15/06/25HBenfica71-93
13/06/25HBenfica82-75
10/06/25ABenfica81-89
08/06/25ABenfica94-95
30/05/25ASporting CP78-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/25HSassari80-77
12/10/25HBenfica66-103
05/10/25AVitoria97-68
30/05/25HFC Porto74-78
25/05/25AFC Porto64-83
23/05/25AFC Porto81-91
15/05/25AGalitos Barreiro88-83
10/05/25HGalitos Barreiro90-79
01/05/25AOliveirense64-92
26/04/25AOliveirense86-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game94.095.093.0
Allowed / game88.573.0104.0
Point differential+5.5+22.0-11.0
Avg total182.5168.0197.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sporting CP
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game81.566.097.0
Allowed / game85.5103.068.0
Point differential-4.0-37.0+29.0
Avg total167.0169.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica220100%96.071.0+25.0
2 Ovarense220100%82.075.0+7.0
3 Imortal220100%82.579.5+3.0
4 FC Porto21150%94.088.5+5.5
5 CA Queluz21150%72.069.5+2.5
6 Esgueira21150%88.586.5+2.0
7 Oliveirense21150%90.091.0-1.0
8 Sporting CP21150%81.585.5-4.0
9 Braga1010%58.066.0-8.0
10 Galitos Barreiro1010%92.0102.0-10.0
11 Vasco Da Gama2020%74.089.0-15.0
12 Vitoria2020%74.590.5-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto177223076
Sporting CP2418192182
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