Fenerbahce vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Dec 2015

Tip-off: 19:45

Final 79-61

18-20 21-17 19-14 21-10

Position#2

Record6-2

FormWWWWL

Points / game77.6

Allowed / game72.2

Fenerbahce 🏆

Crvena zvezda

Position#13

Record4-4

FormWWWWW

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game82.2

EuroleagueRound 9

European cup2015

Meetings · Fenerbahce v Crvena zvezda

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Crvena zvezda winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Madrid

87-96

-9

A15/05

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

80-86

-6

H17/05

Euroleague

Bayern

#14

74-67

H16/10

Euroleague

Strasbourg

#20

70-91

-21

A23/10

Euroleague

Real Madrid

#12

77-66

+11

H30/10

Euroleague

Crvena zvezda

#13

74-60

+14

A06/11

Euroleague

Khimki M.

#10

88-83

H13/11

Euroleague

Bayern

#14

84-67

+17

A19/11

Euroleague

Strasbourg

#20

81-64

+17

H26/11

Euroleague

Real Madrid

#12

73-80

-7

A03/12

Euroleague

21-20

14-35

24-21

28-20

13-27

11-21

31-18

25-20

10-20

20-19

22-20

22-8

24-21

17-28

17-16

12-26

20-18

19-14

24-24

14-10

25-19

20-12

14-11

15-18

23-21

26-20

15-18

24-24

30-10

20-20

17-18

17-19

22-14

18-20

21-13

20-17

28-18

17-18

10-20

18-24

154.8Avg total

78.8Scored

76.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	77.6	72.2	149.9	+5.4	75%
Season at home (4)	80.0	70.0	150.0	+10.0	100%
Season away (4)	75.2	74.5	149.8	+0.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	78.8	76.0	154.8	+2.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	70.8	150.8	+9.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	80.6	82.0	162.6	-1.4	40%
vs Similar (5)	72.4	72.6	145.0	-0.2	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	79.7	72.2	151.9	+7.5	85%

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fenerbahce

60-74

-14

H06/11

Euroleague

MZT Skopje

#10

71-66

A09/11

ABA League

Bayern

#14

90-79

+11

A12/11

Euroleague

Igokea

81-87

-6

H15/11

ABA League

Strasbourg

#20

75-78

-3

A19/11

Euroleague

Sutjeska

#13

70-62

A23/11

ABA League

Real Madrid

#12

94-88

H27/11

Euroleague

Cibona

75-58

+17

H30/11

ABA League

Khimki M.

#10

96-91

H04/12

Euroleague

KK Krka Novo mesto

#11

71-65

A07/12

ABA League

19-25

12-20

11-14

18-15

20-20

20-9

14-16

17-21

19-19

19-24

25-23

27-13

27-18

21-23

15-17

18-29

30-19

22-15

12-22

11-22

16-17

20-15

13-15

21-15

28-18

18-25

20-24

28-21

19-10

19-11

23-24

14-13

27-26

23-27

18-16

28-22

17-19

18-21

16-10

20-15

153.1Avg total

78.3Scored

74.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	77.5	82.2	159.8	-4.8	50%
Season at home (4)	82.8	78.0	160.8	+4.8	75%
Season away (4)	72.2	86.5	158.8	-14.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	78.3	74.8	153.1	+3.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	72.8	154.0	+8.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	69.7	85.3	155.0	-15.7	33%
vs Similar (4)	84.5	81.8	166.2	+2.8	75%
vs Weaker (23)	80.4	70.7	151.0	+9.7	78%

This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FenerbahceCrvena zvezda

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.5	38.7	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	18.7	38.5	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	18.3	38.8	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	16.4	42.0	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.8	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.6	17.8	38.3	+2.8	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	18.6	40.3	+3.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	18.2	35.8	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	19.1	41.3	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.0	39.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	21.0	24.3	45.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (23)	19.8	17.4	37.2	+2.4	61%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.7	38.5	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	19.1	36.9	-1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.7	38.9	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	15.2	23.8	39.0	-8.6	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.8	18.5	38.2	+1.2	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	17.7	38.6	+3.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	20.5	39.4	-1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	16.0	25.3	41.3	-9.3	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.8	25.0	41.8	-8.2	0%	-
vs Weaker (23)	21.0	17.1	38.1	+3.9	65%	-

FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Madrid

35-55

-20

A15/05

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

24-48

-24

H17/05

Euroleague

Bayern

#14

30-39

-9

H16/10

Euroleague

Strasbourg

#20

41-49

-8

A23/10

Euroleague

Real Madrid

#12

39-32

H30/10

Euroleague

Crvena zvezda

#13

45-31

+14

A06/11

Euroleague

Khimki M.

#10

49-41

H13/11

Euroleague

Bayern

#14

50-30

+20

A19/11

Euroleague

Strasbourg

#20

40-34

H26/11

Euroleague

Real Madrid

#12

45-36

A03/12

Euroleague

79.3Avg total

39.8Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	38.2	77.2	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.8	38.9	78.7	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	37.5	75.7	+0.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	39.5	79.3	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	34.4	80.2	+11.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	33.6	45.0	78.6	-11.4	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.4	39.0	78.4	+0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	40.3	36.2	76.5	+4.0	70%	-

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fenerbahce

31-45

-14

H06/11

Euroleague

MZT Skopje

#10

40-29

+11

A09/11

ABA League

Bayern

#14

38-43

-5

A12/11

Euroleague

Igokea

48-41

H15/11

ABA League

Strasbourg

#20

52-34

+18

A19/11

Euroleague

Sutjeska

#13

36-32

A23/11

ABA League

Real Madrid

#12

46-43

H27/11

Euroleague

Cibona

38-21

+17

H30/11

ABA League

Khimki M.

#10

50-53

-3

H04/12

Euroleague

KK Krka Novo mesto

#11

35-40

-5

A07/12

ABA League

79.5Avg total

41.4Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	37.4	77.1	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.6	36.2	78.9	+6.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.4	38.7	75.1	-2.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	38.1	79.5	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	37.8	78.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	37.0	49.7	86.7	-12.7	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	35.8	44.8	80.5	-9.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (23)	40.8	34.5	75.3	+6.3	78%	-

This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.0	36.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	17.6	37.8	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	16.4	34.5	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.9	37.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	16.0	31.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.8	17.8	41.6	+6.0	80%	-
vs Similar (5)	15.4	15.4	30.8	+0.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	18.9	17.2	36.1	+1.8	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.0	36.2	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	15.8	36.1	+4.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	18.5	36.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	18.1	34.8	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.8	35.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	12.7	16.7	29.3	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (23)	19.6	16.6	36.2	+3.0	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.1	37.9	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	17.1	37.5	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	19.1	38.3	+0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.6	38.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.8	17.2	39.0	+4.6	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.6	18.2	35.8	-0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.6	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.2	40.1	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	20.3	42.6	+2.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	17.9	37.3	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.2	39.4	+5.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	67%	-
vs Similar (4)	27.2	17.0	44.2	+10.2	100%	-
vs Weaker (23)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	35.1	74.1	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.6	34.7	75.3	+5.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.4	35.5	72.9	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	36.5	75.5	+2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	36.4	70.6	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	45.6	35.0	80.6	+10.6	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	33.0	33.6	66.6	-0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	38.9	35.5	74.3	+3.4	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	36.2	76.3	+3.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.6	36.1	78.7	+6.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.3	36.4	73.6	+0.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	36.7	73.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	35.0	75.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	32.7	35.7	68.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	48.8	37.0	85.8	+11.8	100%	-
vs Weaker (23)	39.6	36.1	75.7	+3.5	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Fenerbahce wins

Crvena zvezda wins

Date	Game	Score
06/11/15	Crvena zvezda v Fenerbahce	60-74

Fenerbahcelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/12/15	A	Real Madrid	73-80
26/11/15	H	Strasbourg	81-64
19/11/15	A	Bayern	84-67
13/11/15	H	Khimki M.	88-83
06/11/15	A	Crvena zvezda	74-60
30/10/15	H	Real Madrid	77-66
23/10/15	A	Strasbourg	70-91
16/10/15	H	Bayern	74-67
17/05/15	H	CSKA Moscow	80-86
15/05/15	A	Real Madrid	87-96

Crvena zvezdalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/12/15	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	71-65
04/12/15	H	Khimki M.	96-91
30/11/15	H	Cibona	75-58
27/11/15	H	Real Madrid	94-88
23/11/15	A	Sutjeska	70-62
19/11/15	A	Strasbourg	75-78
15/11/15	H	Igokea	81-87
12/11/15	A	Bayern	90-79
09/11/15	A	MZT Skopje	71-66
06/11/15	H	Fenerbahce	60-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce

Euroleague 2015

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	75%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	LWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	75%	100%	50%
Points / game	77.6	80.0	75.2
Allowed / game	72.2	70.0	74.5
Point differential	+5.4	+10.0	+0.8
Avg total	149.9	150.0	149.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Crvena zvezda

Euroleague 2015

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	50%
Home	WLWW	75%
Away	LLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	50%	75%	25%
Points / game	77.5	82.8	72.2
Allowed / game	82.2	78.0	86.5
Point differential	-4.8	+4.8	-14.2
Avg total	159.8	160.8	158.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	25%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	CSKA Moscow	9	8	1	89%	91.4	78.7	+12.8
2	Olympiacos	9	8	1	89%	77.0	67.9	+9.1
3	Lokomotiv Kuban	9	7	2	78%	75.1	67.7	+7.4
4	Unicaja	9	7	2	78%	76.1	70.1	+6.0
5	Fenerbahce	8	6	2	75%	77.6	72.2	+5.4
6	Barcelona	9	6	3	67%	83.1	74.3	+8.8
7	Baskonia	9	5	4	56%	84.7	77.3	+7.3
8	Khimki M.	9	5	4	56%	81.1	74.4	+6.7
9	Anadolu Efes	9	5	4	56%	86.9	81.9	+5.0
10	Bamberg	9	5	4	56%	76.9	74.0	+2.9
11	Zalgiris Kaunas	9	5	4	56%	69.4	72.9	-3.4
12	Panathinaikos	8	4	4	50%	74.9	73.4	+1.5
13	Crvena zvezda	8	4	4	50%	77.5	82.2	-4.8
14	Real Madrid	9	4	5	44%	84.1	82.6	+1.6
15	Bayern	9	4	5	44%	76.3	77.2	-0.9
16	Cedevita	9	4	5	44%	75.6	76.4	-0.9
17	Darussafaka	9	4	5	44%	70.9	74.4	-3.6
18	Maccabi Tel Aviv	9	3	6	33%	75.6	80.7	-5.1
19	Olimpia Milano	9	3	6	33%	74.2	80.0	-5.8
20	Strasbourg	9	3	6	33%	71.8	79.7	-7.9
21	Zielona Gora	8	2	6	25%	66.5	72.9	-6.4
22	Karsiyaka	9	2	7	22%	68.3	76.8	-8.4
23	Limoges	9	2	7	22%	69.0	83.8	-14.8
24	Sassari	9	0	9	0%	70.7	83.7	-13.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Fenerbahce	18	21	19	21	79
Crvena zvezda	20	17	14	10	61

← all games of the day

Fenerbahce vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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