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Fenerbahce vs Crvena zvezda Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 03 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:45
Scheduled
Position#7
Record7-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.7/10
Below normal
5.7/10
Above normal
Position#6
Record7-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game77.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15· Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu
European cup2026
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Crvena zvezda
03 Dec 2026
FEN v CZV
upcoming
10 Oct 2025
FEN81
CZV86
15 Oct 2024
FEN57
CZV76
02 Jan 2024
FEN76
CZV85
10 Nov 2022
FEN93
CZV79
01 Oct 2021
FEN61
CZV57
02 Oct 2020
FEN77
CZV63
19 Dec 2017
FEN82
CZV56
08 Dec 2016
FEN87
CZV72
04 Mar 2016
FEN72
CZV65
11 Dec 2015
FEN79
CZV61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#5
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 79
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
W
64-61
64
61
+3
51avg 79
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#10
W
97-72
97
72
+25
98avg 79
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
70avg 79
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#5
L
76-95
76
95
-19
64avg 79
A29/10
Euroleague
Tofas
#8
W
88-77
88
77
+11
85avg 79
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
W
84-65
84
65
+19
no box
H05/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#16
W
78-59
78
59
+19
no box
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#14
L
109-111 OT
109
111
-2
no box
A11/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
77-75
77
75
+2
no box
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
21-15
18-19
26-24
8-20
16-14
21-15
19-12
25-16
24-20
25-14
23-22
9-19
16-17
21-24
32-26
24-22
18-25
13-23
21-25
25-21
22-22
23-16
18-18
33-18
19-14
11-9
21-24
23-15
20-21
16-11
19-12
14-23
29-27
29-22
20-20
18-32
17-11
25-11
17-21
161.1Avg total
82.8Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.978.6161.5+4.364%
Season at home (6)85.270.0155.2+15.2100%
Season away (5)80.289.0169.2-8.820%
Last 10 (10)82.878.3161.1+4.560%
Last 5 (5)87.277.4164.6+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.587.0155.5-18.50%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.378.2158.5+2.169%
vs Weaker (12)90.577.0167.5+13.583%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
97-78
97
78
+19
86avg 85
A18/10
ABA League
Partizan
#11
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
70avg 85
A22/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
78avg 85
A24/10
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
100-78
100
78
+22
104avg 85
H27/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
W
103-73
103
73
+30
103avg 85
H29/10
Euroleague
Siroki Brijeg
#7
W
100-82
100
82
+18
105avg 85
H01/11
ABA League
Olympiacos
#2
W
62-57
62
57
+5
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Slovan Bratislava
#9
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
H09/11
ABA League
Real Madrid
#5
L
84-105
84
105
-21
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
94-83
94
83
+11
no box
H15/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
17-24
30-20
23-16
21-31
17-21
12-13
25-10
20-36
13-14
24-10
24-20
34-15
21-15
23-25
22-23
19-15
29-16
31-23
24-19
28-18
27-26
22-17
23-21
19-11
21-11
11-19
11-16
29-28
22-18
21-14
19-20
20-38
21-18
18-26
25-23
26-24
22-19
19-21
27-19
169.5Avg total
89.4Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.377.7161.0+5.564%
Season at home (6)87.878.0165.8+9.867%
Season away (5)77.877.4155.2+0.460%
Last 10 (10)89.480.1169.5+9.380%
Last 5 (5)86.281.4167.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.0103.0185.0-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.385.9170.2-1.636%
vs Weaker (15)90.778.6169.3+12.193%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.6+3.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.6+3.6
FenerbahceCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#5
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#10
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A29/10
Euroleague
Tofas
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H05/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#14
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A11/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
78.9Avg total
39.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.081.3+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.538.278.7+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)42.041.983.9+0.140%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.678.9-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)44.040.884.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.040.073.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.941.579.4-3.631%-
vs Weaker (12)47.138.185.2+9.083%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A18/10
ABA League
Partizan
#11
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A22/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#11
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A24/10
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H27/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H29/10
Euroleague
Siroki Brijeg
#7
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H01/11
ABA League
Olympiacos
#2
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A06/11
Euroleague
Slovan Bratislava
#9
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H09/11
ABA League
Real Madrid
#5
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A12/11
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H15/11
ABA League
86.9Avg total
45.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.543.387.9+1.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.642.089.6+5.687%-
Last 30 away (15)41.544.786.1-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)45.341.686.9+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)47.042.289.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.056.0100.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.546.089.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker (15)45.540.085.5+5.580%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.9
58.2%
55.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.5
33.1%
35.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.415.9
77.9%
77.1%15.9
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.922.2
61.8%
55.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.5
37.9%
35.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.814.4
76.6%
77.1%14.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WLWWWLLWWL
Crvena zvezda
WLWWWWWWLW
#7
League position
#6
+3.1
Net rating
+14.0
97.9
Offensive rating
106.5
94.8
Defensive rating
92.5
54.2%
Effective FG%
59.7%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
15.6%
Turnover %
13.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.1%
3-point %
37.9%
62.7%
Assist %
71.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 106.5Defence94.8 · 92.5Shooting54.2% · 59.7%3-point %33.1% · 37.9%Ball care15.6% · 13.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Fenerbahce wins
7
Crvena zvezda wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HAnadolu Efes77-75
11/11/26AParis109-111 OT
07/11/26ABursaspor78-59
05/11/26HBaskonia84-65
01/11/26HTofas88-77
29/10/26AReal Madrid76-95
27/10/26AValencia78-86
25/10/26AKarsiyaka97-72
23/10/26AOlympiacos64-61
18/10/26HPetkim Spor77-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HCedevita Olimpija94-83
12/11/26AReal Madrid84-105
09/11/26HSlovan Bratislava91-80
06/11/26AOlympiacos62-57
01/11/26HSiroki Brijeg100-82
29/10/26HBayern103-73
27/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv100-78
24/10/26AIgokea81-80
22/10/26APartizan82-85 OT
18/10/26AKK Krka Novo mesto97-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL64%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%100%20%
Points / game82.985.280.2
Allowed / game78.670.089.0
Point differential+4.3+15.2-8.8
Avg total161.5155.2169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL64%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game83.387.877.8
Allowed / game77.778.077.4
Point differential+5.5+9.8+0.4
Avg total161.0165.8155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos118373%86.478.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona118373%89.687.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes115645%85.987.5-1.5
13 Besiktas115645%88.490.9-2.5
14 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne114736%88.593.2-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna114736%86.190.7-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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